10Y annualized return is
excellent
at 18.1% per year
PHM has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
most
recent quarters (9/10)
Low Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Attractive EV/EBITDA Ratio
Strong Return on Equity
Healthy Net Profit Margin
Strong Liquidity Position
Low Debt Levels
π Strong Financial Performance
π Efficient Capital Management
π Recognition for Company Culture
π Positive Long-term Housing Outlook
π Strategic Inventory Management
Higher Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio
β οΈ Rising Costs and Affordability Challenges
π Affordability Pressures on Homebuyers
PulteGroup demonstrates strong business quality through financial performance, efficient capital management, and a positive workplace culture. Future prospects appear optimistic, driven by a favorable long-term housing outlook and strategic inventory management, although concerns around affordability may pose challenges.
Analysis Date: January 30, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+428%
+18.1% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryResidential Construction
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Market Cap$22.34B
CEOMr. Ryan R. Marshall
PulteGroup, Inc. is a company that builds homes in the United States. They buy land, develop it, and then construct different types of houses like single-family homes, townhouses, and condos. They also help people get loans to buy these homes and provide services like title insurance. Overall, PulteGroup focuses on creating neighborhoods where people can live.
Streams of revenue
Home Building Segment:98%
Financial Service:3%
Geographic Distribution
Florida:27%
West:23%
Southeast:15%
MidWest:15%
Texas:13%
Northeast:6%
Core Products
π
HomebuildingResidential homes
π
Title ServicesTitle insurance
π°
Mortgage FinancingHome loans
Business Type
Business to Consumer
Competitive Advantages
π
Brand RecognitionPulteGroup's established brands, like Pulte Homes and Del Webb, enjoy strong market recognition, helping to attract buyers.
π
Economies of ScaleAs one of the largest homebuilders in the U.S., PulteGroup benefits from cost efficiencies, allowing competitive pricing and higher margins.
ποΈ
Diverse Product OfferingsPulteGroup provides a wide range of home designs and styles, catering to various buyer preferences and demographics.
π
Land Acquisition StrategyThe company controls a substantial inventory of lots, ensuring access to desirable locations and reducing competition for land.
π¦
Integrated Financing SolutionsBy offering mortgage origination and title services, PulteGroup enhances customer convenience and maintains control over the sales process.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnA significant economic downturn could reduce demand for new homes, impacting sales and profitability.
βοΈ
Regulatory ChangesChanges in zoning laws, building codes, or environmental regulations can increase operational costs and project timelines.
π
Land Acquisition RisksChallenges in acquiring land or unfavorable land option agreements can limit growth opportunities for the company.
π
Supply Chain DisruptionsDisruptions in the supply chain for construction materials can lead to project delays and increased costs.
π
Interest Rate FluctuationsRising interest rates can decrease affordability for homebuyers, leading to a slowdown in home sales.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$575.41
Current Market Price: $98.93
IV/P Ratio: 5.82x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
83.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for PHM
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (6.77)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (1.72)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (11.08x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.15x)
Margin of safety (83.0%)
PHM does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 33.7117430476511
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 29.07264303557746
Net Profit Margin: 17.179865259564146
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
Scroll horizontally to see more
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
33.71%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
29.07%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Liquidity Position
11.08
Current Ratio
The current ratio of 11.08 indicates that the company has a strong ability to meet its short-term obligations, suggesting excellent liquidity.
Low Debt Levels
0.19
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.13
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and debt-to-assets of 0.13 signify low reliance on debt, indicating a strong balance sheet.
Weaknesses
No financial health weaknesses identified.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
9/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-30
+6.7%
2024-10-22
+7.7%
2024-07-23
+15.3%
2024-04-23
+25.4%
2024-01-30
+1.9%
2023-10-24
+2.5%
2023-07-25
+19.5%
2023-04-25
+29.8%
2023-01-31
+23.9%
2022-10-25
-4.6%
Earnings call from January 30, 2025
EPS
3.28
Estimated
3.50
Actual
+6.71%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Financial Performance
$17.3 billion
Home Sale Revenues
28.9%
Gross Margins
PulteGroup reported record home sale revenues of $17.3 billion in 2024, a 9% increase from the previous year. The company also achieved industry-leading gross margins of 28.9%, demonstrating strong profitability despite affordability challenges.
π Efficient Capital Management
$1.7 billion
Cash Flow from Operations
11.8%
Gross Debt-to-Capital Ratio
The company generated $1.7 billion in cash flow from operations while investing $5.3 billion in new land, maintaining a gross debt-to-capital ratio of only 11.8%. This reflects a strong balance sheet and prudent capital allocation.
π Recognition for Company Culture
PulteGroup was named to Fortune's Top 100 Best Companies to Work For in 2024, indicating a strong corporate culture that can attract and retain talent.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Rising Costs and Affordability Challenges
10%
Projected Land Cost Increase
The company faces increasing land costs, projected at a 10% increase year-over-year, and rising construction costs, which could pressure margins and affordability for homebuyers.
Opportunities
π Positive Long-term Housing Outlook
The management expressed confidence in the long-term demand for new homes, citing a strong economy, employment stability, and structural housing shortages as positive indicators for growth.
π Strategic Inventory Management
40-45%
Target Spec Inventory
PulteGroup plans to maintain a flexible production strategy aligned with demand, aiming for a spec inventory of 40-45%. This adaptability positions the company to react effectively to market conditions.
Risks
π Affordability Pressures on Homebuyers
The increase in mortgage rates and high living costs are impacting first-time buyers, which could lead to lower activity levels in the housing market.
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