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TRV
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is very good at 10.1% per year
Earnings Expectations TRV has met or exceeded earnings expectations in some recent quarters (5/10)
Positive Attractive P/E Ratio
Positive Reasonable Price to Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Solid Net Profit Margin
Positive Exceptional Liquidity Ratios
Positive Good Interest Coverage
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸ’ͺ Solid Underwriting Profitability
Positive πŸ“Š Sustainable Growth Strategy
Positive πŸš€ Investment in Technology and Innovation
Positive πŸ” Focus on Market Adaptability
Negative High Price to Book Ratio
Negative High EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Low Operating Profit Margin
Negative Gross Profit Margin Exceeds 100%
Negative High Debt to Equity Ratio
Negative Cash Ratio Below 1
Negative ⚠️ Challenges in the Catastrophe Environment
Negative πŸ“‰ Potential for Market Pressure

Travelers demonstrates strong business quality through exceptional financial performance and a solid underwriting model. However, challenges from catastrophic events and market pressures introduce uncertainties. The company's future prospects are bolstered by significant investments in technology and adaptability to market dynamics, though potential pricing pressures could impact growth.

Analysis Date: January 22, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+161%
+10.1% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Sector Financial Services
Market Cap $54.91B
CEO Mr. Alan David Schnitzer J.D.

The Travelers Companies, Inc. is an insurance company that helps protect people and businesses from unexpected events. They offer different types of insurance, like car and home insurance for individuals, and various types of coverage for businesses, including protection against accidents and damages. Essentially, if something goes wrong, Travelers helps cover the costs, giving customers peace of mind. Founded in 1853 and based in New York, they have been in the insurance business for a long time, serving customers across the U.S. and beyond.

Streams of revenue

Business Insurance: 53%
Personal Insurance: 37%
Bond & Specialty Insurance: 9%

Geographic Distribution

United States: 67%
Europe: 16%
Canada: 11%
Asia: 4%
Other: 2%

Estimations for reference only

Core Products

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Business Insurance Commercial coverage
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Personal Insurance Home & auto coverage
πŸ”’
Bond & Specialty Insurance Surety & fidelity bonds

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

πŸ†
Strong Brand Reputation Travelers has a long-standing history and a strong brand presence, instilling trust and reliability among customers.
πŸ“¦
Diverse Product Offering The company provides a wide range of insurance products catering to various customer needs, which helps in cross-selling and customer retention.
πŸ”
Data-Driven Risk Management The use of advanced analytics and data management allows Travelers to effectively assess risks and tailor insurance products accordingly.
🌐
Robust Distribution Network Travelers utilizes a vast network of independent agents and brokers, enhancing market reach and customer access.
πŸ’ͺ
Financial Strength and Stability With strong financial backing and credit ratings, Travelers can offer competitive premiums and maintain customer confidence during claims.

Key Business Risks

πŸ“‰
Economic Downturn Economic recessions can reduce demand for insurance products and increase default rates on premiums.
πŸŒͺ️
Natural Disasters Increased frequency and severity of natural disasters can lead to higher claims and financial losses.
βš”οΈ
Market Competition Intense competition from other insurance providers can lead to price wars and reduced market share.
πŸ“œ
Regulatory Changes Changes in insurance regulations can impact operations, compliance costs, and profitability.
πŸ›‘οΈ
Cybersecurity Threats Rising cyber threats could compromise sensitive customer data and lead to reputational damage and financial loss.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$846.36

Current Market Price: $241.54

IV/P Ratio: 3.50x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

71.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for TRV

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (11.02)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (243.12)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (29.02x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.07x)
Yes Margin of safety (71.0%)
No TRV does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 15.729240514487216

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 100.22615662962006

Net Profit Margin: 10.767209442577755

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

15.73%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.23%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

10.77%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Return on Equity

25.7
Return on Equity

The return on equity (ROE) of 25.70% indicates that the company is effective in generating profits from its equity, which is a strong sign of profitability.

Solid Net Profit Margin

10.77
Net Profit Margin

With a net profit margin of 10.77%, the company demonstrates effective cost management and profitability relative to its revenues.

Low Operating Profit Margin

4.79
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 4.79% is relatively low, indicating that the company may face challenges in controlling its operating expenses.

Gross Profit Margin Exceeds 100%

100.23
Gross Profit Margin

A gross profit margin of over 100% indicates potential anomalies in reporting or revenue recognition, which may raise concerns about the quality of earnings.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

35.45x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

29.02x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Exceptional Liquidity Ratios

29.02
Current Ratio
29.02
Quick Ratio

The current and quick ratios both at approximately 29.02 indicate extremely strong liquidity, suggesting the company can easily cover its short-term obligations.

Good Interest Coverage

5.67
Interest Coverage

The interest coverage ratio of 5.67 indicates that the company has sufficient earnings to cover its interest expenses, highlighting financial stability.

High Debt to Equity Ratio

35.45
Debt to Equity Ratio

The debt to equity ratio of 35.45 indicates a high level of leverage, which could pose risks if the company faces financial difficulties.

Cash Ratio Below 1

0.18
Cash Ratio

With a cash ratio of 0.18, the company may not have enough cash on hand to cover short-term liabilities, indicating a potential liquidity concern despite high current and quick ratios.

Meeting Expectations

5 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-01-22 +36.6%
Beat earnings
2024-10-17 +47.6%
Beat earnings
2024-07-19 +26.8%
Missed earnings
2024-04-17 -4.3%
Beat earnings
2024-01-19 +37.7%
Missed earnings
2023-10-18 -35.2%
Missed earnings
2023-07-20 -97.4%
Missed earnings
2023-04-19 -9.6%
Missed earnings
2023-01-24 0.0%
Beat earnings
2022-10-19 +41.0%

EPS

6.70
Estimated
9.15
Actual
+36.57%
Difference

πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance

$5 billion
Core Income
17.2%
Core ROE

Travelers reported a core income increase of 64% to over $5 billion for the full year, with a core return on equity of 17.2%. This was driven by strong fundamentals, growth in earned premiums, and excellent underwriting profitability.

πŸ’ͺ Solid Underwriting Profitability

83.2%
Combined Ratio

The company achieved an exceptional combined ratio of 83.2%, showing an improvement from the previous year. All three segments reported strong underwriting margins, indicating effective risk management.

πŸ“Š Sustainable Growth Strategy

8%
Net Written Premium Growth

Travelers has consistently grown net written premiums, with an 8% increase reported for the year, supported by strong pricing and excellent retention. This organic growth strategy reflects a low-risk approach to expanding market share.

⚠️ Challenges in the Catastrophe Environment

$175 million
Q4 Catastrophe Loss

The company acknowledged the impact of recent catastrophic events, including wildfires in California, which could significantly affect future earnings. The uncertainty around such events adds a level of risk to their business model.

πŸš€ Investment in Technology and Innovation

$1.5 billion
Technology Investment

Travelers is investing heavily in technology, with over $1.5 billion spent on strategic initiatives. This includes advancements in analytics, automation, and customer experience, which are expected to enhance their competitive edge going forward.

πŸ” Focus on Market Adaptability

$3.7 billion
Reinsurance Coverage

The company is proactively managing its exposure to high-risk areas, such as wildfires, while also enhancing reinsurance protections. This adaptability positions Travelers to better navigate future market conditions.

πŸ“‰ Potential for Market Pressure

Slightly Negative
Workers' Comp Pricing Trend

The competitive landscape in insurance remains challenging, particularly with pricing pressures observed in certain lines such as workers' compensation. This could affect future premium growth and margins.

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