10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 5.6% per year
HOLX has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
most
recent quarters (9/10)
Reasonable PE Ratio
Low EV/EBITDA Ratio
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Healthy Net Profit Margin
Extremely Low Debt Levels
Strong Liquidity Ratios
π Strong Financial Foundation
π¬ Market Leadership in Diagnostics
π Effective Capital Deployment Strategy
π Growth Through Innovation
π International Expansion Potential
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
Moderate Operating Profit Margin
π Breast Health Market Challenges
π§οΈ Economic and Policy Uncertainties
Hologic demonstrates a strong business model with significant competitive advantages in diagnostics and a solid financial foundation. However, challenges in the Breast Health segment and external economic uncertainties pose risks to growth. Future prospects remain positive due to innovation and international expansion.
Analysis Date: February 5, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+73%
+5.6% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryMedical - Instruments & Supplies
SectorHealthcare
Market Cap$16.74B
CEOMr. Stephen P. MacMillan
Hologic, Inc. is a healthcare company that focuses on women's health. They create and sell medical tools and tests that help doctors detect and treat health issues early, like infections and cancers. Some of their main products include tests for diseases like HIV and COVID-19, as well as imaging systems for breast exams. They also offer surgical products to help with issues like heavy bleeding or removing growths in the uterus. Overall, Hologic is dedicated to improving women's health through innovative medical solutions.
Integrated SolutionsBy providing comprehensive solutions that integrate diagnostics, imaging, and surgical products, Hologic enhances customer value and differentiation.
π
Regulatory ExpertiseHologic's deep understanding of regulatory requirements aids in faster product approvals and market access, ensuring compliance and safety.
π
Strong Brand RecognitionHologic has established a strong brand in women's health diagnostics, fostering customer loyalty and trust.
π
Global Distribution NetworkA robust global distribution channel allows Hologic to efficiently reach diverse markets and adapt to local healthcare needs.
π§¬
Innovative Product PortfolioThe company offers a wide range of innovative products that address critical health issues, particularly in women's health, maintaining a competitive edge.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnsEconomic volatility can affect healthcare spending, impacting sales of Hologic's products and services.
π
Market CompetitionIntense competition in the medical instruments and diagnostics market may affect market share and pricing strategies.
βοΈ
Regulatory ComplianceHologic must comply with stringent healthcare regulations, which can change and impact product approval and operations.
π§
Supply Chain DisruptionsReliance on global supply chains exposes Hologic to risks from disruptions, impacting production and delivery.
π»
Technological AdvancementsRapid technological changes may render existing products obsolete, requiring continuous innovation and investment.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$40.38
Current Market Price: $59.30
IV/P Ratio: 0.68x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-47.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for HOLX
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (18.84)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (2.94)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (3.49x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.01x)
Margin of safety (-47.0%)
HOLX does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 15.107672626481069
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 56.176186585456435
Net Profit Margin: 18.42085716407933
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
15.11%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
56.18%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
The gross profit margin of 56.18% indicates that the company is effective in managing its production costs relative to its revenues.
Healthy Net Profit Margin
18.42
Net Profit Margin
A net profit margin of 18.42% reflects strong overall profitability, suggesting that the company retains a significant portion of its revenue as profit.
Weaknesses
Moderate Operating Profit Margin
23.94
Operating Profit Margin
The operating profit margin of 23.94% is decent but could be improved, indicating that operational efficiency may be an area for enhancement.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.01x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q1 2025
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Extremely Low Debt Levels
0.01
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.005
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.005, HOLX shows outstanding financial health with negligible debt, reducing financial risk.
Strong Liquidity Ratios
3.49
Current Ratio
2.78
Quick Ratio
The current ratio of 3.49 and quick ratio of 2.78 indicate that the company has more than enough short-term assets to cover its liabilities, showcasing solid liquidity.
Weaknesses
No financial health weaknesses identified.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
9/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-05
+1.0%
2024-11-04
0.0%
2024-07-29
+3.9%
2024-05-02
+5.3%
2024-02-01
+3.2%
2023-11-09
+4.7%
2023-07-31
+5.7%
2023-05-01
+20.5%
2023-02-01
+18.9%
2022-10-31
+32.3%
Earnings call from February 5, 2025
EPS
1.02
Estimated
1.03
Actual
+0.98%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Financial Foundation
4.8% CAGR
Revenue Growth (2014-2024)
10.8% CAGR
EPS Growth (2014-2024)
Hologic has demonstrated significant financial resilience, with total revenue growing from approximately $2.5 billion in 2014 to over $4 billion in 2024, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8%. Non-GAAP earnings per share increased from $1.46 to $4.08 during the same period, representing a CAGR of 10.8%. This indicates strong operational efficiency and profitability.
π¬ Market Leadership in Diagnostics
20+
Assays on Panther Platform
Hologic holds a strong competitive position in the diagnostics market, particularly with its Panther and Panther Fusion platforms, which have over 20 assays. The company benefits from a reliable cash flow generated by its market-leading products and has expanded its offerings, indicating a robust product strategy.
π Effective Capital Deployment Strategy
$189 million
Q1 Operating Cash Flow
$2 billion
Cash and Investments
The company has a disciplined approach to capital deployment, evidenced by share buybacks and strategic acquisitions such as Gynesonics, which are expected to enhance revenue growth. The strong cash flow of $189 million in Q1 and $2 billion in cash and investments further supports this strategy.
Weaknesses
π Breast Health Market Challenges
-2.1%
Breast Health Revenue Decline
The Breast Health segment reported disappointing revenue, declining by 2.1% due to lower capital equipment sales and market conditions. The company acknowledged that 2025 will be a softer year for gantry placements, indicating potential volatility in this segment.
Opportunities
π Growth Through Innovation
Envision platform in 2026
Upcoming Product Launch
Hologic is poised for future growth through continued innovation and product development. The upcoming launch of the Envision platform and expansion of the Panther Fusion menu are expected to drive future revenue growth and enhance market share.
π International Expansion Potential
20%
International Surgical Growth
The company has strengthened its capabilities to grow internationally and is focused on direct market entry in more geographies. This global expansion is expected to contribute positively to future revenue growth.
Risks
π§οΈ Economic and Policy Uncertainties
$30 million
Expected Revenue Impact from Policy Changes
Hologic faces potential headwinds from economic factors such as a stronger US dollar and policy changes from the new US administration that could disrupt revenue, particularly in international markets and HIV testing.
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