10Y annualized return is
negative
at -4.7% per year
INCY has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
few
recent quarters (3/10)
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Strong Liquidity Ratios
Minimal Debt Levels
π Strong Revenue Growth
π Revenue Diversification
π° Strong Financial Position
π Upcoming Product Launches
π¬ Robust Pipeline Development
Extremely High P/E Ratio
High P/FCF Ratio
Low Net Profit Margin
Low Return on Equity
βοΈ Pricing Pressures
Incyte demonstrates strong business quality through robust revenue growth, diversification, and a solid financial foundation. Future prospects appear promising with multiple new product launches and a rich pipeline, though pricing pressures may pose challenges.
Analysis Date: February 10, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
-38%
-4.7% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryBiotechnology
SectorHealthcare
Market Cap$13.85B
CEOMr. Herve Hoppenot
Incyte Corporation is a biotechnology company that creates medicines to treat serious diseases, especially types of cancer and blood disorders. They have developed several important drugs, including JAKAFI, which helps patients with certain blood cancers. Incyte is also working on new treatments that are still being tested to help patients with various types of cancer and other health conditions. The company partners with other organizations to advance their research and bring new therapies to market.
Streams of revenue
OPZELURA:35%
J A K A F I:29%
Olumiant Royalty:9%
M I N J U V I:8%
I C L U S I G:8%
PEMAZYRE Royalty Revenues:5%
Milestone And Contract Revenue:5%
Tabrecta Royalty Revenues:2%
ZYNYZ:0%
Geographic Distribution
Non Us:100%
Core Products
π
JakafiBlood disorder treatment
π§¬
MonjuviLymphoma therapy
π§΄
OpzeluraEczema cream
π
PemazyreCholangiocarcinoma drug
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π
Focus on Niche MarketsIncyte focuses on specialized therapeutic areas, such as rare cancers and chronic conditions, allowing it to dominate niche markets with less competition.
π€
Collaborative PartnershipsStrategic collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies enhance research capabilities and facilitate access to new markets and technologies.
π
Established Market PresenceWith successful products like JAKAFI, Incyte has established a strong market presence and brand recognition in the biopharmaceutical industry.
π§¬
Strong Pipeline of TherapiesIncyte has a diverse portfolio of clinical-stage products targeting various cancers and diseases, providing a robust pipeline that can lead to significant future revenue.
π
Intellectual Property PortfolioA strong portfolio of patents protects Incyte's innovations, providing a competitive edge and reducing the risk of generic competition.
Key Business Risks
βοΈ
Regulatory RiskChanges in regulatory requirements or delays in drug approvals can significantly impact product launch timelines and revenue.
π
Competitive RiskIncyte faces intense competition from other biopharmaceutical companies, which could affect market share and pricing power.
π
Supply Chain RiskDisruptions in the supply chain for raw materials or production can hinder the availability of products, affecting revenue.
π§ͺ
Clinical Trial RiskFailure of clinical trials for ongoing product candidates can lead to substantial financial losses and affect future development plans.
π
Market Acceptance RiskNew products may not gain sufficient market acceptance, impacting sales projections and overall profitability.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$6.06
Current Market Price: $56.61
IV/P Ratio: 0.11x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-834.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for INCY
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (384.69)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (3.64)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.97x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.02x)
Margin of safety (-834.0%)
INCY does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 0.6404952922692639
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 92.25500605132913
Net Profit Margin: 0.7690009730697581
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
0.64%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
92.26%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Liquidity Ratios
1.97
Current Ratio
1.94
Quick Ratio
INCY has a current ratio of 1.97 and a quick ratio of 1.94, indicating good short-term financial health and ability to meet obligations.
Minimal Debt Levels
0.0126
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio is very low at 0.0126, indicating that the company is not heavily reliant on debt for financing.
Weaknesses
No financial health weaknesses identified.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
3/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-10
-8.9%
2024-10-29
-4.5%
2024-07-30
-333.3%
2024-04-30
-23.8%
2024-02-13
-8.6%
2023-10-31
+0.9%
2023-08-01
+19.3%
2023-05-02
-56.5%
2023-02-07
+5.1%
2022-11-01
-16.7%
Earnings call from February 10, 2025
EPS
1.57
Estimated
1.43
Actual
-8.92%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Revenue Growth
$4.2 billion
2024 Total Revenues
8%
Jakafi Net Sales Growth
Incyte reported total revenues of $4.2 billion for 2024, reflecting a 15% growth compared to 2023. Jakafi's consistent performance with an 8% increase in net sales to $2.8 billion showcases the company's stability in its core offerings.
π Revenue Diversification
50%
Opzelura Revenue Growth
The significant growth of Opzelura, which saw a 50% increase to $508 million, demonstrates Incyte's ability to diversify its revenue streams beyond Jakafi, enhancing the company's resilience against market fluctuations.
π° Strong Financial Position
$2.2 billion
Cash Reserves
None
Debt
Incyte ended 2024 with $2.2 billion in cash and no debt, indicating a robust financial position that supports ongoing investments in R&D and strategic initiatives.
Weaknesses
No weaknesses identified.
Opportunities
π Upcoming Product Launches
$1 billion by 2029
Projected Incremental Revenue
Incyte is set to launch multiple new products in 2025, including Niktimvo and ruxolitinib cream for pediatric atopic dermatitis, which are projected to collectively generate $1 billion in incremental revenues by 2029, indicating strong growth potential.
π¬ Robust Pipeline Development
At least 3
Phase 3 Studies Planned
4 expected in 2025
Pivotal Data Readouts
Incyte plans to initiate at least three Phase 3 studies and has numerous pivotal data readouts expected in 2025, showcasing a strong commitment to innovation and addressing unmet medical needs.
Risks
βοΈ Pricing Pressures
Lower net pricing expected
Impact of Pricing Pressures
The company anticipates lower net pricing due to IRA-imposed price increase caps and continued growth in 340B volumes, which could impact revenue growth from Jakafi.
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