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HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is excellent at 21.7% per year
Earnings Expectations HWM has met or exceeded earnings expectations in the majority of recent quarters (8/10)
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Profit Margins
Positive Strong Free Cash Flow
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Solid Liquidity Ratios
Positive πŸ’° Strong Financial Performance
Positive πŸ—οΈ Diversified Market Presence
Positive πŸ“ˆ Strong Cash Flow Management
Positive πŸš€ Growth in Aerospace Demand
Positive πŸ”§ Industrial Gas Turbine Opportunities
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative Elevated Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative High Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Low Cash Ratio
Negative ⚠️ Challenges in Commercial Transportation
Negative πŸ” Conservative Guidance

Overall, Howmet Aerospace demonstrates strong business quality through its financial performance, diversified market presence, and effective cash flow management. Future prospects remain positive, driven by growth in aerospace demand and opportunities in industrial gas turbines, despite challenges in commercial transportation and a cautious outlook.

Analysis Date: February 13, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+613%
+21.7% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Industrial - Machinery
Sector Industrials
Market Cap $45.69B
CEO Mr. John C. Plant FCA

Howmet Aerospace Inc. is a company that makes important parts for airplanes and heavy trucks. They produce items like engine components and fasteners, which help keep aircraft running safely. They also create strong materials from metals like titanium and aluminum for various uses in aerospace and defense. Overall, Howmet Aerospace provides solutions that support transportation industries around the world.

Streams of revenue

Engine Products Segment: 52%
Fastening Systems: 21%
Structure Systems: 14%
Wheel Systems: 13%

Geographic Distribution

North America: 47%
Europe: 23%
Asia Pacific: 19%
Latin America: 6%
Middle East & Africa: 5%

Estimations for reference only

Core Products

πŸŒ€
Turbine Blades Turbine blades
πŸ”©
Aerospace Fasteners Aircraft fasteners
πŸ—οΈ
Structural Castings Metal castings
✈️
Jet Engine Components Engine parts

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

πŸ› οΈ
Technological Expertise Howmet Aerospace leverages advanced engineering and manufacturing technologies, allowing it to produce high-performance components that meet stringent aerospace and defense standards.
πŸ“¦
Diverse Product Portfolio With offerings across multiple segments, Howmet Aerospace reduces risk and increases market resilience, catering to various needs in aerospace and transportation.
πŸ”
Focus on R&D and Innovation Continuous investment in research and development enables Howmet Aerospace to stay ahead of industry trends and adapt to new technological advancements, reinforcing its competitive edge.
🀝
Strong Customer Relationships The company maintains long-term partnerships with major aerospace manufacturers, ensuring a steady demand for its products and creating high switching costs for customers.
🌍
Global Manufacturing Footprint The company's international presence allows it to serve global customers efficiently, optimize production costs, and respond to regional market demands quickly.

Key Business Risks

🌍
Geopolitical Risks Political tensions and trade restrictions can affect international operations and market access.
βš–οΈ
Regulatory Compliance Changes in regulations or compliance requirements could increase operational costs and impact profitability.
🚧
Supply Chain Disruptions Vulnerabilities in the supply chain can lead to production delays and increased costs.
πŸ“‰
Market Demand Fluctuations Economic downturns or changes in customer preferences can lead to decreased demand for aerospace and transportation products.
πŸ”§
Technological Advancements Failure to keep pace with technological advancements may result in loss of competitive advantage.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$109.53

Current Market Price: $112.06

IV/P Ratio: 0.98x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

-2.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for HWM

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (39.49)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (10.01)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (2.17x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.07x)
No Margin of safety (-2.0%)
No HWM does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 26.521239954075774

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 29.273216689098252

Net Profit Margin: 15.545087483176312

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

26.52%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

29.27%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

15.55%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Healthy Profit Margins

29.27%
Gross Profit Margin
22.27%
Operating Profit Margin
15.55%
Net Profit Margin

The company maintains solid profit margins with a gross profit margin of 29.27%, operating profit margin of 22.27%, and net profit margin of 15.55%, reflecting efficient cost management.

Strong Free Cash Flow

$2.41
Free Cash Flow per Share

The free cash flow per share of $2.41 suggests that the company generates ample cash after capital expenditures, which supports ongoing operations and potential dividends.

High Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio

54.07
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio

The price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 54.07 indicates that the stock is valued at a high multiple of its free cash flow, which could imply overvaluation relative to cash generation.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.00x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

2.17x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Low Debt Levels

0.0013
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.0006
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

The company boasts an impressively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0013 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.0006, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing and a strong balance sheet.

Solid Liquidity Ratios

2.17
Current Ratio
0.98
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 2.17 suggests the company has sufficient assets to cover its short-term liabilities, while the quick ratio of 0.98 indicates a reasonable level of liquidity.

Low Cash Ratio

0.36
Cash Ratio

The cash ratio of 0.36 reveals that while the company can cover its short-term obligations with cash, it may not have a strong cash reserve relative to current liabilities.

Meeting Expectations

8 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-02-13 +4.2%
Beat earnings
2024-11-06 +7.6%
Beat earnings
2024-07-30 +11.7%
Beat earnings
2024-05-02 +9.6%
Beat earnings
2024-02-13 +12.8%
Beat earnings
2023-11-02 +7.0%
Beat earnings
2023-08-01 +2.3%
Beat earnings
2023-05-02 +10.5%
Missed earnings
2023-02-14 0.0%
Missed earnings
2022-10-31 0.0%

EPS

0.71
Estimated
0.74
Actual
+4.23%
Difference

πŸ’° Strong Financial Performance

$0.74
Q4 EPS
46%
Full Year EPS Growth
$977 million
Free Cash Flow

Howmet Aerospace reported record revenues, EBITDA, and earnings per share in 2024, with a 46% increase in EPS over the previous year. The operating margin for Q4 was 23%, showcasing strong profitability.

πŸ—οΈ Diversified Market Presence

20%
Commercial Aerospace Growth
22%
Defense Aerospace Growth

Howmet operates across various segments including commercial aerospace, defense aerospace, and industrial markets. They noted significant growth in sectors like commercial aerospace (20% for the year) and defense aerospace (22% for the year), indicating a strong market position.

πŸ“ˆ Strong Cash Flow Management

88%
Free Cash Flow Conversion Rate
$975 million
Total Cash Deployed in 2024

The company achieved an impressive 88% free cash flow conversion rate and has effectively deployed its cash towards share repurchases, debt reduction, and dividends, showcasing strong cash flow management practices.

No weaknesses identified.

πŸš€ Growth in Aerospace Demand

$1.935 billion
Projected Q1 Revenue
8%+
Projected Full Year Revenue Growth

Howmet anticipates continued growth in the aerospace sector driven by high backlogs for major manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus, with a projected increase in narrow body aircraft builds in 2025. This positions the company well for future revenue growth.

πŸ”§ Industrial Gas Turbine Opportunities

>50%
Market Share in IGT
$321 million
CapEx Investments for Growth

The company is optimistic about the industrial gas turbine segment, citing increased demand due to data center electricity needs and a focus on natural gas. Howmet maintains over 50% market share in turbine blades, positioning it well for future growth.

⚠️ Challenges in Commercial Transportation

-12%
Q4 Revenue Decline
-7%
Full Year Revenue Decline

The commercial transportation segment faced a downturn with a 12% revenue decline in Q4. While Howmet has outperformed the market, the overall challenges in this sector may impact future growth.

πŸ” Conservative Guidance

7.5% to 8%
Guidance for Full Year Revenue Growth

Management has expressed caution regarding future visibility and potential challenges in the aerospace supply chain, which could lead to conservative revenue projections and margin expectations.

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