10Y annualized return is
excellent
at 33.0% per year
TSLA has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
few
recent quarters (4/10)
Strong Liquidity Ratios
Healthy Return on Equity
Solid Net Profit Margin
Low Debt Levels
Strong Interest Coverage
π Record Production and Market Leadership
π Cost Efficiency and Inventory Management
π Strong Energy Business Growth
π Autonomous Driving Innovations
π€ Potential of Optimus Robotics
π Global Expansion Opportunities
High Valuation Ratios
Low Operating Profit Margin
β οΈ Regulatory Challenges
Overall, Tesla demonstrates a strong business model with significant competitive advantages and a solid market position. The company's future prospects appear promising, driven by innovations in autonomous driving and robotics, although regulatory challenges may pose risks to rapid growth.
Analysis Date: January 29, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+1629%
+33.0% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Market Cap$1.32T
CEOMr. Elon R. Musk
Tesla, Inc. is a company that makes electric cars and energy products. They design and sell vehicles like cars and SUVs that run on electricity instead of gas. Tesla also creates solar panels and batteries to store energy for homes and businesses. In simple terms, Tesla is all about helping people use clean energy and drive cars that are better for the environment.
Streams of revenue
Automotive Revenues:80%
Services And Other:11%
Energy Generation And Storage Segment:9%
Geographic Distribution
UNITED STATES:50%
Other Countries:28%
CHINA:23%
Core Products
π
Model 3Affordable electric car
π
Model SLuxury electric sedan
π
Model XElectric SUV
π
Model YCompact electric SUV
π
PowerwallHome battery storage
Business Type
Mixed Business Model
Competitive Advantages
π
Brand RecognitionTesla has established a strong brand synonymous with innovation and sustainability, attracting a loyal customer base.
π
Supercharger NetworkTesla's extensive Supercharger network provides convenience and range confidence, enhancing the ownership experience.
π
Vertical IntegrationTesla's control over manufacturing and supply chains allows for cost efficiencies and innovation in its products.
βοΈ
Energy Product SynergyThe integration of solar and energy storage products with electric vehicles creates a comprehensive ecosystem for sustainable energy solutions.
βοΈ
Technological LeadershipTesla's advanced battery technology and autonomous driving capabilities set it apart from competitors in the electric vehicle market.
Key Business Risks
βοΈ
Regulatory RiskChanges in government regulations regarding electric vehicles and emissions standards could impact operations and sales.
π
Market CompetitionIntense competition from established automakers and new entrants in the electric vehicle market could erode market share.
π
Economic SensitivityConsumer demand for electric vehicles is sensitive to economic downturns, affecting sales and revenue.
π
Supply Chain DisruptionsDependence on global supply chains for critical components like batteries may lead to production delays and increased costs.
π»
Technological ObsolescenceRapid advancements in technology may render current products outdated, requiring continuous innovation and investment.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$85.44
Current Market Price: $239.69
IV/P Ratio: 0.36x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-181.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for TSLA
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (107.89)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (10.55)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (2.02x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.19x)
Margin of safety (-181.0%)
TSLA does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 9.029281777683869
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 17.862626676220696
Net Profit Margin: 7.2586754017811455
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
9.03%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
17.86%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Tesla's return on equity (ROE) of 10.36% reflects a reasonable ability to generate profit from shareholders' equity, indicating efficiency in utilizing capital.
Solid Net Profit Margin
7.26%
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 7.26% indicates that Tesla retains a good portion of its revenue as profit, demonstrating effective cost management.
Weaknesses
Low Operating Profit Margin
7.24%
Operating Profit Margin
Tesla's operating profit margin of 7.24% suggests that its operational efficiency could be improved, as a lower margin could indicate higher costs relative to revenue.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.11x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Low Debt Levels
0.11
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.07
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.07, Tesla demonstrates a strong balance sheet, suggesting it is not overly reliant on debt financing.
Strong Interest Coverage
20.22
Interest Coverage Ratio
Tesla's interest coverage ratio of 20.22 indicates that it has a strong ability to meet interest obligations, suggesting financial stability.
Weaknesses
No financial health weaknesses identified.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
4/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-29
-5.7%
2024-10-23
+24.1%
2024-07-23
-16.1%
2024-04-23
-11.8%
2024-01-24
-5.3%
2023-10-18
-8.3%
2023-07-19
+11.0%
2023-04-19
0.0%
2023-01-25
+5.3%
2022-10-19
+6.1%
Earnings call from January 29, 2025
EPS
0.77
Estimated
0.73
Actual
-5.68%
Difference
Strengths
π Record Production and Market Leadership
2 million
Annualized Vehicle Delivery Rate
Model Y (2024)
Best-Selling Vehicle
Tesla achieved record production and deliveries, reaching an annualized rate of nearly 2 million vehicles, with the Model Y recognized as the best-selling vehicle globally in 2024. This demonstrates strong market leadership and brand acceptance.
π Cost Efficiency and Inventory Management
Lowest in 2 years
Finished Goods Inventory
$35,000
Cost Per Car
Tesla successfully reduced its finished goods inventory to the lowest levels in two years while lowering the overall cost per car to below $35,000, showcasing effective cost management.
π Strong Energy Business Growth
All-time high in Q4
Energy Storage Deployments
50% in 2025
Year-over-Year Growth Expectation
Energy storage deployments reached an all-time high in Q4, indicating robust growth in Tesla's energy segment and highlighting the potential for future energy solutions like grid storage.
Weaknesses
No weaknesses identified.
Opportunities
π Autonomous Driving Innovations
June 2025
FSD Launch Date
Nationwide in 2026
Expected Expansion
Tesla plans to launch unsupervised Full Self Driving (FSD) in Austin by June 2025, with expectations to expand to other regions. This innovation positions Tesla as a leader in the autonomous vehicle market.
π€ Potential of Optimus Robotics
$10 trillion
Revenue Potential from Optimus
Elon Musk predicts that the Optimus humanoid robot could generate north of $10 trillion in revenue, reflecting substantial growth potential in robotics and automation.
π Global Expansion Opportunities
Addressing battery constraints
Projected Battery Production Growth
Greater China and others
New Markets
Tesla is focused on increasing battery production to meet global demand and expanding its operations in regions like China, which could significantly boost its market presence.
Risks
β οΈ Regulatory Challenges
May 2025 for Europe
Expected Regulatory Approval Delay
Regulatory hurdles, particularly in Europe and China, may slow the rollout of FSD features and impact Teslaβs ability to capitalize on its innovations quickly.
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