10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 4.2% per year
MRK has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
most
recent quarters (9/10)
Attractive P/E Ratio
Reasonable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Strong Profit Margins
High Return on Equity
Strong Liquidity Ratios
Manageable Debt Levels
π Global Reach and Impact
πͺ Strong Product Portfolio
π Innovation-Driven Pipeline
π Strong Growth Expectations
π¬ Robust R&D Investments
High Price-to-Book Ratio
Low Interest Coverage
π GARDASIL Challenges in China
π Uncertainty in GARDASIL Outlook
Overall, Merck showcases a strong business model with solid competitive advantages, particularly in oncology and a diversified pipeline. However, challenges in specific markets like China and uncertainty in future sales targets for GARDASIL highlight areas of concern. The company is well-positioned for future growth, driven by innovation and a commitment to research.
Analysis Date: February 4, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+51%
+4.2% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryDrug Manufacturers - General
SectorHealthcare
Market Cap$252.26B
CEOMr. Robert M. Davis J.D.
Merck & Co., Inc. is a healthcare company that makes medicines and vaccines for both people and animals. They create treatments for serious health issues like cancer, diabetes, and infections, and also produce vaccines to help prevent diseases. In addition, Merck develops products to keep animals healthy, including vaccines and medicines for pets and livestock. Founded in 1891, the company is based in New Jersey and works with other organizations to improve health solutions.
Streams of revenue
Pharmaceutical segment:91%
Animal Health segment:9%
Geographic Distribution
UNITED STATES:55%
EMEA:22%
Asia Pacific:17%
Latin America:6%
Core Products
π
BridionAnesthesia reversal
π
JanuviaDiabetes medication
π
GardasilHPV vaccine
π
KeytrudaCancer treatment
π
Pneumovax 23Pneumonia vaccine
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π¦
Diverse PortfolioMerck's diverse portfolio in both human and animal health reduces dependency on any single product line, providing stability and resilience.
π€
Strategic CollaborationsPartnerships with leading companies enhance Merck's research capabilities and market reach, leading to innovative solutions and shared expertise.
π
Global Distribution NetworkMerck's extensive global distribution network allows efficient delivery of products, reaching a wide range of customers across various markets.
π
Established Brand ReputationWith over a century of experience, Merck has built a strong brand reputation for quality and efficacy in healthcare, fostering customer loyalty.
π¬
Strong Pipeline of Innovative ProductsMerck has a robust pipeline of innovative pharmaceutical products, particularly in oncology and vaccines, which ensures long-term revenue growth.
Key Business Risks
π
Market CompetitionIntense competition from other pharmaceutical companies can affect market share and pricing.
π°
R&D Investment RisksHigh costs and potential failures in research and development can lead to financial losses.
βοΈ
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in healthcare regulations can impact product approvals and market access.
π§
Supply Chain DisruptionsIssues in the supply chain can impact the availability of raw materials and affect production.
π
Intellectual Property RisksPatent expirations and challenges can lead to increased competition from generic drugs.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$84.20
Current Market Price: $80.99
IV/P Ratio: 1.04x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
4.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for MRK
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (12.09)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (4.47)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.36x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (3.33x)
Margin of safety (4.0%)
MRK does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 39.17807748868455
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 80.84870963720235
Net Profit Margin: 26.675289864106723
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
39.18%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
80.85%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
MRK exhibits a gross profit margin of 80.85%, an operating profit margin of 35.36%, and a net profit margin of 26.68%, highlighting its effectiveness in converting sales into profits.
High Return on Equity
0.3918
Return on Equity
A return on equity (ROE) of 39.18% indicates that MRK is highly effective in generating profit from its equity base, which is significantly above average.
Weaknesses
No profitability weaknesses identified.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.80x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Liquidity Ratios
1.36
Current Ratio
1.15
Quick Ratio
MRK has a current ratio of 1.36 and a quick ratio of 1.15, indicating good short-term financial health and the ability to cover its liabilities.
Manageable Debt Levels
0.8
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.32
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.32 suggest that MRK maintains a balanced approach to leveraging, which helps reduce financial risk.
Weaknesses
Low Interest Coverage
0.0
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 0.0 indicates that MRK currently does not have enough earnings to cover its interest obligations, which could pose a risk if interest rates rise.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
9/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-04
-7.0%
2024-10-31
+4.7%
2024-07-30
+6.0%
2024-04-25
+10.1%
2024-02-01
+133.3%
2023-10-26
+9.2%
2023-08-01
+5.1%
2023-04-27
+6.1%
2023-02-02
+3.8%
2022-10-27
+10.8%
Earnings call from February 4, 2025
EPS
1.85
Estimated
1.72
Actual
-7.03%
Difference
Strengths
π Global Reach and Impact
500 million
Global Patients Reached
Merck has demonstrated a significant global presence, reaching nearly half a billion people with its medicines and vaccines in 2024. This extensive reach underscores its ability to impact patient care on a large scale.
πͺ Strong Product Portfolio
21%
KEYTRUDA Sales Growth
The company has a robust portfolio, particularly in oncology with KEYTRUDA, which saw a 21% sales growth due to its demand across various cancer types. This reflects Merck's competitive advantage in the oncology space.
π Innovation-Driven Pipeline
20
New Growth Drivers
$50 billion
Potential Revenue Opportunity
Merck is advancing multiple late-phase programs, with 20 potential new growth drivers identified, most of which have blockbuster potential. This focus on innovation enhances its long-term business quality.
Weaknesses
π GARDASIL Challenges in China
-18%
GARDASIL Sales Decline in China
Merck faced challenges with GARDASIL's sales in China, leading to a decision to pause shipments to manage inventory. This reflects a vulnerability in its international strategy.
Opportunities
π Strong Growth Expectations
$64.1 to $65.6 billion
2025 Revenue Guidance
Despite short-term headwinds, Merck expects strong growth in the second half of 2025 and beyond, supported by a diverse pipeline and new product launches, particularly in oncology and animal health.
π¬ Robust R&D Investments
Nearly tripled late-phase assets
R&D Pipeline Growth
Merck has significantly increased investments in its R&D pipeline, which is pivotal for sustaining long-term growth and innovation potential. The company is focused on various therapeutic areas, including cardiometabolic and infectious diseases.
Risks
π Uncertainty in GARDASIL Outlook
$11 billion
Withdrawn GARDASIL Target
The withdrawal of the $11 billion target for GARDASIL sales indicates a cautious approach towards future revenue expectations in this segment, particularly in the volatile Chinese market.
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