10Y annualized return is
excellent
at 15.1% per year
GWW has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
the majority of
recent quarters (7/10)
Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Strong Price-to-Sales Ratio
High Return on Equity
Solid Gross Profit Margin
Strong Current Ratio
Low Debt Levels
π Strong Customer Focus
π Robust Growth in Segments
π‘ Data and Technology Investment
π Growth Engines in Place
π Focus on Innovation
High Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio
Elevated Price-to-Book Ratio
Moderate Net Profit Margin
Operating Profit Margin Concerns
Low Cash Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio
β οΈ Market Dependency
π Cautious Market Outlook
Grainger exhibits strong business quality through its customer-centric focus and significant technological investments. However, its dependency on market conditions poses risks. Future prospects are bolstered by innovation and growth strategies, though a cautious outlook suggests challenges ahead.
Analysis Date: January 31, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+307%
+15.1% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryIndustrial - Distribution
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap$51.33B
CEOMr. Donald G. Macpherson
W.W. Grainger, Inc. is a company that helps businesses and organizations get the supplies they need to keep things running smoothly. They sell a wide range of products like safety gear, tools, cleaning supplies, and equipment for handling materials. Grainger also provides services to help companies manage their inventory and find technical support. Founded in 1927, they operate in several countries, including the U.S., Canada, and Japan, making it easy for customers to order what they need online or through sales representatives.
Streams of revenue
High-Touch Solutions (N.A.):82%
Endless Assortment:18%
Geographic Distribution
United States And Canada Segments:50%
UNITED STATES:48%
CANADA:3%
Core Products
π¦Ί
Safety ProductsSafety gear
ποΈ
Material HandlingLifting equipment
π°
Plumbing SuppliesPipes & fittings
π‘
Electrical SuppliesWiring & lighting
π§
Industrial SuppliesTools & equipment
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π¦
Extensive Product RangeW.W. Grainger offers a wide variety of MRO products, ensuring customers can find nearly everything they need in one place, enhancing customer loyalty.
π
Strong Distribution NetworkThe company's robust logistics and distribution capabilities allow for timely delivery and support across multiple regions, increasing operational efficiency.
β
Established Brand ReputationWith a history dating back to 1927, Grainger has built a trusted brand that customers rely on for quality and reliability in MRO supplies.
π€
Strong Customer RelationshipsThe company maintains long-term relationships through dedicated sales representatives and personalized services, fostering customer loyalty and retention.
π»
Innovative Technology SolutionsGrainger invests in advanced e-commerce and inventory management systems, enhancing the customer experience and streamlining operations.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnsEconomic fluctuations can affect customer budgets, leading to reduced demand for MRO products and services.
βοΈ
Market CompetitionIntense competition from other distributors and e-commerce platforms may pressure pricing and market share.
π
Regulatory ChangesChanges in regulations related to safety, environmental standards, or trade can impose additional costs and operational challenges.
π»
Technology DependenceReliance on technology for e-commerce and inventory management exposes the company to cybersecurity threats and system failures.
π§
Supply Chain DisruptionsInterruptions in the supply chain can lead to inventory shortages, impacting sales and customer satisfaction.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$1512.27
Current Market Price: $928.03
IV/P Ratio: 1.63x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
39.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for GWW
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (23.99)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (5.19)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (2.49x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.76x)
Margin of safety (39.0%)
GWW does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 40.5997447894513
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 39.363932898415655
Net Profit Margin: 11.119524697110904
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
Scroll horizontally to see more
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
40.60%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
39.36%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
A return on equity of 40.60% indicates strong profitability relative to shareholders' equity, showcasing effective use of capital.
Solid Gross Profit Margin
39.36
Gross Profit Margin
The gross profit margin of 39.36% reflects a strong capability to maintain profitability at the core operational level.
Weaknesses
Moderate Net Profit Margin
11.12
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 11.12% suggests that while the company is profitable, there may be room for improvement in controlling expenses relative to revenue.
Operating Profit Margin Concerns
15.36
Operating Profit Margin
An operating profit margin of 15.36% indicates potential inefficiencies in operating expenses that could be addressed to enhance profitability.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.30x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Current Ratio
2.49
Current Ratio
A current ratio of 2.49 indicates excellent short-term liquidity, suggesting the company can cover its short-term liabilities comfortably.
Low Debt Levels
0.3
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, the company maintains a conservative leverage profile, reducing financial risk.
Weaknesses
Low Cash Ratio
0.45
Cash Ratio
The cash ratio of 0.45 indicates that while liquidity is generally strong, there is limited cash on hand relative to current liabilities, which could be a concern in a liquidity crunch.
Interest Coverage Ratio
34.25
Interest Coverage Ratio
While the interest coverage ratio of 34.25 is strong, itβs essential to monitor the sustainability of this coverage in the context of rising interest rates.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
7/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-31
-0.3%
2024-10-31
-1.0%
2024-08-01
+1.9%
2024-04-25
0.0%
2024-02-02
+3.5%
2023-10-26
+5.6%
2023-07-27
+1.6%
2023-04-27
+12.9%
2023-02-02
+1.9%
2022-10-28
+14.1%
Earnings call from January 31, 2025
EPS
9.74
Estimated
9.71
Actual
-0.31%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Customer Focus
15.5%
Operating Margin
39.6%
Gross Margin
Grainger emphasizes exceptional customer service and experience as a core element of its business strategy. The company aims to meet two fundamental customer needs: seamless purchasing and delivering tangible value, which enhances customer loyalty.
π Robust Growth in Segments
11.6%
Endless Assortment Sales Growth
100 basis points
High-Touch Solutions Market Outgrowth
The company reported solid growth across its High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment segments, with the Endless Assortment segment achieving daily constant currency sales growth of 11.6%. This indicates a strong market position and effective strategies to capture demand.
π‘ Data and Technology Investment
41.6%
Return on Invested Capital
Grainger has made significant investments in technology and data analytics, building proprietary systems that enhance operational efficiency and customer insights. This positions the company to leverage digital capabilities effectively.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Market Dependency
Flat to Down 1.5%
Market Volume Growth Projection
The company is heavily dependent on the overall MRO market conditions, which are currently projected to remain sluggish. This dependency could limit growth if external market factors do not improve.
Opportunities
π Growth Engines in Place
4% to 6.5%
Projected Daily Sales Growth (2025)
Grainger's strategic growth engines, including the expansion of its supply chain and the introduction of new technologies such as AI and machine learning, position the company for future growth. The focus on continuous improvement in operational processes and customer solutions supports sustainable growth.
π Focus on Innovation
Customer Service, Inventory Management
AI Implementation Areas
The integration of AI and advanced technologies into Grainger's operations demonstrates the company's commitment to innovation. Initiatives like using generative AI in customer service and machine learning for inventory management showcase the potential for efficiency gains and enhanced customer experiences.
Risks
π Cautious Market Outlook
400 to 500 basis points (low end)
Expected Annual Outgrowth
Grainger's guidance for 2025 suggests a cautious approach, expecting sales growth at the low end of previous targets. This indicates potential challenges in achieving higher growth amidst a sluggish demand environment.
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