10Y annualized return is
negative
at -0.7% per year
IP has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
the majority of
recent quarters (7/10)
Reasonable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Consistent Gross Profit Margin
Solid Current and Quick Ratios
Manageable Debt Levels
π’ Strong Market Position
π‘ Focused Strategy
π§ Operational Improvements
π Growth through Acquisition
π οΈ Capital Investment in New Facilities
High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Elevated EV/EBITDA Ratio
Low Operating and Net Profit Margins
Low Return on Equity
Low Cash Ratio
High Debt-to-Assets Ratio
β οΈ Underperformance in Volume
β³ Slow Recovery from Underspending
π Uncertain Volume Recovery
ποΈ Challenges in Execution
International Paper demonstrates a solid business model with a strong market position and a focused strategy to enhance operational efficiency. However, challenges in volume recovery and historical underspending present risks that need to be managed as the company pursues its growth trajectory.
Analysis Date: January 30, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
-6%
-0.7% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryPackaging & Containers
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Market Cap$18.59B
CEOMr. Andrew K. Silvernail
International Paper Company is a big company that makes packaging products used to ship and protect items. They produce materials like cardboard for boxes and special pulp used in products like diapers and tissues. They sell their products to various businesses around the world, helping them package their goods safely. Founded in 1898 and based in Memphis, Tennessee, International Paper plays a key role in the packaging industry.
Streams of revenue
Industrial Packaging:85%
Global Cellulose Fibers:15%
Geographic Distribution
EMEA:59%
Americas Other Than U S:27%
UNITED STATES:8%
Pacific Rim and Asia:6%
Core Products
π§»
PulpPulp for paper
β»οΈ
RecyclingRecycling services
π¦
Industrial PackagingCorrugated boxes
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π
Brand RecognitionLong-established brand with a strong reputation in the packaging industry, fostering customer loyalty.
π
Economies of ScaleLarge-scale operations enable cost efficiencies, allowing for competitive pricing and improved margins.
β»οΈ
Sustainable PracticesCommitment to sustainability and responsible sourcing enhances brand value and meets increasing consumer demand for eco-friendly products.
π¦
Diverse Product PortfolioWide range of products across various segments, reducing reliance on any single market and enhancing resilience.
π
Strong Distribution NetworkRobust distribution channels ensure efficient delivery and access to a global market, strengthening customer relationships.
Key Business Risks
π
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in environmental regulations and compliance requirements can increase operational costs.
π»
Technological ChangesRapid advancements in technology may require significant investment to remain competitive in packaging solutions.
π
Supply Chain DisruptionsDisruptions in the supply chain, such as natural disasters or geopolitical tensions, can affect production and delivery.
π
Market Demand FluctuationsVariability in demand for packaging and cellulose products can lead to overproduction or shortages.
π
Raw Material Price VolatilityFluctuations in the prices of raw materials like wood pulp and recycled fibers can impact profit margins.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$61.73
Current Market Price: $72.91
IV/P Ratio: 0.85x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-18.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for IP
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (29.93)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (2.04)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.51x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (2.61x)
Margin of safety (-18.0%)
IP does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 6.620312592856719
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 25.291369031634353
Net Profit Margin: 2.991567753370213
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
6.62%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-29)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
25.29%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-29)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Solid Current and Quick Ratios
1.5087
Current Ratio
1.0897
Quick Ratio
The current ratio of 1.51 and quick ratio of 1.09 indicate that the company has adequate short-term liquidity to cover its liabilities.
Manageable Debt Levels
0.7161
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72 suggests that the company maintains a balanced approach to leveraging, which is manageable in terms of financial risk.
Weaknesses
Low Cash Ratio
0.2748
Cash Ratio
A cash ratio of 0.27 indicates limited cash reserves relative to current liabilities, which might pose risks in tight liquidity situations.
High Debt-to-Assets Ratio
0.2567
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
A debt-to-assets ratio of 25.67% indicates a significant portion of assets is financed through debt, which could impact financial stability.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
7/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-30
-166.7%
2024-10-31
+69.2%
2024-07-24
+37.5%
2024-04-25
-22.7%
2024-02-01
+20.6%
2023-10-26
+10.3%
2023-07-27
+55.3%
2023-04-27
+17.8%
2023-01-31
+26.1%
2022-10-27
-17.2%
Earnings call from January 30, 2025
EPS
0.03
Estimated
-0.02
Actual
-166.67%
Difference
Strengths
π’ Strong Market Position
Global Leader in Sustainable Packaging
Market Positioning
International Paper (IP) is positioning itself as a global leader in sustainable packaging solutions, particularly in North America and EMEA. The acquisition of DS Smith is expected to enhance its market share and capabilities.
π‘ Focused Strategy
$4 billion EBITDA medium term
Cost Reduction Target
The company is adopting an 80/20 mindset to streamline operations, reduce complexity, and focus on profitable market share growth, which aligns with their customer-centric culture.
π§ Operational Improvements
$120 million annually from corporate restructuring
Expected Cost Savings
IP has identified operational inefficiencies costing $350 million due to lack of productivity and reliability and is taking steps to improve mill performance and reduce costs.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Underperformance in Volume
Negative year-over-year volume drops
Volume Decline
Volume declines were in line with expectations but reflect ongoing issues related to contract restructuring, indicating potential volatility in sales.
β³ Slow Recovery from Underspending
Over a decade of capital underspending
Underspending Duration
The company has acknowledged a history of underspending on capital investments, which may hinder short-term operational efficiency and growth.
Opportunities
π Growth through Acquisition
Value unlocking from DS Smith integration
Projected Synergies
The acquisition of DS Smith is expected to unlock significant synergies and expand IP's product offerings, enhancing their competitive advantage in the packaging market.
π οΈ Capital Investment in New Facilities
20% cash-on-cash returns
Expected ROI
IP is investing in a state-of-the-art corrugated box facility in Waterloo, Iowa, which is projected to deliver 20% lower costs and improved product quality.
Risks
π Uncertain Volume Recovery
Expected stabilization in second half of 2025
Volume Recovery Timeline
While the company anticipates improvements in volume, the timing of recovery remains uncertain, which could impact revenue in the near term.
ποΈ Challenges in Execution
Non-linear improvement anticipated
Execution Complexity
The execution of operational improvements and capital investments may not be linear, indicating potential hurdles in achieving targeted outcomes.
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