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TXT
Textron Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is positive but below market average at 4.5% per year
Earnings Expectations TXT has met or exceeded earnings expectations in the majority of recent quarters (7/10)
Positive Attractive Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Low Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Reasonable Return on Equity
Positive Positive Net Profit Margin
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive πŸ›©οΈ Strong Backlog and Demand
Positive πŸ“ˆ Diverse Revenue Streams
Positive πŸ”§ Efficiency Improvements
Positive 🌍 Growth in Aerospace and Defense
Positive πŸ”‹ Investment in Innovation
Negative High Price-to-Cash-Flow Ratio
Negative Negative Operating Profit Margin
Negative Poor Interest Coverage
Negative ⚠️ Financial Declines
Negative πŸ”„ Disruption from Strikes
Negative πŸ“‰ Industrial Segment Challenges
Negative 🧩 Uncertain Military Program Funding

Overall, Textron exhibits a solid business model with diverse revenue streams and a strong demand outlook, particularly in Aviation and Systems. However, challenges such as recent financial declines and uncertainties in the Industrial segment may temper growth expectations. The company's investment in future technologies and expected revenue growth provide a positive outlook for the coming year.

Analysis Date: January 22, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+55%
+4.5% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Sector Industrials
Market Cap $13.99B
CEO Mr. Scott C. Donnelly

Textron Inc. is a company that makes and sells various types of aircraft, including business jets and helicopters. They also create military vehicles and equipment, like drones and armored cars. Besides manufacturing, Textron provides services such as maintenance and repair for their products. Additionally, they offer financing options for customers who want to buy their aircraft and helicopters.

Streams of revenue

Textron Aviation: 40%
Bell: 27%
Industrial: 25%
Textron Systems: 8%

Geographic Distribution

International: 72%
Europe: 28%

Core Products

πŸš—
Kautex Automotive systems
✈️
Cessna Aircraft Private jets
πŸ”§
Textron Systems Defense solutions
🚁
Bell Helicopters Commercial helicopters
πŸ›©οΈ
Beechcraft Aircraft Turboprop planes

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

🌍
Global Presence Textron operates internationally, allowing access to diverse markets and customers, thereby spreading risk and capturing opportunities worldwide.
πŸ”§
Integrated Services The company offers comprehensive services, including maintenance and financing, creating a seamless experience for customers and establishing long-term relationships.
πŸ†
Strong Brand Reputation With a history dating back to 1923, Textron has built a strong brand recognized for quality and innovation, fostering customer loyalty and trust in its products.
βš™οΈ
Technological Innovation Textron invests heavily in R&D, leading to advanced technologies in unmanned systems, aviation, and defense, keeping it ahead of competitors and enhancing product offerings.
πŸ›©οΈ
Diversified Product Portfolio Textron's wide range of products across various sectors, including aviation, defense, and industrial, reduces reliance on any single market and enhances resilience against economic fluctuations.

Key Business Risks

βš”οΈ
Market Competition Intense competition from other aerospace and defense manufacturers can pressure pricing and market share, affecting profitability.
πŸ“‰
Economic Volatility Fluctuations in the global economy can impact demand for Textron's products and services, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors.
πŸ“
Regulatory Compliance Changes in government regulations and compliance requirements can increase operational costs and affect business operations across various segments.
πŸ”—
Supply Chain Disruptions Global supply chain issues, including shortages of materials and parts, can hinder production and delivery timelines for Textron's diverse product lines.
πŸ’‘
Technological Advancements Rapid advancements in technology may require continuous investment in R&D to stay competitive, particularly in the aerospace and defense markets.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$170.96

Current Market Price: $59.43

IV/P Ratio: 2.88x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

65.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for TXT

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (13.67)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.56)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (6.79x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.53x)
Yes Margin of safety (65.0%)
No TXT does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 11.738915211088324

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 18.260108013428695

Net Profit Margin: 6.013720624726317

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

11.74%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

18.26%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

6.01%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Reasonable Return on Equity

11.8
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 11.80% indicates a solid ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity, which is a positive indicator for profitability.

Positive Net Profit Margin

6.01
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 6.01% shows that the company retains a portion of revenue as profit, indicating effective cost management despite operating challenges.

Negative Operating Profit Margin

-13.64
Operating Profit Margin

An operating profit margin of -13.64% is concerning, indicating that the company is currently facing challenges in its operational efficiency.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.40x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

6.79x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Liquidity Ratios

6.79
Current Ratio
2.48
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 6.79 and quick ratio of 2.48 indicate excellent short-term financial health, suggesting the company can easily cover its short-term liabilities.

Low Debt Levels

0.4
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.17
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.17 indicate that the company maintains a conservative approach to leveraging, which supports financial stability.

Poor Interest Coverage

-20.32
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of -20.32 suggests that the company is currently unable to meet its interest obligations, raising concerns about long-term solvency.

Meeting Expectations

7 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-01-22 +5.5%
Missed earnings
2024-10-24 -6.0%
Beat earnings
2024-07-18 +4.1%
Missed earnings
2024-04-25 -2.4%
Beat earnings
2024-01-24 +4.6%
Beat earnings
2023-10-26 +15.5%
Beat earnings
2023-07-27 +20.7%
Beat earnings
2023-04-27 +10.5%
Missed earnings
2023-01-25 -0.9%
Beat earnings
2022-10-27 +14.0%

EPS

1.27
Estimated
1.34
Actual
+5.51%
Difference

πŸ›©οΈ Strong Backlog and Demand

$7.8 billion
Aviation Backlog
$7.5 billion
Bell Backlog

Textron Aviation reported a year-end backlog of $7.8 billion, up $676 million from 2023, indicating strong demand and customer interest in new product launches. Bell also showed robust performance with a backlog of $7.5 billion.

πŸ“ˆ Diverse Revenue Streams

13.5%
Segment Profit for Systems

Textron operates in multiple segments including Aviation, Bell, Systems, and Industrial, which helps mitigate risks associated with downturns in any single market. Their Aviation and Systems segments showed resilience with strong order activity and profitability.

πŸ”§ Efficiency Improvements

6.3%
Aftermarket Revenue Growth

The company is focusing on improving production efficiencies post-strike, which is expected to enhance their profit margins. They also highlighted a strong aftermarket revenue growth of 6.3% in Aviation, reflecting stable customer demand.

⚠️ Financial Declines

$5.48
Adjusted Income per Share

The company experienced a decline in revenues and segment profits compared to the previous year, with adjusted income from continuing operations dropping to $5.48 per share from $5.59.

πŸ”„ Disruption from Strikes

$74 million
Decrease in Manufacturing Cash Flow

Operational challenges due to work stoppages at Aviation led to decreased manufacturing cash flow and lower segment profits, impacting Q4 results significantly.

🌍 Growth in Aerospace and Defense

$14.7 billion
Projected Revenue for 2025
$6 - $6.20
Projected Adjusted EPS for 2025

Textron expects growth in the Aerospace and Defense sectors, projecting an overall revenue increase of about 7% for fiscal 2025, driven by increased deliveries and higher aftermarket volume.

πŸ”‹ Investment in Innovation

$45 million (2025 forecast)
eAviation Segment Revenue

Textron is investing in hybrid and electric aviation technologies, which positions them well for future market trends in sustainable aviation solutions.

πŸ“‰ Industrial Segment Challenges

$3.2 billion
Projected Industrial Segment Revenue

The Industrial segment is expected to see lower revenues due to ongoing softness in specialized vehicles and markets, indicating a potential drag on overall growth.

🧩 Uncertain Military Program Funding

Ongoing uncertainties with military program funding due to the longer fiscal 2025 continuing resolution could disrupt future contracts and revenue forecasts.

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