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LMND
Lemonade, Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is negative at -6.5% per year
Earnings Expectations LMND has met or exceeded earnings expectations in most recent quarters (9/10)
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Positive Operating Profit Margin
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸ”’ Effective Risk Management
Positive πŸ€– AI-Driven Efficiency
Positive 🌟 Growth Guidance
Positive πŸš— Auto Insurance Expansion
Positive πŸ”„ Cross-Selling Opportunities
Negative Negative Price Ratios Indicate Overvaluation
Negative High EV/EBITDA Indicates Potential Overvaluation
Negative Negative Net Profit Margin
Negative Negative Returns on Equity
Negative Severe Liquidity Issues
Negative ⚠️ Moderate Growth Spend

Lemonade demonstrates strong business quality with robust financial performance, effective risk management, and innovative AI-driven operations. Future prospects are promising with anticipated growth rates and expansion into the auto insurance market, although growth spend management may pose short-term challenges.

Analysis Date: February 26, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

-49%
-6.5% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Sector Financial Services
Market Cap $2.31B
CEO Mr. Daniel Asher Schreiber

Lemonade, Inc. is a company that sells different types of insurance to help protect people from unexpected problems. They offer insurance for things like renters and homeowners, as well as protection for pets, cars, and even life. If something gets stolen or damaged, or if someone accidentally hurts another person, Lemonade helps cover the costs. The company started in 2015 and is based in New York.

Core Products

πŸš—
Car Insurance Protection for your vehicle
🐾
Pet Insurance Covers vet expenses for pets
πŸ’–
Life Insurance Financial security for family
🏠
Renters Insurance Protects personal belongings
🏒
Landlord Insurance Covers rental properties
🏑
Homeowners Insurance Coverage for home and assets

Business Type

B2C Business to Consumer

Competitive Advantages

πŸ›‘οΈ
Brand Trust Lemonade's unique brand positioning and transparency in operations foster customer trust and loyalty.
πŸ“Š
Data Utilization Leveraging data analytics for personalized offerings and risk assessment gives Lemonade a competitive edge in pricing and service.
🌍
Social Impact Model Lemonade's commitment to donating unclaimed money to charities enhances brand image and attracts socially conscious consumers.
🀝
Customer-Centric Approach Focus on user-friendly interfaces and seamless customer service leads to higher customer satisfaction and retention.
πŸ’»
Technology-Driven Efficiency Advanced AI and machine learning streamline claims processing and underwriting, reducing costs and improving customer experience.

Key Business Risks

πŸ“‰
Claims Management High volume of claims or fraudulent claims can significantly affect financial stability.
πŸ”„
Customer Retention Inability to retain customers may lead to increased marketing costs and reduced profitability.
πŸ†
Market Competition Intense competition from established insurers and new entrants may erode market share.
πŸ“‰
Economic Conditions Economic downturns can lead to decreased demand for insurance products and higher default rates.
βš–οΈ
Regulatory Compliance Changes in insurance regulations could impact operations and profitability.
πŸ’»
Technology Dependence Reliance on technology for operations makes the company vulnerable to cyberattacks or system failures.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

LMND: No Graham value data available

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

LMND: No margin of safety data available

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for LMND

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
No Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (-9.89)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (3.37)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (6.50x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.07x)
No Margin of safety
No LMND does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: -32.37790232185749

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 100.0

Net Profit Margin: -38.4045584045584

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Scroll horizontally to see more

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

-32.38%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-29)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.00%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-29)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

-38.40%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-29)

Strong Gross Profit Margin

100%
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 100% indicates that the company retains all revenue after the cost of goods sold, which is a positive indicator of its pricing power.

Positive Operating Profit Margin

9.53%
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 9.53% indicates that the company is able to generate some profit from its operations, despite the net losses.

Negative Net Profit Margin

-38.40%
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of -38.40% indicates that the company is currently generating significant losses after all expenses, which raises concerns about profitability sustainability.

Negative Returns on Equity

-32.38%
Return on Equity

The return on equity of -32.38% suggests that the company is not effectively using shareholders' equity to generate profits, which is a significant concern for investors.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.18x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

6.50x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Low Debt Levels

0.18
Debt to Equity Ratio
0.06
Debt to Assets Ratio

The debt to equity ratio of 0.18 and debt to assets ratio of 0.06 indicate that the company maintains a low level of debt, which can be a sign of financial stability.

Severe Liquidity Issues

0.0
Current Ratio
0.0
Quick Ratio
0.0
Cash Ratio

With a current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratio all at 0.0, the company appears to have no liquid assets to cover its current liabilities, raising serious concerns about its ability to meet short-term obligations.

Meeting Expectations

9 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-02-25 +31.1%
Beat earnings
2024-10-30 +6.9%
Beat earnings
2024-07-30 +4.7%
Beat earnings
2024-04-30 +17.3%
Beat earnings
2024-02-27 +22.8%
Beat earnings
2023-11-01 +5.4%
Beat earnings
2023-08-02 +5.8%
Beat earnings
2023-05-03 +16.7%
Beat earnings
2023-02-22 +20.5%
Missed earnings
2022-11-08 -0.7%

EPS

-0.61
Estimated
-0.42
Actual
+31.15%
Difference

πŸ“ˆ Strong Financial Performance

26%
In-Force Premium Growth
63%
Gross Loss Ratio
$27 million
Adjusted Free Cash Flow

Lemonade reported its best quarter ever in Q4 2024 with a 26% growth in in-force premiums (IFP) and a significant improvement in gross loss ratio to 63%, showcasing financial health and operational efficiency.

πŸ”’ Effective Risk Management

$20 million
Estimated EBITDA Impact from California Fires
$45 million
Total Gross Loss from California Fires

The company's conservative underwriting strategy and strong reinsurance programs have positioned it well against significant losses from catastrophic events, as demonstrated by the manageable impact of the California wildfires.

πŸ€– AI-Driven Efficiency

20%
Customer Count Increase
90%
Gross Profit Growth

Lemonade leverages AI to improve customer service and operational efficiencies, enabling rapid claims processing and operational scalability.

No weaknesses identified.

🌟 Growth Guidance

28%
Expected IFP Growth for 2025
30%
Projected IFP Growth Rate by 2026

Lemonade anticipates sustained IFP growth of 28% for 2025, with a target to reach a cruising velocity in the 30s by 2026, indicating strong future growth potential.

πŸš— Auto Insurance Expansion

700,000
Auto Insurance Waitlist
25% of US population
Market Penetration in Car Insurance

The launch of its auto insurance product, supported by a waitlist of over 700,000 potential customers, positions Lemonade for significant growth in a competitive market.

πŸ”„ Cross-Selling Opportunities

3:1
Current LTV to CAC Ratio

The potential for cross-selling car insurance to existing customers could enhance customer lifetime value and improve efficiency in customer acquisition.

⚠️ Moderate Growth Spend

40%
Expected Growth Spend Increase for 2025

While growth spend is expected to increase, the rate of spending may not accelerate in line with revenue growth, which could limit rapid scaling in the short term.

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