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MRK
Merck & Co., Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is positive but below market average at 4.2% per year
Earnings Expectations MRK has met or exceeded earnings expectations in most recent quarters (9/10)
Positive Attractive P/E Ratio
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Profit Margins
Positive High Return on Equity
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Manageable Debt Levels
Positive 🌍 Global Reach and Impact
Positive πŸ’ͺ Strong Product Portfolio
Positive πŸ” Innovation-Driven Pipeline
Positive πŸš€ Strong Growth Expectations
Positive πŸ”¬ Robust R&D Investments
Negative High Price-to-Book Ratio
Negative Low Interest Coverage
Negative πŸ“‰ GARDASIL Challenges in China
Negative πŸ”„ Uncertainty in GARDASIL Outlook

Overall, Merck showcases a strong business model with solid competitive advantages, particularly in oncology and a diversified pipeline. However, challenges in specific markets like China and uncertainty in future sales targets for GARDASIL highlight areas of concern. The company is well-positioned for future growth, driven by innovation and a commitment to research.

Analysis Date: February 4, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+51%
+4.2% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Drug Manufacturers - General
Sector Healthcare
Market Cap $252.26B
CEO Mr. Robert M. Davis J.D.

Merck & Co., Inc. is a healthcare company that makes medicines and vaccines for both people and animals. They create treatments for serious health issues like cancer, diabetes, and infections, and also produce vaccines to help prevent diseases. In addition, Merck develops products to keep animals healthy, including vaccines and medicines for pets and livestock. Founded in 1891, the company is based in New Jersey and works with other organizations to improve health solutions.

Streams of revenue

Pharmaceutical segment: 91%
Animal Health segment: 9%

Geographic Distribution

UNITED STATES: 55%
EMEA: 22%
Asia Pacific: 17%
Latin America: 6%

Core Products

πŸ’‰
Bridion Anesthesia reversal
πŸ’Š
Januvia Diabetes medication
πŸ’‰
Gardasil HPV vaccine
πŸ’‰
Keytruda Cancer treatment
πŸ’‰
Pneumovax 23 Pneumonia vaccine

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

πŸ“¦
Diverse Portfolio Merck's diverse portfolio in both human and animal health reduces dependency on any single product line, providing stability and resilience.
🀝
Strategic Collaborations Partnerships with leading companies enhance Merck's research capabilities and market reach, leading to innovative solutions and shared expertise.
🌍
Global Distribution Network Merck's extensive global distribution network allows efficient delivery of products, reaching a wide range of customers across various markets.
πŸ†
Established Brand Reputation With over a century of experience, Merck has built a strong brand reputation for quality and efficacy in healthcare, fostering customer loyalty.
πŸ”¬
Strong Pipeline of Innovative Products Merck has a robust pipeline of innovative pharmaceutical products, particularly in oncology and vaccines, which ensures long-term revenue growth.

Key Business Risks

🏁
Market Competition Intense competition from other pharmaceutical companies can affect market share and pricing.
πŸ’°
R&D Investment Risks High costs and potential failures in research and development can lead to financial losses.
βš–οΈ
Regulatory Compliance Changes in healthcare regulations can impact product approvals and market access.
🚧
Supply Chain Disruptions Issues in the supply chain can impact the availability of raw materials and affect production.
πŸ”’
Intellectual Property Risks Patent expirations and challenges can lead to increased competition from generic drugs.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$84.20

Current Market Price: $80.99

IV/P Ratio: 1.04x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

4.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for MRK

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (12.09)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (4.47)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.36x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (3.33x)
Yes Margin of safety (4.0%)
No MRK does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 39.17807748868455

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 80.84870963720235

Net Profit Margin: 26.675289864106723

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

39.18%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

80.85%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

26.68%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Profit Margins

0.8085
Gross Profit Margin
0.3536
Operating Profit Margin
0.2668
Net Profit Margin

MRK exhibits a gross profit margin of 80.85%, an operating profit margin of 35.36%, and a net profit margin of 26.68%, highlighting its effectiveness in converting sales into profits.

High Return on Equity

0.3918
Return on Equity

A return on equity (ROE) of 39.18% indicates that MRK is highly effective in generating profit from its equity base, which is significantly above average.

No profitability weaknesses identified.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.80x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.36x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Liquidity Ratios

1.36
Current Ratio
1.15
Quick Ratio

MRK has a current ratio of 1.36 and a quick ratio of 1.15, indicating good short-term financial health and the ability to cover its liabilities.

Manageable Debt Levels

0.8
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.32
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.32 suggest that MRK maintains a balanced approach to leveraging, which helps reduce financial risk.

Low Interest Coverage

0.0
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 0.0 indicates that MRK currently does not have enough earnings to cover its interest obligations, which could pose a risk if interest rates rise.

Meeting Expectations

9 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Missed earnings
2025-02-04 -7.0%
Beat earnings
2024-10-31 +4.7%
Beat earnings
2024-07-30 +6.0%
Beat earnings
2024-04-25 +10.1%
Beat earnings
2024-02-01 +133.3%
Beat earnings
2023-10-26 +9.2%
Beat earnings
2023-08-01 +5.1%
Beat earnings
2023-04-27 +6.1%
Beat earnings
2023-02-02 +3.8%
Beat earnings
2022-10-27 +10.8%

EPS

1.85
Estimated
1.72
Actual
-7.03%
Difference

🌍 Global Reach and Impact

500 million
Global Patients Reached

Merck has demonstrated a significant global presence, reaching nearly half a billion people with its medicines and vaccines in 2024. This extensive reach underscores its ability to impact patient care on a large scale.

πŸ’ͺ Strong Product Portfolio

21%
KEYTRUDA Sales Growth

The company has a robust portfolio, particularly in oncology with KEYTRUDA, which saw a 21% sales growth due to its demand across various cancer types. This reflects Merck's competitive advantage in the oncology space.

πŸ” Innovation-Driven Pipeline

20
New Growth Drivers
$50 billion
Potential Revenue Opportunity

Merck is advancing multiple late-phase programs, with 20 potential new growth drivers identified, most of which have blockbuster potential. This focus on innovation enhances its long-term business quality.

πŸ“‰ GARDASIL Challenges in China

-18%
GARDASIL Sales Decline in China

Merck faced challenges with GARDASIL's sales in China, leading to a decision to pause shipments to manage inventory. This reflects a vulnerability in its international strategy.

πŸš€ Strong Growth Expectations

$64.1 to $65.6 billion
2025 Revenue Guidance

Despite short-term headwinds, Merck expects strong growth in the second half of 2025 and beyond, supported by a diverse pipeline and new product launches, particularly in oncology and animal health.

πŸ”¬ Robust R&D Investments

Nearly tripled late-phase assets
R&D Pipeline Growth

Merck has significantly increased investments in its R&D pipeline, which is pivotal for sustaining long-term growth and innovation potential. The company is focused on various therapeutic areas, including cardiometabolic and infectious diseases.

πŸ”„ Uncertainty in GARDASIL Outlook

$11 billion
Withdrawn GARDASIL Target

The withdrawal of the $11 billion target for GARDASIL sales indicates a cautious approach towards future revenue expectations in this segment, particularly in the volatile Chinese market.

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