10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 4.8% per year
FCX has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
the majority of
recent quarters (8/10)
Reasonable EV/EBITDA Ratio
Low Price-to-Sales Ratio
Strong Operating Profit Margin
Healthy Return on Equity
Strong Liquidity Ratios
Minimal Debt Levels
π Strong Financial Performance
π Established Market Position
π Growth in Copper Demand
π Significant Organic Growth Opportunities
π‘ Innovation and Efficiency Focus
High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Elevated Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
Net Profit Margin is Low
Cash Ratio is Moderate
β οΈ Geopolitical Risks
π Uncertain Regulatory Environment
Freeport-McMoRan demonstrates a solid business model with strong financial performance and established market presence. However, geopolitical risks and regulatory uncertainties in Indonesia pose challenges. The company's focus on organic growth and innovation positions it well for future opportunities.
Analysis Date: January 23, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+60%
+4.8% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryCopper
SectorBasic Materials
Market Cap$55.42B
CEOMs. Kathleen Lynne Quirk
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is a company that digs up valuable minerals and metals. They mainly look for copper and gold, but they also find other things like silver and oil. Their mining operations are located in different places, including the United States, Peru, and Indonesia. Basically, they help provide important resources that are used in many everyday products, like electronics and construction materials.
Streams of revenue
Copper Cathode:30%
Copper In Concentrates:26%
Gold:20%
Refined Copper Products:15%
Molybdenum:7%
Purchased Copper:2%
Geographic Distribution
North America:58%
South America:42%
Core Products
π
GoldPrecious metal
π
CopperElectrical conductor
βοΈ
MolybdenumAlloying agent
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
βοΈ
Resource RichnessFreeport-McMoRan owns some of the largest and most productive copper and gold mines in the world, providing a significant resource advantage.
π
Vertical IntegrationThe company's involvement in both mining and oil and gas operations allows for cross-utilization of resources and risk mitigation.
βοΈ
Operational ExpertiseWith decades of experience in mining and resource extraction, Freeport-McMoRan has developed advanced operational efficiencies and expertise.
π
Strong Market PositionAs a major player in the copper industry, Freeport-McMoRan benefits from economies of scale and a strong bargaining position with suppliers and customers.
π
Geographic DiversificationThe company's operations span multiple continents, reducing risk and providing access to diverse markets and resources.
Key Business Risks
π§
Operational RisksMining operations face risks related to equipment failure, accidents, and labor disputes that can halt production.
π
Geopolitical RisksOperations in politically unstable regions, particularly in Indonesia and South America, can disrupt production and supply chains.
βοΈ
Regulatory ChangesChanges in mining regulations or environmental laws can lead to increased operational costs and compliance requirements.
π±
Environmental ImpactEnvironmental concerns and potential liabilities from mining activities can lead to reputational damage and legal issues.
π
Commodity Price VolatilityFluctuations in copper and gold prices can significantly impact revenue and profitability.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$50.33
Current Market Price: $28.99
IV/P Ratio: 1.74x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
42.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for FCX
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (22.30)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (2.40)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (2.42x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.00x)
Margin of safety (42.0%)
FCX does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 10.871003942105716
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 29.36789772727273
Net Profit Margin: 7.453440656565656
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
10.87%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
29.37%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
With an operating profit margin of 26.68%, the company demonstrates strong operational efficiency, allowing it to convert a significant portion of revenue into operating profit.
Healthy Return on Equity
0.1087
Return on Equity
A return on equity of 10.87% indicates that the company is effectively utilizing its equity base to generate profits, which is a positive sign for investors.
Weaknesses
Net Profit Margin is Low
0.0745
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 7.45% is relatively low, which may indicate challenges in profitability after accounting for all expenses, including taxes and interest.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.00x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Liquidity Ratios
2.419
Current Ratio
2.419
Quick Ratio
The current ratio of 2.42 and quick ratio of 2.42 indicate that the company has a strong ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets, signaling good financial health.
Minimal Debt Levels
0.0023
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.0007
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.002 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 0.0007, the company maintains very low levels of debt, reducing financial risk significantly.
Weaknesses
Cash Ratio is Moderate
0.7138
Cash Ratio
A cash ratio of 0.71 suggests that while the company has sufficient cash to cover short-term liabilities, it may not have an excess cushion compared to some benchmarks.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
8/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-23
-13.9%
2024-10-22
+6.4%
2024-07-23
+21.1%
2024-04-23
+23.1%
2024-01-24
+22.7%
2023-10-19
+14.7%
2023-07-20
+25.0%
2023-04-21
+15.6%
2023-01-25
+13.0%
2022-10-20
-23.5%
Earnings call from January 23, 2025
EPS
0.36
Estimated
0.31
Actual
-13.89%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Financial Performance
14%
EBITDA Growth
$7 billion
Operating Cash Flows
FCX reported an EBITDA of $10 billion for 2024, which is a 14% increase from the previous year. This reflects the company's effective operational execution and improved pricing.
π Established Market Position
60 years
Years in Operation
Indonesia, U.S., South America
Key Operations
Freeport has a long-standing history in Indonesia and a strong operational presence in the U.S. and South America. This geographic diversification allows it to mitigate risks associated with geopolitical challenges.
π Growth in Copper Demand
$4.15 per pound
Average Copper Price (2024)
Above trend growth
Projected Copper Demand Growth
The demand for copper is expected to grow due to electrification and infrastructure investments, positioning FCX favorably in a market projected to have significant deficits in the long run.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Geopolitical Risks
The company faces ongoing geopolitical risks in Indonesia, which could impact operations and negotiations for export approvals and license extensions.
Opportunities
π Significant Organic Growth Opportunities
800 million pounds by 2030
Target Incremental Copper Production
300 million pounds by end of 2025
Current Leach Initiative Run Rate
FCX aims to achieve a run rate of 800 million pounds of incremental copper production by 2030 through various organic growth initiatives, including innovative leaching techniques.
π‘ Innovation and Efficiency Focus
Below $1 per pound
Cost of Innovative Leach Initiative
The company is investing in innovation to enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve production yields, which is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge.
Risks
π Uncertain Regulatory Environment
There is uncertainty regarding export regulations in Indonesia, which could affect production rates and operational planning.
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