10Y annualized return is
excellent
at 20.8% per year
TT has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
all
recent quarters (10/10)
Moderate Growth Expectations
Strong Return on Equity
Healthy Gross Profit Margin
Decent Operating Profit Margin
Strong Interest Coverage Ratio
Manageable Debt Levels
π Proven Business Model
π Strong Competitive Position
π° High Profitability
π± Strong Growth Outlook
π Focus on Innovation
High Valuation Ratios
Elevated EV Ratios
Low Net Profit Margin
Lower Quick Ratio
βοΈ Market Volatility
π Global Economic Risks
Trane Technologies exhibits strong business quality with a proven model, robust profitability, and a strong competitive position, despite facing market volatility in certain segments. The future prospects are bright with strong growth guidance and a focus on innovation, although global economic risks remain a concern.
Analysis Date: January 30, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+563%
+20.8% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryIE
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryConstruction
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap$86.30B
CEOMr. David S. Regnery
Trane Technologies plc is a company that makes products to help control temperature and air quality in buildings and vehicles. They design and sell air conditioners, heaters, and refrigeration systems, which keep homes, offices, and trucks comfortable and fresh. Additionally, they provide services to maintain and repair these systems. Founded in 1885 and based in Ireland, Trane Technologies is known for its Trane and Thermo King brands.
Streams of revenue
Climate:77%
Industrial:23%
Geographic Distribution
Americas:82%
EMEA:12%
Asia Pacific:6%
Core Products
π
Thermo KingTransport refrigeration
β‘
Energy ServicesEnergy optimization
βοΈ
Trane HVAC SystemsHeating & cooling
π’
Building AutomationSmart building controls
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π
Brand ReputationTrane Technologies has established strong brand recognition and trust in the HVAC industry, which fosters customer loyalty and repeat business.
π
Innovative TechnologyThe company invests heavily in research and development, leading to cutting-edge products such as energy-efficient systems and smart home automation solutions.
π οΈ
Diverse Product PortfolioWith a wide range of products and services across heating, cooling, and refrigeration, Trane Technologies can cater to various market segments and customer needs.
β»οΈ
Sustainability CommitmentTrane Technologies focuses on sustainability and energy efficiency, aligning with growing environmental concerns and regulatory requirements, which attracts eco-conscious customers.
π
Global Distribution NetworkA robust global distribution and service network enables the company to reach customers effectively and provide timely support, enhancing customer satisfaction.
Key Business Risks
βοΈ
Market CompetitionIntense competition in the HVAC industry can pressure margins and market share.
π
Economic FluctuationsEconomic downturns can lead to reduced demand for HVAC systems and services.
π
Regulatory ComplianceFailure to comply with environmental and safety regulations can result in fines and operational restrictions.
π§
Supply Chain DisruptionsInterruptions in the supply chain can affect production schedules and lead to increased costs.
π»
Technological AdvancementsRapid technological changes may require continuous investment and adaptation to remain competitive.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$440.43
Current Market Price: $317.85
IV/P Ratio: 1.39x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
28.000000000000004%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for TT
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (27.81)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (9.58)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.21x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (3.40x)
Margin of safety (28.000000000000004%)
TT does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 35.5592174728847
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 35.691926142120465
Net Profit Margin: 9.839651982800772
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
35.56%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
35.69%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
The gross profit margin of 35.69% reflects a strong ability to retain a significant portion of revenue after accounting for the cost of goods sold, indicating efficient production or product quality.
Decent Operating Profit Margin
17.67%
Operating Profit Margin
An operating profit margin of 17.67% shows that the company effectively manages its operating expenses in relation to its sales, contributing positively to overall profitability.
Weaknesses
Low Net Profit Margin
9.84%
Net Profit Margin
A net profit margin of 9.84% indicates that while the company is profitable, a significant portion of revenue is consumed by expenses, which may limit growth potential.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.49x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Interest Coverage Ratio
14.70
Interest Coverage Ratio
With an interest coverage ratio of 14.70, the company can easily meet its interest obligations, indicating strong financial health and low risk of default.
Manageable Debt Levels
0.49
Debt to Equity Ratio
A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 shows that the company is moderately leveraged, which can be a sign of prudent financial management, as it uses debt to finance growth while maintaining equity strength.
Weaknesses
Lower Quick Ratio
0.88
Quick Ratio
The quick ratio of 0.88 indicates that the company may struggle to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets, which could pose a liquidity risk.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
10/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-30
+3.6%
2024-10-30
+3.7%
2024-07-31
+7.1%
2024-04-30
+17.6%
2024-02-01
+1.9%
2023-11-01
+4.9%
2023-08-02
+4.7%
2023-05-03
+5.2%
2023-02-02
+11.0%
2022-11-02
+7.1%
Earnings call from January 30, 2025
EPS
2.52
Estimated
2.61
Actual
+3.57%
Difference
Strengths
π Proven Business Model
12%
Revenue CAGR (2020-2024)
109%
Free Cash Flow Conversion (2024)
Trane Technologies has a robust business model that emphasizes sustainability and innovation, driving significant customer demand. The company has a proven track record of financial performance, with a consistent revenue CAGR of 12% since 2020 and an impressive 109% free cash flow conversion in 2024.
π Strong Competitive Position
$6.75 billion
Backlog (2025)
Trane's market position is strengthened by its extensive portfolio across 14 commercial verticals, enabling broad-based growth. The company has a robust pipeline of orders and a backlog of $6.75 billion, providing visibility into future revenues.
π° High Profitability
110 basis points
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion (Q4 2024)
The company has demonstrated strong profitability with adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 110 basis points in Q4 2024 and a sustained focus on margin enhancement through productivity and price realization.
Weaknesses
βοΈ Market Volatility
Approximately 25%
Transport Market Year-over-Year Decline (Q1 2025)
The company faces challenges in the transport refrigeration market and residential segments, indicating potential headwinds in certain areas. The expected downturn in transport markets could impact overall performance in the near term.
Opportunities
π± Strong Growth Outlook
7-8%
2025 Organic Revenue Growth Guidance
Trane anticipates 7-8% organic revenue growth for 2025, driven by strong demand in commercial HVAC and the normalization of residential markets. The company is positioned to capitalize on growth in high-growth verticals and multi-year CapEx cycles.
π Focus on Innovation
Less than $300 million
Investment in Technology (BrainBox AI)
The acquisition of BrainBox AI enhances Trane's service offerings and efficiency capabilities. This investment in technology is expected to drive future growth and improve service margins as the company integrates AI into its operations.
Risks
π Global Economic Risks
Ongoing in H1 2025
Impact of Tightened Credit Policies
Tightened credit policies in China and uncertainties in global markets could pose risks to growth, particularly in the Asia Pacific region. The company must navigate these challenges while maintaining its growth trajectory.
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