10Y annualized return is
excellent
at 30.0% per year
FTNT has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
all
recent quarters (10/10)
Strong Market Demand
High Profit Margins
Strong Liquidity Position
Low Debt Levels
π Strong Competitive Position
π‘ Innovation and Technology Leadership
π Strong Financial Performance
π Growth Opportunities in SaaS
π Refresh Cycle Potential
π Expansion in Emerging Markets
High Valuation Ratios
Low Return on Equity
Limited Cash Reserves
β οΈ Exposure to Economic Factors
π Caution in Billings Guidance
Overall, Fortinet demonstrates strong business quality with competitive advantages and solid financial performance. Future growth prospects are promising, particularly in SaaS and new customer acquisitions, despite some economic uncertainties that may impact short-term billing growth.
Analysis Date: February 6, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+1281%
+30.0% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
SectorTechnology
Market Cap$75.07B
CEOMr. Ken Xie
Fortinet, Inc. is a company that helps protect businesses from cyber threats, like hackers and viruses. They create tools, both hardware and software, that act like security guards for computers and networks. Some of their main products include firewalls to block unwanted access, secure email systems to keep messages safe, and safe Wi-Fi solutions for connecting devices. Fortinet serves various industries, such as healthcare, finance, and education, ensuring that their customers' information stays secure and private.
Streams of revenue
Service:41%
Security Subscription:23%
Product:19%
Technical Support and Other:17%
Geographic Distribution
Americas:87%
Other Americas:14%
Core Products
π
FortiWebWeb app firewall
π‘οΈ
FortiGateNetwork firewall
π»
FortiClientEndpoint protection
π₯οΈ
FortiManagerNetwork management
π
FortiAnalyzerSecurity analytics
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π
Innovative TechnologyContinuous investment in research and development leads to advanced threat detection and prevention capabilities.
π€
Strategic PartnershipsCollaborations with key industry players enhance product offerings and expand market reach.
π
Strong Brand ReputationEstablished credibility and trust in the cybersecurity space, enhancing customer loyalty and attracting new clients.
π‘οΈ
Comprehensive Product SuiteFortinet offers a wide range of integrated cybersecurity solutions, creating a one-stop-shop for customers' security needs.
βοΈ
Scalability and FlexibilityFortinet's solutions can easily scale to meet the needs of businesses of all sizes, making them suitable for diverse industries.
Key Business Risks
βοΈ
Market CompetitionIntense competition from other cybersecurity firms may erode market share and pricing power.
π
Regulatory ComplianceFailure to comply with evolving cybersecurity regulations can result in fines and damage to reputation.
π
Cyber Threat LandscapeIncreasing sophistication of cyber threats poses a constant risk to the effectiveness of Fortinet's solutions.
π§
Supply Chain DisruptionsDisruptions in the supply chain can affect the availability of hardware and software components.
π»
Technological ObsolescenceRapid technological advancements may render current products less effective or obsolete.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$87.66
Current Market Price: $84.98
IV/P Ratio: 1.03x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
3.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for FTNT
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (37.21)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (43.47)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.47x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.52x)
Margin of safety (3.0%)
FTNT does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 273.4780224085247
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 80.56348433459821
Net Profit Margin: 29.302528627556327
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
273.48%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
80.56%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
FTNT showcases strong profitability with a net profit margin of 29.30%, indicating effective cost management and a solid business model.
Weaknesses
Low Return on Equity
2.73%
Return on Equity
The return on equity (ROE) is only 2.73%, which suggests that the company is not generating high returns on its shareholders' investments, raising concerns about management efficiency.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.67x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Liquidity Position
1.47
Current Ratio
1.39
Quick Ratio
With a current ratio of 1.47 and a quick ratio of 1.39, FTNT shows strong liquidity, indicating that it can easily cover short-term liabilities.
Low Debt Levels
0.67
Debt to Equity
0.10
Debt to Assets
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67 and debt-to-assets ratio of 0.10 reflect a conservative capital structure, suggesting low financial risk.
Weaknesses
Limited Cash Reserves
0.71
Cash Ratio
The cash ratio of 0.71 indicates that while FTNT has some liquidity, it may not have sufficient cash reserves to cover all short-term obligations without liquidating other assets.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
10/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-06
+23.3%
2024-11-07
+21.2%
2024-08-06
+39.0%
2024-05-02
+13.2%
2024-02-06
+18.6%
2023-11-02
+13.9%
2023-08-03
+11.8%
2023-05-04
+17.2%
2023-02-07
+12.8%
2022-11-02
+22.2%
Earnings call from February 6, 2025
EPS
0.60
Estimated
0.74
Actual
+23.33%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Competitive Position
Over 50% of global firewalls
Market Share
Record 39.2%
Operating Margin
Fortinet holds a leading position in the secure networking market, securing over half of all global firewalls. The company is recognized for its unique single operating system approach, which integrates various security functions, giving it a competitive edge over others.
π‘ Innovation and Technology Leadership
11% of total billings
AI-Powered Revenue Contribution
130% growth in SaaS solutions
Unified SaaS Growth
The introduction of AI-driven security and the acquisition of companies like Perception Point showcases Fortinet's commitment to innovation. Its proprietary ASIC technology enhances performance and efficiency, providing significant advantages in security operations.
π Strong Financial Performance
17%
Total Revenue Growth
18%
Product Revenue Growth
Fortinet reported a total revenue growth of 17% and product revenue growth of 18%, the highest in six quarters. This reflects robust demand for its security solutions, particularly in unified SaaS and SecOps.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Exposure to Economic Factors
Expected growth of only 11% for Q1 2025
Billing Guidance
The company acknowledged potential impacts from tariffs and a challenging macroeconomic environment, particularly affecting its multinational operations and customer demand.
Opportunities
π Growth Opportunities in SaaS
96%
SSE ARR Growth
23% of total business
Unified SaaS Contribution
Fortinet's unified SaaS solutions are gaining traction, with a 96% growth in ARR for Security Service Edge (SSE). The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for integrated security solutions.
π Refresh Cycle Potential
$450 million
Potential Upgrade Opportunity
10% for SASE
Large Enterprise Penetration Rate
The upcoming end-of-life refresh cycle presents a significant upsell opportunity for Fortinet, especially among large enterprises currently using legacy systems. This is expected to drive substantial revenue growth.
π Expansion in Emerging Markets
Over 25%
EMEA Growth Rate
6,900 in Q4
New Logos Added
Fortinet's performance in emerging markets, particularly in EMEA, shows strong potential for growth, driven by increasing demand for security solutions. The company is also leveraging its strong channel partnerships to penetrate these markets.
Risks
π Caution in Billings Guidance
12% for full year 2025
Expected Billings Growth
The guidance for billings growth appears cautious, reflecting potential uncertainties in economic conditions and tariff impacts, which may hinder more aggressive growth targets.
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