10Y annualized return is
excellent
at 21.7% per year
HWM has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
the majority of
recent quarters (8/10)
Strong Return on Equity
Healthy Profit Margins
Strong Free Cash Flow
Low Debt Levels
Solid Liquidity Ratios
π° Strong Financial Performance
ποΈ Diversified Market Presence
π Strong Cash Flow Management
π Growth in Aerospace Demand
π§ Industrial Gas Turbine Opportunities
High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Elevated Price-to-Sales Ratio
High Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
Low Cash Ratio
β οΈ Challenges in Commercial Transportation
π Conservative Guidance
Overall, Howmet Aerospace demonstrates strong business quality through its financial performance, diversified market presence, and effective cash flow management. Future prospects remain positive, driven by growth in aerospace demand and opportunities in industrial gas turbines, despite challenges in commercial transportation and a cautious outlook.
Analysis Date: February 13, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+613%
+21.7% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryIndustrial - Machinery
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap$45.69B
CEOMr. John C. Plant FCA
Howmet Aerospace Inc. is a company that makes important parts for airplanes and heavy trucks. They produce items like engine components and fasteners, which help keep aircraft running safely. They also create strong materials from metals like titanium and aluminum for various uses in aerospace and defense. Overall, Howmet Aerospace provides solutions that support transportation industries around the world.
Technological ExpertiseHowmet Aerospace leverages advanced engineering and manufacturing technologies, allowing it to produce high-performance components that meet stringent aerospace and defense standards.
π¦
Diverse Product PortfolioWith offerings across multiple segments, Howmet Aerospace reduces risk and increases market resilience, catering to various needs in aerospace and transportation.
π
Focus on R&D and InnovationContinuous investment in research and development enables Howmet Aerospace to stay ahead of industry trends and adapt to new technological advancements, reinforcing its competitive edge.
π€
Strong Customer RelationshipsThe company maintains long-term partnerships with major aerospace manufacturers, ensuring a steady demand for its products and creating high switching costs for customers.
π
Global Manufacturing FootprintThe company's international presence allows it to serve global customers efficiently, optimize production costs, and respond to regional market demands quickly.
Key Business Risks
π
Geopolitical RisksPolitical tensions and trade restrictions can affect international operations and market access.
βοΈ
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in regulations or compliance requirements could increase operational costs and impact profitability.
π§
Supply Chain DisruptionsVulnerabilities in the supply chain can lead to production delays and increased costs.
π
Market Demand FluctuationsEconomic downturns or changes in customer preferences can lead to decreased demand for aerospace and transportation products.
π§
Technological AdvancementsFailure to keep pace with technological advancements may result in loss of competitive advantage.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$109.53
Current Market Price: $112.06
IV/P Ratio: 0.98x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-2.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for HWM
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (39.49)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (10.01)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (2.17x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.07x)
Margin of safety (-2.0%)
HWM does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 26.521239954075774
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 29.273216689098252
Net Profit Margin: 15.545087483176312
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
26.52%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
29.27%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
The company maintains solid profit margins with a gross profit margin of 29.27%, operating profit margin of 22.27%, and net profit margin of 15.55%, reflecting efficient cost management.
Strong Free Cash Flow
$2.41
Free Cash Flow per Share
The free cash flow per share of $2.41 suggests that the company generates ample cash after capital expenditures, which supports ongoing operations and potential dividends.
Weaknesses
High Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
54.07
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
The price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 54.07 indicates that the stock is valued at a high multiple of its free cash flow, which could imply overvaluation relative to cash generation.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.00x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Low Debt Levels
0.0013
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.0006
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
The company boasts an impressively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0013 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.0006, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing and a strong balance sheet.
Solid Liquidity Ratios
2.17
Current Ratio
0.98
Quick Ratio
The current ratio of 2.17 suggests the company has sufficient assets to cover its short-term liabilities, while the quick ratio of 0.98 indicates a reasonable level of liquidity.
Weaknesses
Low Cash Ratio
0.36
Cash Ratio
The cash ratio of 0.36 reveals that while the company can cover its short-term obligations with cash, it may not have a strong cash reserve relative to current liabilities.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
8/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-13
+4.2%
2024-11-06
+7.6%
2024-07-30
+11.7%
2024-05-02
+9.6%
2024-02-13
+12.8%
2023-11-02
+7.0%
2023-08-01
+2.3%
2023-05-02
+10.5%
2023-02-14
0.0%
2022-10-31
0.0%
Earnings call from February 13, 2025
EPS
0.71
Estimated
0.74
Actual
+4.23%
Difference
Strengths
π° Strong Financial Performance
$0.74
Q4 EPS
46%
Full Year EPS Growth
$977 million
Free Cash Flow
Howmet Aerospace reported record revenues, EBITDA, and earnings per share in 2024, with a 46% increase in EPS over the previous year. The operating margin for Q4 was 23%, showcasing strong profitability.
ποΈ Diversified Market Presence
20%
Commercial Aerospace Growth
22%
Defense Aerospace Growth
Howmet operates across various segments including commercial aerospace, defense aerospace, and industrial markets. They noted significant growth in sectors like commercial aerospace (20% for the year) and defense aerospace (22% for the year), indicating a strong market position.
π Strong Cash Flow Management
88%
Free Cash Flow Conversion Rate
$975 million
Total Cash Deployed in 2024
The company achieved an impressive 88% free cash flow conversion rate and has effectively deployed its cash towards share repurchases, debt reduction, and dividends, showcasing strong cash flow management practices.
Weaknesses
No weaknesses identified.
Opportunities
π Growth in Aerospace Demand
$1.935 billion
Projected Q1 Revenue
8%+
Projected Full Year Revenue Growth
Howmet anticipates continued growth in the aerospace sector driven by high backlogs for major manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus, with a projected increase in narrow body aircraft builds in 2025. This positions the company well for future revenue growth.
π§ Industrial Gas Turbine Opportunities
>50%
Market Share in IGT
$321 million
CapEx Investments for Growth
The company is optimistic about the industrial gas turbine segment, citing increased demand due to data center electricity needs and a focus on natural gas. Howmet maintains over 50% market share in turbine blades, positioning it well for future growth.
Risks
β οΈ Challenges in Commercial Transportation
-12%
Q4 Revenue Decline
-7%
Full Year Revenue Decline
The commercial transportation segment faced a downturn with a 12% revenue decline in Q4. While Howmet has outperformed the market, the overall challenges in this sector may impact future growth.
π Conservative Guidance
7.5% to 8%
Guidance for Full Year Revenue Growth
Management has expressed caution regarding future visibility and potential challenges in the aerospace supply chain, which could lead to conservative revenue projections and margin expectations.
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