10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 2.7% per year
GPC has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
the majority of
recent quarters (8/10)
Reasonable Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Low Price-to-Sales Ratio
Strong Return on Equity
Healthy Gross Profit Margin
Good Interest Coverage Ratio
Adequate Current Ratio
π Strong Market Position
π° Financial Discipline
π Strategic Investments and M&A
π Anticipated Market Recovery
High Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Ratio
Elevated Price-to-Book Ratio
Low Net Profit Margin
Subpar Operating Profit Margin
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Low Quick Ratio
β οΈ Weak Market Conditions
π Earnings Pressure
Overall, GPC exhibits strong business quality through its market leadership and financial discipline, but faces challenges from weak market conditions and inflation. Future prospects appear positive with strategic investments and anticipated market recovery, though earnings pressures could pose risks in the short term.
Analysis Date: February 18, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+30%
+2.7% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustrySpecialty Retail
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Market Cap$16.32B
CEOMr. William P. Stengel II
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is a company that sells parts and supplies for cars, trucks, and machinery. They provide replacement parts for various vehicles, including hybrid and electric cars, as well as equipment used in farms and factories. GPC also offers services like repairing and assembling parts to help keep vehicles and machines running smoothly. They operate in many countries, making it easier for repair shops and businesses to find the parts they need.
Streams of revenue
Automotive Parts:64%
Industrial Parts:36%
Geographic Distribution
North America:88%
Australasia:12%
Core Products
π
Office ProductsOffice supplies
π
Automotive PartsCar parts & accessories
π
Industrial PartsIndustrial supplies
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
βοΈ
Value-Added ServicesGPC provides specialized services such as repairs and assembly, enhancing customer relationships and creating additional revenue streams.
π οΈ
Diverse Product PortfolioThe company offers a wide range of automotive and industrial replacement parts, catering to various vehicle types and industries, which reduces reliance on any single market.
π
Established Brand ReputationWith a history dating back to 1928, GPC has built a strong brand recognition and trust among customers, which fosters customer loyalty.
π
Extensive Distribution NetworkGPC has a vast distribution network across multiple countries, allowing for efficient logistics and timely delivery of parts to customers.
π€
Strong Relationships with SuppliersLong-term partnerships with suppliers ensure access to quality products and favorable terms, which can lead to competitive pricing and product availability.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnsEconomic recessions can lead to reduced consumer spending on automotive and industrial parts, negatively impacting revenues.
π
Market CompetitionIncreased competition from online retailers and other distributors can pressure pricing and market share, affecting profitability.
π
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in regulations regarding emissions, safety standards, and trade policies can increase operational costs and complicate compliance efforts.
βοΈ
Technological ChangesRapid advancements in automotive technology, including electric vehicles, may require significant adaptation in product offerings and services.
π§
Supply Chain DisruptionsPotential interruptions in the supply chain can affect the availability of automotive and industrial parts, impacting sales and customer service.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$250.67
Current Market Price: $116.75
IV/P Ratio: 2.15x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
53.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for GPC
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (17.94)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (3.74)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.16x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (3.92x)
Margin of safety (53.0%)
GPC does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 18.85380200017088
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 35.86906627357959
Net Profit Margin: 3.84933193094317
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
18.85%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
35.87%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Good Interest Coverage Ratio
13.43
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 13.43 indicates that the company can easily cover its interest obligations, reflecting strong financial stability.
Adequate Current Ratio
1.16
Current Ratio
A current ratio of 1.16 suggests that the company has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, indicative of solid liquidity.
Weaknesses
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
1.32
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32 indicates that the company relies significantly on debt financing, which could pose risks during downturns.
Low Quick Ratio
0.51
Quick Ratio
A quick ratio of 0.51 suggests potential liquidity issues since it indicates the company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without selling inventory.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
8/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-04-22
+5.4%
2025-02-18
+4.5%
2024-10-22
-22.3%
2024-07-23
-5.8%
2024-04-18
+2.8%
2024-02-15
+2.7%
2023-10-19
+3.8%
2023-07-20
+4.3%
2023-04-20
+5.4%
2023-02-23
+8.5%
Earnings call from February 18, 2025
EPS
1.66
Estimated
1.75
Actual
+5.42%
Difference
Revenue
$6101611470
Estimated
$5866069000
Actual
-3.86%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Market Position
<10%
Market Share in Motion Segment
81%
Employee Engagement Rate
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) maintains a leadership position in a fragmented market, with less than 10% market share in its industrial segment, indicating significant growth potential. The company also reported operational excellence with a consistent focus on customer service, as evidenced by a 81% engagement rate among employees.
π° Financial Discipline
$1.3 billion
Operating Cash Flow
3%
Dividend Increase
GPC demonstrated strong financial discipline with a solid cash flow generation of $1.3 billion and returning nearly 60% of operating cash flow to shareholders. The company also achieved a 3% increase in dividends, marking 69 consecutive years of dividend increases.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Weak Market Conditions
-1.4%
Global Industrial Sales Growth
7.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
The company's end markets did not perform as expected, particularly in the industrial segment, which faced reduced customer demand and comparable sales decline. The overall economic environment remains challenging with inflationary pressures impacting profitability.
Opportunities
π Strategic Investments and M&A
Over 100
Acquisitions in 2024
$200 million annually by 2026
Expected Cost Savings from Restructuring
GPC is actively pursuing bolt-on acquisitions to enhance capabilities and geographic coverage, having acquired over 100 companies in 2024. This positions them well for future growth as they leverage technology and data to improve operations and customer experience.
π Anticipated Market Recovery
2% to 4%
2025 Sales Growth Outlook
Despite current challenges, GPC expects gradual improvement in market conditions, particularly in industrial and automotive segments, supported by favorable long-term industry fundamentals like increasing vehicle age and miles driven.
Risks
π Earnings Pressure
20% to 30%
Expected EPS Decline (Q1 2025)
The company anticipates earnings to be down 15% to 20% in the first half of 2025 due to weak market conditions, high interest rates, and inflation, which could hinder growth if not managed effectively.
Insider trading data shows purchase and sale activities by company executives and board members.
Insider Sentiment Analysis
Insider trading patterns can provide insights into how company executives and board members view the stock's future prospects.
Insiders are selling significantly more than buying (ratio: 0.55x)
Total Bought
Total value of insider purchases in recent quarters
Lower values relative to buying indicate possible undervaluation
Active Insiders
Number of insiders trading in recent quarters
4
Moderate insider activity
Recent Trend
Change in insider trading pattern
GPC: No trend data available
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