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TT
Trane Technologies plc
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is excellent at 20.8% per year
Earnings Expectations TT has met or exceeded earnings expectations in all recent quarters (10/10)
Positive Moderate Growth Expectations
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Gross Profit Margin
Positive Decent Operating Profit Margin
Positive Strong Interest Coverage Ratio
Positive Manageable Debt Levels
Positive πŸ† Proven Business Model
Positive πŸš€ Strong Competitive Position
Positive πŸ’° High Profitability
Positive 🌱 Strong Growth Outlook
Positive πŸ” Focus on Innovation
Negative High Valuation Ratios
Negative Elevated EV Ratios
Negative Low Net Profit Margin
Negative Lower Quick Ratio
Negative βš–οΈ Market Volatility
Negative 🌍 Global Economic Risks

Trane Technologies exhibits strong business quality with a proven model, robust profitability, and a strong competitive position, despite facing market volatility in certain segments. The future prospects are bright with strong growth guidance and a focus on innovation, although global economic risks remain a concern.

Analysis Date: January 30, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+563%
+20.8% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country IE
Exchange NYSE
Industry Construction
Sector Industrials
Market Cap $86.30B
CEO Mr. David S. Regnery

Trane Technologies plc is a company that makes products to help control temperature and air quality in buildings and vehicles. They design and sell air conditioners, heaters, and refrigeration systems, which keep homes, offices, and trucks comfortable and fresh. Additionally, they provide services to maintain and repair these systems. Founded in 1885 and based in Ireland, Trane Technologies is known for its Trane and Thermo King brands.

Streams of revenue

Climate: 77%
Industrial: 23%

Geographic Distribution

Americas: 82%
EMEA: 12%
Asia Pacific: 6%

Core Products

🚚
Thermo King Transport refrigeration
⚑
Energy Services Energy optimization
❄️
Trane HVAC Systems Heating & cooling
🏒
Building Automation Smart building controls

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

🌟
Brand Reputation Trane Technologies has established strong brand recognition and trust in the HVAC industry, which fosters customer loyalty and repeat business.
πŸš€
Innovative Technology The company invests heavily in research and development, leading to cutting-edge products such as energy-efficient systems and smart home automation solutions.
πŸ› οΈ
Diverse Product Portfolio With a wide range of products and services across heating, cooling, and refrigeration, Trane Technologies can cater to various market segments and customer needs.
♻️
Sustainability Commitment Trane Technologies focuses on sustainability and energy efficiency, aligning with growing environmental concerns and regulatory requirements, which attracts eco-conscious customers.
🌍
Global Distribution Network A robust global distribution and service network enables the company to reach customers effectively and provide timely support, enhancing customer satisfaction.

Key Business Risks

βš”οΈ
Market Competition Intense competition in the HVAC industry can pressure margins and market share.
πŸ“‰
Economic Fluctuations Economic downturns can lead to reduced demand for HVAC systems and services.
πŸ“œ
Regulatory Compliance Failure to comply with environmental and safety regulations can result in fines and operational restrictions.
🚧
Supply Chain Disruptions Interruptions in the supply chain can affect production schedules and lead to increased costs.
πŸ’»
Technological Advancements Rapid technological changes may require continuous investment and adaptation to remain competitive.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$440.43

Current Market Price: $317.85

IV/P Ratio: 1.39x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

28.000000000000004%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for TT

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (27.81)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (9.58)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.21x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (3.40x)
Yes Margin of safety (28.000000000000004%)
No TT does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 35.5592174728847

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 35.691926142120465

Net Profit Margin: 9.839651982800772

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

35.56%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

35.69%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

9.84%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Healthy Gross Profit Margin

35.69%
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 35.69% reflects a strong ability to retain a significant portion of revenue after accounting for the cost of goods sold, indicating efficient production or product quality.

Decent Operating Profit Margin

17.67%
Operating Profit Margin

An operating profit margin of 17.67% shows that the company effectively manages its operating expenses in relation to its sales, contributing positively to overall profitability.

Low Net Profit Margin

9.84%
Net Profit Margin

A net profit margin of 9.84% indicates that while the company is profitable, a significant portion of revenue is consumed by expenses, which may limit growth potential.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.49x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.21x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Interest Coverage Ratio

14.70
Interest Coverage Ratio

With an interest coverage ratio of 14.70, the company can easily meet its interest obligations, indicating strong financial health and low risk of default.

Manageable Debt Levels

0.49
Debt to Equity Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 shows that the company is moderately leveraged, which can be a sign of prudent financial management, as it uses debt to finance growth while maintaining equity strength.

Lower Quick Ratio

0.88
Quick Ratio

The quick ratio of 0.88 indicates that the company may struggle to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets, which could pose a liquidity risk.

Meeting Expectations

10 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-01-30 +3.6%
Beat earnings
2024-10-30 +3.7%
Beat earnings
2024-07-31 +7.1%
Beat earnings
2024-04-30 +17.6%
Beat earnings
2024-02-01 +1.9%
Beat earnings
2023-11-01 +4.9%
Beat earnings
2023-08-02 +4.7%
Beat earnings
2023-05-03 +5.2%
Beat earnings
2023-02-02 +11.0%
Beat earnings
2022-11-02 +7.1%

EPS

2.52
Estimated
2.61
Actual
+3.57%
Difference

πŸ† Proven Business Model

12%
Revenue CAGR (2020-2024)
109%
Free Cash Flow Conversion (2024)

Trane Technologies has a robust business model that emphasizes sustainability and innovation, driving significant customer demand. The company has a proven track record of financial performance, with a consistent revenue CAGR of 12% since 2020 and an impressive 109% free cash flow conversion in 2024.

πŸš€ Strong Competitive Position

$6.75 billion
Backlog (2025)

Trane's market position is strengthened by its extensive portfolio across 14 commercial verticals, enabling broad-based growth. The company has a robust pipeline of orders and a backlog of $6.75 billion, providing visibility into future revenues.

πŸ’° High Profitability

110 basis points
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion (Q4 2024)

The company has demonstrated strong profitability with adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 110 basis points in Q4 2024 and a sustained focus on margin enhancement through productivity and price realization.

βš–οΈ Market Volatility

Approximately 25%
Transport Market Year-over-Year Decline (Q1 2025)

The company faces challenges in the transport refrigeration market and residential segments, indicating potential headwinds in certain areas. The expected downturn in transport markets could impact overall performance in the near term.

🌱 Strong Growth Outlook

7-8%
2025 Organic Revenue Growth Guidance

Trane anticipates 7-8% organic revenue growth for 2025, driven by strong demand in commercial HVAC and the normalization of residential markets. The company is positioned to capitalize on growth in high-growth verticals and multi-year CapEx cycles.

πŸ” Focus on Innovation

Less than $300 million
Investment in Technology (BrainBox AI)

The acquisition of BrainBox AI enhances Trane's service offerings and efficiency capabilities. This investment in technology is expected to drive future growth and improve service margins as the company integrates AI into its operations.

🌍 Global Economic Risks

Ongoing in H1 2025
Impact of Tightened Credit Policies

Tightened credit policies in China and uncertainties in global markets could pose risks to growth, particularly in the Asia Pacific region. The company must navigate these challenges while maintaining its growth trajectory.

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