Overall, Textron exhibits a solid business model with diverse revenue streams and a strong demand outlook, particularly in Aviation and Systems. However, challenges such as recent financial declines and uncertainties in the Industrial segment may temper growth expectations. The company's investment in future technologies and expected revenue growth provide a positive outlook for the coming year.
Analysis Date: January 22, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+55%
+4.5% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryAerospace & Defense
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap$13.99B
CEOMr. Scott C. Donnelly
Textron Inc. is a company that makes and sells various types of aircraft, including business jets and helicopters. They also create military vehicles and equipment, like drones and armored cars. Besides manufacturing, Textron provides services such as maintenance and repair for their products. Additionally, they offer financing options for customers who want to buy their aircraft and helicopters.
Global PresenceTextron operates internationally, allowing access to diverse markets and customers, thereby spreading risk and capturing opportunities worldwide.
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Integrated ServicesThe company offers comprehensive services, including maintenance and financing, creating a seamless experience for customers and establishing long-term relationships.
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Strong Brand ReputationWith a history dating back to 1923, Textron has built a strong brand recognized for quality and innovation, fostering customer loyalty and trust in its products.
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Technological InnovationTextron invests heavily in R&D, leading to advanced technologies in unmanned systems, aviation, and defense, keeping it ahead of competitors and enhancing product offerings.
Diversified Product PortfolioTextron's wide range of products across various sectors, including aviation, defense, and industrial, reduces reliance on any single market and enhances resilience against economic fluctuations.
Key Business Risks
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Market CompetitionIntense competition from other aerospace and defense manufacturers can pressure pricing and market share, affecting profitability.
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Economic VolatilityFluctuations in the global economy can impact demand for Textron's products and services, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors.
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Regulatory ComplianceChanges in government regulations and compliance requirements can increase operational costs and affect business operations across various segments.
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Supply Chain DisruptionsGlobal supply chain issues, including shortages of materials and parts, can hinder production and delivery timelines for Textron's diverse product lines.
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Technological AdvancementsRapid advancements in technology may require continuous investment in R&D to stay competitive, particularly in the aerospace and defense markets.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$170.96
Current Market Price: $59.43
IV/P Ratio: 2.88x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
65.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for TXT
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (13.67)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (1.56)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (6.79x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.53x)
Margin of safety (65.0%)
TXT does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 11.738915211088324
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 18.260108013428695
Net Profit Margin: 6.013720624726317
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
11.74%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
18.26%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
A return on equity of 11.80% indicates a solid ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity, which is a positive indicator for profitability.
Positive Net Profit Margin
6.01
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 6.01% shows that the company retains a portion of revenue as profit, indicating effective cost management despite operating challenges.
Weaknesses
Negative Operating Profit Margin
-13.64
Operating Profit Margin
An operating profit margin of -13.64% is concerning, indicating that the company is currently facing challenges in its operational efficiency.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.40x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Liquidity Ratios
6.79
Current Ratio
2.48
Quick Ratio
The current ratio of 6.79 and quick ratio of 2.48 indicate excellent short-term financial health, suggesting the company can easily cover its short-term liabilities.
Low Debt Levels
0.4
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.17
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.17 indicate that the company maintains a conservative approach to leveraging, which supports financial stability.
Weaknesses
Poor Interest Coverage
-20.32
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of -20.32 suggests that the company is currently unable to meet its interest obligations, raising concerns about long-term solvency.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
7/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Textron Aviation reported a year-end backlog of $7.8 billion, up $676 million from 2023, indicating strong demand and customer interest in new product launches. Bell also showed robust performance with a backlog of $7.5 billion.
π Diverse Revenue Streams
13.5%
Segment Profit for Systems
Textron operates in multiple segments including Aviation, Bell, Systems, and Industrial, which helps mitigate risks associated with downturns in any single market. Their Aviation and Systems segments showed resilience with strong order activity and profitability.
π§ Efficiency Improvements
6.3%
Aftermarket Revenue Growth
The company is focusing on improving production efficiencies post-strike, which is expected to enhance their profit margins. They also highlighted a strong aftermarket revenue growth of 6.3% in Aviation, reflecting stable customer demand.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Financial Declines
$5.48
Adjusted Income per Share
The company experienced a decline in revenues and segment profits compared to the previous year, with adjusted income from continuing operations dropping to $5.48 per share from $5.59.
π Disruption from Strikes
$74 million
Decrease in Manufacturing Cash Flow
Operational challenges due to work stoppages at Aviation led to decreased manufacturing cash flow and lower segment profits, impacting Q4 results significantly.
Opportunities
π Growth in Aerospace and Defense
$14.7 billion
Projected Revenue for 2025
$6 - $6.20
Projected Adjusted EPS for 2025
Textron expects growth in the Aerospace and Defense sectors, projecting an overall revenue increase of about 7% for fiscal 2025, driven by increased deliveries and higher aftermarket volume.
π Investment in Innovation
$45 million (2025 forecast)
eAviation Segment Revenue
Textron is investing in hybrid and electric aviation technologies, which positions them well for future market trends in sustainable aviation solutions.
Risks
π Industrial Segment Challenges
$3.2 billion
Projected Industrial Segment Revenue
The Industrial segment is expected to see lower revenues due to ongoing softness in specialized vehicles and markets, indicating a potential drag on overall growth.
Ongoing uncertainties with military program funding due to the longer fiscal 2025 continuing resolution could disrupt future contracts and revenue forecasts.
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