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IP
International Paper Company
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is negative at -0.7% per year
Earnings Expectations IP has met or exceeded earnings expectations in the majority of recent quarters (7/10)
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Consistent Gross Profit Margin
Positive Solid Current and Quick Ratios
Positive Manageable Debt Levels
Positive 🏒 Strong Market Position
Positive πŸ’‘ Focused Strategy
Positive πŸ”§ Operational Improvements
Positive πŸ“ˆ Growth through Acquisition
Positive πŸ› οΈ Capital Investment in New Facilities
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative Elevated EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Low Operating and Net Profit Margins
Negative Low Return on Equity
Negative Low Cash Ratio
Negative High Debt-to-Assets Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Underperformance in Volume
Negative ⏳ Slow Recovery from Underspending
Negative πŸ“‰ Uncertain Volume Recovery
Negative πŸ—οΈ Challenges in Execution

International Paper demonstrates a solid business model with a strong market position and a focused strategy to enhance operational efficiency. However, challenges in volume recovery and historical underspending present risks that need to be managed as the company pursues its growth trajectory.

Analysis Date: January 30, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

-6%
-0.7% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Packaging & Containers
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Market Cap $18.59B
CEO Mr. Andrew K. Silvernail

International Paper Company is a big company that makes packaging products used to ship and protect items. They produce materials like cardboard for boxes and special pulp used in products like diapers and tissues. They sell their products to various businesses around the world, helping them package their goods safely. Founded in 1898 and based in Memphis, Tennessee, International Paper plays a key role in the packaging industry.

Streams of revenue

Industrial Packaging: 85%
Global Cellulose Fibers: 15%

Geographic Distribution

EMEA: 59%
Americas Other Than U S: 27%
UNITED STATES: 8%
Pacific Rim and Asia: 6%

Core Products

🧻
Pulp Pulp for paper
♻️
Recycling Recycling services
πŸ“¦
Industrial Packaging Corrugated boxes

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

πŸ†
Brand Recognition Long-established brand with a strong reputation in the packaging industry, fostering customer loyalty.
πŸ“ˆ
Economies of Scale Large-scale operations enable cost efficiencies, allowing for competitive pricing and improved margins.
♻️
Sustainable Practices Commitment to sustainability and responsible sourcing enhances brand value and meets increasing consumer demand for eco-friendly products.
πŸ“¦
Diverse Product Portfolio Wide range of products across various segments, reducing reliance on any single market and enhancing resilience.
🚚
Strong Distribution Network Robust distribution channels ensure efficient delivery and access to a global market, strengthening customer relationships.

Key Business Risks

πŸ“œ
Regulatory Compliance Changes in environmental regulations and compliance requirements can increase operational costs.
πŸ’»
Technological Changes Rapid advancements in technology may require significant investment to remain competitive in packaging solutions.
🚚
Supply Chain Disruptions Disruptions in the supply chain, such as natural disasters or geopolitical tensions, can affect production and delivery.
πŸ”„
Market Demand Fluctuations Variability in demand for packaging and cellulose products can lead to overproduction or shortages.
πŸ“ˆ
Raw Material Price Volatility Fluctuations in the prices of raw materials like wood pulp and recycled fibers can impact profit margins.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$61.73

Current Market Price: $72.91

IV/P Ratio: 0.85x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-18.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for IP

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (29.93)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (2.04)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.51x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (2.61x)
No Margin of safety (-18.0%)
No IP does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 6.620312592856719

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 25.291369031634353

Net Profit Margin: 2.991567753370213

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

6.62%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-29)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

25.29%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-29)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

2.99%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-29)

Consistent Gross Profit Margin

0.2529
Gross Profit Margin

A gross profit margin of 25.29% indicates that the company retains a good portion of revenue as profit after accounting for the cost of goods sold.

Low Operating and Net Profit Margins

0.0299
Operating Profit Margin
0.0299
Net Profit Margin

Both operating and net profit margins are at 2.99%, indicating limited profitability after accounting for operating expenses and taxes.

Low Return on Equity

0.0662
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 6.62% suggests that the company is not effectively converting equity into profit, raising concerns about its capital efficiency.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.72x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.51x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Solid Current and Quick Ratios

1.5087
Current Ratio
1.0897
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 1.51 and quick ratio of 1.09 indicate that the company has adequate short-term liquidity to cover its liabilities.

Manageable Debt Levels

0.7161
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72 suggests that the company maintains a balanced approach to leveraging, which is manageable in terms of financial risk.

Low Cash Ratio

0.2748
Cash Ratio

A cash ratio of 0.27 indicates limited cash reserves relative to current liabilities, which might pose risks in tight liquidity situations.

High Debt-to-Assets Ratio

0.2567
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

A debt-to-assets ratio of 25.67% indicates a significant portion of assets is financed through debt, which could impact financial stability.

Meeting Expectations

7 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Missed earnings
2025-01-30 -166.7%
Beat earnings
2024-10-31 +69.2%
Beat earnings
2024-07-24 +37.5%
Missed earnings
2024-04-25 -22.7%
Beat earnings
2024-02-01 +20.6%
Beat earnings
2023-10-26 +10.3%
Beat earnings
2023-07-27 +55.3%
Beat earnings
2023-04-27 +17.8%
Beat earnings
2023-01-31 +26.1%
Missed earnings
2022-10-27 -17.2%

EPS

0.03
Estimated
-0.02
Actual
-166.67%
Difference

🏒 Strong Market Position

Global Leader in Sustainable Packaging
Market Positioning

International Paper (IP) is positioning itself as a global leader in sustainable packaging solutions, particularly in North America and EMEA. The acquisition of DS Smith is expected to enhance its market share and capabilities.

πŸ’‘ Focused Strategy

$4 billion EBITDA medium term
Cost Reduction Target

The company is adopting an 80/20 mindset to streamline operations, reduce complexity, and focus on profitable market share growth, which aligns with their customer-centric culture.

πŸ”§ Operational Improvements

$120 million annually from corporate restructuring
Expected Cost Savings

IP has identified operational inefficiencies costing $350 million due to lack of productivity and reliability and is taking steps to improve mill performance and reduce costs.

⚠️ Underperformance in Volume

Negative year-over-year volume drops
Volume Decline

Volume declines were in line with expectations but reflect ongoing issues related to contract restructuring, indicating potential volatility in sales.

⏳ Slow Recovery from Underspending

Over a decade of capital underspending
Underspending Duration

The company has acknowledged a history of underspending on capital investments, which may hinder short-term operational efficiency and growth.

πŸ“ˆ Growth through Acquisition

Value unlocking from DS Smith integration
Projected Synergies

The acquisition of DS Smith is expected to unlock significant synergies and expand IP's product offerings, enhancing their competitive advantage in the packaging market.

πŸ› οΈ Capital Investment in New Facilities

20% cash-on-cash returns
Expected ROI

IP is investing in a state-of-the-art corrugated box facility in Waterloo, Iowa, which is projected to deliver 20% lower costs and improved product quality.

πŸ“‰ Uncertain Volume Recovery

Expected stabilization in second half of 2025
Volume Recovery Timeline

While the company anticipates improvements in volume, the timing of recovery remains uncertain, which could impact revenue in the near term.

πŸ—οΈ Challenges in Execution

Non-linear improvement anticipated
Execution Complexity

The execution of operational improvements and capital investments may not be linear, indicating potential hurdles in achieving targeted outcomes.

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