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LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is average at 9.8% per year
Earnings Expectations LMT has met or exceeded earnings expectations in all recent quarters (10/10)
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Attractive Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Operating and Net Profit Margins
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Growth Trajectory
Positive πŸ’° Robust Free Cash Flow
Positive 🎯 Competitive Positioning
Positive πŸš€ Promising 2025 Outlook
Positive πŸ” Focus on Innovation and Partnerships
Negative High Price-to-Book Ratio
Negative Elevated EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Low Gross Profit Margin
Negative Low Current and Cash Ratios
Negative ⚠️ Impact of Classified Program Charges
Negative πŸ“‰ Potential Risks from Defense Budget Changes

Lockheed Martin demonstrates strong business quality through solid financial performance and competitive positioning. However, risks associated with classified programs and potential shifts in defense budgets could impact future growth. The outlook for 2025 remains positive with expected sales growth and a focus on innovation.

Analysis Date: January 28, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+155%
+9.8% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Sector Industrials
Market Cap $110.46B
CEO Mr. James D. Taiclet Jr.

Lockheed Martin Corporation is a big company that makes technology for safety and aerospace. They design and build things like airplanes, missiles, and satellites. Their work helps the military protect the country and includes creating tools for flying, defending against attacks, and gathering important information from space. Most of their customers are government agencies in the U.S. and other countries.

Streams of revenue

Aeronautics: 38%
Rotary and Mission Systems: 26%
Missiles And Fire Control: 19%
Space: 18%

Geographic Distribution

Europe: 39%
Asia Pacific: 35%
Middle East: 17%
Other Region: 9%

Core Products

πŸš€
THAAD Missile defense
πŸ›«
C-130 Hercules Military transport
✈️
F-35 Lightning II Stealth fighter jet
πŸ›‘οΈ
Aegis Combat System Naval defense system
🚁
Sikorsky Helicopters Military helicopters

Business Type

B2Government Business to Government

Competitive Advantages

🌍
Global Presence Lockheed Martin's international operations and partnerships expand its market reach and mitigate risks associated with domestic market fluctuations.
⭐
Brand Reputation Lockheed Martin's longstanding history and proven track record enhance its credibility and trust among clients, especially in national security.
πŸ›οΈ
Government Contracts Lockheed Martin has long-term contracts with the U.S. government, providing a stable revenue base and reducing competition risks.
πŸ“¦
Diversified Portfolio The company operates across various segments, reducing reliance on any single product line and allowing for cross-selling opportunities.
πŸ”§
Technological Expertise The company's extensive research and development capabilities allow it to innovate and maintain a technological edge in defense systems.

Key Business Risks

🌍
Geopolitical Risks Global tensions and conflicts can disrupt operations and affect international sales and partnerships.
πŸ”’
Cybersecurity Threats As a defense contractor, the company faces significant threats from cyberattacks that could compromise sensitive data.
πŸ›οΈ
Government Dependency Heavy reliance on U.S. government contracts increases vulnerability to budget cuts and policy changes.
πŸ”—
Supply Chain Disruptions Dependency on complex supply chains for parts and materials makes the company susceptible to disruptions and delays.
πŸ’»
Technological Obsolescence Rapid advancements in technology necessitate continuous innovation to stay competitive and relevant in the market.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$282.63

Current Market Price: $431.03

IV/P Ratio: 0.66x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-53.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for LMT

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (19.11)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (16.10)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.13x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (8.08x)
No Margin of safety (-53.0%)
No LMT does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 83.40722215906938

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 9.877116675816055

Net Profit Margin: 7.510944076122912

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

83.41%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

9.88%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

7.51%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Return on Equity

80.98
Return on Equity

LMT's return on equity of 80.98% indicates strong profitability and effective management of shareholder equity.

Healthy Operating and Net Profit Margins

9.92
Operating Profit Margin
7.51
Net Profit Margin

With operating profit margin at 9.92% and net profit margin at 7.51%, LMT demonstrates effective cost control and profitability.

Low Gross Profit Margin

9.88
Gross Profit Margin

A gross profit margin of 9.88% suggests that LMT may have high costs relative to its sales, which could impact overall profitability.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

3.20x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.13x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Low Debt Levels

0.1
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 indicates that LMT has low leverage, reducing financial risk.

Strong Interest Coverage

6.8
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 6.80 suggests that LMT can comfortably meet its interest obligations, indicating good financial health.

Low Current and Cash Ratios

1.13
Current Ratio
0.13
Cash Ratio

The current ratio of 1.13 and cash ratio of 0.13 indicate potential liquidity concerns, as the company may have limited short-term assets to cover liabilities.

Meeting Expectations

10 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-01-28 +15.7%
Beat earnings
2024-10-22 +4.6%
Beat earnings
2024-07-23 +6.0%
Beat earnings
2024-04-23 +9.8%
Beat earnings
2024-01-23 +8.5%
Beat earnings
2023-10-17 +0.9%
Beat earnings
2023-07-18 +2.8%
Beat earnings
2023-04-18 +9.1%
Beat earnings
2023-01-24 +0.1%
Beat earnings
2022-10-18 +0.8%

EPS

6.62
Estimated
7.67
Actual
+15.69%
Difference

πŸ“ˆ Strong Growth Trajectory

5%
Sales Growth (2024)
$176 billion
Record Backlog

Lockheed Martin's return to growth strategy has led to a 5% increase in sales year-over-year for 2024, alongside a record backlog of $176 billion. This growth is indicative of strong demand for their products across all business areas, with a book-to-bill ratio greater than 1.

πŸ’° Robust Free Cash Flow

$5.3 billion
Free Cash Flow (2024)
$3.7 billion
Share Repurchases (2024)

The company generated $5.3 billion in free cash flow in 2024, exceeding 100% of that being returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. This reflects strong financial health and commitment to shareholder value.

🎯 Competitive Positioning

$3.3 billion
R&D Investment (2024)

Lockheed Martin has a competitive edge due to its extensive experience in defense contracting and its ability to integrate advanced technologies across various domains. They are investing heavily in R&D ($3.3 billion in 2024) to maintain this edge.

⚠️ Impact of Classified Program Charges

$1.8 billion
Total Charges (Q4 2024)

The company recorded significant charges ($1.8 billion) related to classified programs which adversely affected segment operating profits. This raises concerns about the management and execution of such high-stakes contracts.

πŸš€ Promising 2025 Outlook

4%-5%
Expected Sales Growth (2025)
11%
Projected Operating Margin (2025)

Lockheed Martin expects sales growth of 4% to 5% in 2025 with operating margins returning to 11%. The growth is supported by a strong demand for munitions and integrated air defense systems.

πŸ” Focus on Innovation and Partnerships

Nvidia, Microsoft, IBM
Key Partnerships

The company is actively pursuing partnerships with leading tech firms (e.g., Nvidia, Microsoft) to enhance its capabilities in AI and advanced technologies, indicating a strong commitment to innovation.

πŸ“‰ Potential Risks from Defense Budget Changes

With a new administration, there may be shifts in defense budget priorities that could impact production rates and funding for key projects such as the F-35, potentially leading to revenue volatility.

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