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FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is positive but below market average at 4.8% per year
Earnings Expectations FCX has met or exceeded earnings expectations in the majority of recent quarters (8/10)
Positive Reasonable EV/EBITDA Ratio
Positive Low Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Operating Profit Margin
Positive Healthy Return on Equity
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Minimal Debt Levels
Positive πŸ† Strong Financial Performance
Positive 🌍 Established Market Position
Positive πŸ”‹ Growth in Copper Demand
Positive πŸš€ Significant Organic Growth Opportunities
Positive πŸ’‘ Innovation and Efficiency Focus
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative Elevated Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Net Profit Margin is Low
Negative Cash Ratio is Moderate
Negative ⚠️ Geopolitical Risks
Negative πŸ“‰ Uncertain Regulatory Environment

Freeport-McMoRan demonstrates a solid business model with strong financial performance and established market presence. However, geopolitical risks and regulatory uncertainties in Indonesia pose challenges. The company's focus on organic growth and innovation positions it well for future opportunities.

Analysis Date: January 23, 2025
Last Updated: March 12, 2025

+60%
+4.8% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Copper
Sector Basic Materials
Market Cap $55.42B
CEO Ms. Kathleen Lynne Quirk

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is a company that digs up valuable minerals and metals. They mainly look for copper and gold, but they also find other things like silver and oil. Their mining operations are located in different places, including the United States, Peru, and Indonesia. Basically, they help provide important resources that are used in many everyday products, like electronics and construction materials.

Streams of revenue

Copper Cathode: 30%
Copper In Concentrates: 26%
Gold: 20%
Refined Copper Products: 15%
Molybdenum: 7%
Purchased Copper: 2%

Geographic Distribution

North America: 58%
South America: 42%

Core Products

πŸ…
Gold Precious metal
πŸ”‹
Copper Electrical conductor
βš™οΈ
Molybdenum Alloying agent

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

⛏️
Resource Richness Freeport-McMoRan owns some of the largest and most productive copper and gold mines in the world, providing a significant resource advantage.
πŸ”—
Vertical Integration The company's involvement in both mining and oil and gas operations allows for cross-utilization of resources and risk mitigation.
βš™οΈ
Operational Expertise With decades of experience in mining and resource extraction, Freeport-McMoRan has developed advanced operational efficiencies and expertise.
πŸ†
Strong Market Position As a major player in the copper industry, Freeport-McMoRan benefits from economies of scale and a strong bargaining position with suppliers and customers.
🌍
Geographic Diversification The company's operations span multiple continents, reducing risk and providing access to diverse markets and resources.

Key Business Risks

πŸ”§
Operational Risks Mining operations face risks related to equipment failure, accidents, and labor disputes that can halt production.
🌍
Geopolitical Risks Operations in politically unstable regions, particularly in Indonesia and South America, can disrupt production and supply chains.
βš–οΈ
Regulatory Changes Changes in mining regulations or environmental laws can lead to increased operational costs and compliance requirements.
🌱
Environmental Impact Environmental concerns and potential liabilities from mining activities can lead to reputational damage and legal issues.
πŸ“‰
Commodity Price Volatility Fluctuations in copper and gold prices can significantly impact revenue and profitability.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$50.33

Current Market Price: $28.99

IV/P Ratio: 1.74x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

42.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for FCX

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (22.30)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (2.40)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (2.42x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.00x)
Yes Margin of safety (42.0%)
No FCX does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 10.871003942105716

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 29.36789772727273

Net Profit Margin: 7.453440656565656

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

10.87%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

29.37%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

7.45%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Operating Profit Margin

0.2668
Operating Profit Margin

With an operating profit margin of 26.68%, the company demonstrates strong operational efficiency, allowing it to convert a significant portion of revenue into operating profit.

Healthy Return on Equity

0.1087
Return on Equity

A return on equity of 10.87% indicates that the company is effectively utilizing its equity base to generate profits, which is a positive sign for investors.

Net Profit Margin is Low

0.0745
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 7.45% is relatively low, which may indicate challenges in profitability after accounting for all expenses, including taxes and interest.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.00x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

2.42x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Liquidity Ratios

2.419
Current Ratio
2.419
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 2.42 and quick ratio of 2.42 indicate that the company has a strong ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets, signaling good financial health.

Minimal Debt Levels

0.0023
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.0007
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.002 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.0007, the company maintains very low levels of debt, reducing financial risk significantly.

Cash Ratio is Moderate

0.7138
Cash Ratio

A cash ratio of 0.71 suggests that while the company has sufficient cash to cover short-term liabilities, it may not have an excess cushion compared to some benchmarks.

Meeting Expectations

8 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Missed earnings
2025-01-23 -13.9%
Beat earnings
2024-10-22 +6.4%
Beat earnings
2024-07-23 +21.1%
Beat earnings
2024-04-23 +23.1%
Beat earnings
2024-01-24 +22.7%
Beat earnings
2023-10-19 +14.7%
Beat earnings
2023-07-20 +25.0%
Beat earnings
2023-04-21 +15.6%
Beat earnings
2023-01-25 +13.0%
Missed earnings
2022-10-20 -23.5%

EPS

0.36
Estimated
0.31
Actual
-13.89%
Difference

πŸ† Strong Financial Performance

14%
EBITDA Growth
$7 billion
Operating Cash Flows

FCX reported an EBITDA of $10 billion for 2024, which is a 14% increase from the previous year. This reflects the company's effective operational execution and improved pricing.

🌍 Established Market Position

60 years
Years in Operation
Indonesia, U.S., South America
Key Operations

Freeport has a long-standing history in Indonesia and a strong operational presence in the U.S. and South America. This geographic diversification allows it to mitigate risks associated with geopolitical challenges.

πŸ”‹ Growth in Copper Demand

$4.15 per pound
Average Copper Price (2024)
Above trend growth
Projected Copper Demand Growth

The demand for copper is expected to grow due to electrification and infrastructure investments, positioning FCX favorably in a market projected to have significant deficits in the long run.

⚠️ Geopolitical Risks

The company faces ongoing geopolitical risks in Indonesia, which could impact operations and negotiations for export approvals and license extensions.

πŸš€ Significant Organic Growth Opportunities

800 million pounds by 2030
Target Incremental Copper Production
300 million pounds by end of 2025
Current Leach Initiative Run Rate

FCX aims to achieve a run rate of 800 million pounds of incremental copper production by 2030 through various organic growth initiatives, including innovative leaching techniques.

πŸ’‘ Innovation and Efficiency Focus

Below $1 per pound
Cost of Innovative Leach Initiative

The company is investing in innovation to enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve production yields, which is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge.

πŸ“‰ Uncertain Regulatory Environment

There is uncertainty regarding export regulations in Indonesia, which could affect production rates and operational planning.

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