10Y annualized return is
very good
at 10.6% per year
ELV has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
most
recent quarters (9/10)
Attractive Price-to-Sales Ratio
Reasonable PE Ratio
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Decent Return on Equity
Strong Liquidity Ratios
Good Interest Coverage
π Strong Member Engagement
π‘ Value-Based Care Model
π Solid Financial Performance
π Projected Membership Growth
π Expansion of Carelon Services
High Price-to-Cash-Flow Ratio
Low Net Profit Margin
Moderate Debt Levels
Low Cash Ratio
β οΈ Elevated Medicaid Cost Trends
π Regulatory Uncertainty
π Margin Pressures
Elevance Health exhibits strong business quality through innovative member engagement and a solid value-based care model. However, challenges remain in managing Medicaid cost trends and regulatory uncertainties. Future prospects appear positive with anticipated membership growth and expansion of Carelon services, albeit with potential margin pressures.
Analysis Date: January 23, 2025 Last Updated: March 12, 2025
+174%
+10.6% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryMedical - Healthcare Plans
SectorHealthcare
Market Cap$88.05B
CEOMs. Gail Koziara Boudreaux
Elevance Health Inc. is a company that helps people get the healthcare they need. They provide health insurance and other support services to individuals and families, making it easier for them to access doctors, medications, and mental health resources. Founded in 1944 and based in Indianapolis, Elevance Health aims to improve the health and well-being of about 118 million people by connecting them with the care and resources that can help them live healthier lives.
Large Customer BaseServing approximately 118 million people provides economies of scale and negotiation power with providers.
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Established Brand RecognitionElevance Health has a long-standing reputation in the healthcare sector, enhancing trust and customer loyalty.
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Comprehensive Service PortfolioOffering a wide range of services including medical, digital, pharmacy, and behavioral solutions allows for integrated care management.
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Regulatory Compliance ExpertiseDeep understanding of healthcare regulations and policies ensures compliance, reducing risks associated with legal issues.
π
Strong Data Analytics CapabilitiesAdvanced data analytics enable personalized care solutions and improve operational efficiencies.
Key Business Risks
π
Market VolatilityEconomic downturns can affect membership growth and revenue from premiums, impacting overall financial stability.
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Data Security RisksCybersecurity threats may compromise sensitive patient data, leading to legal liabilities and reputational damage.
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Competitive PressureIntense competition from other health benefits companies could impact market share and pricing strategies.
βοΈ
Regulatory ComplianceChanges in healthcare regulations may lead to increased operational costs and compliance challenges.
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Technological DisruptionRapid advancements in digital health solutions may require continuous investment to stay relevant and competitive.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$749.20
Current Market Price: $428.65
IV/P Ratio: 1.75x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
43.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ELV
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (16.32)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (2.36)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (2.01x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (1.11x)
Margin of safety (43.0%)
ELV does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 13.94006502379494
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 46.79769243821051
Net Profit Margin: 3.382161642441038
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
Scroll horizontally to see more
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
13.94%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
46.80%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
The gross profit margin of 46.80% indicates strong pricing power and cost control, allowing the company to retain a significant portion of revenue as profit.
Decent Return on Equity
0.1425
Return on Equity
Return on Equity (ROE) of 14.25% reflects effective management in generating profits from shareholders' equity, suggesting efficient use of capital.
Weaknesses
Low Net Profit Margin
0.0338
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 3.38% indicates lower profitability after all expenses, which may limit the company's ability to generate returns in comparison to its revenue.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.75x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Liquidity Ratios
1.4602
Current Ratio
1.4602
Quick Ratio
The current ratio of 1.46 and quick ratio of 1.46 indicate that the company has sufficient short-term assets to cover its liabilities, reflecting strong liquidity.
Good Interest Coverage
6.7021
Interest Coverage
An interest coverage ratio of 6.70 indicates that the company has ample earnings to cover its interest obligations, suggesting low financial risk.
Weaknesses
Moderate Debt Levels
0.7559
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.76 indicates that the company is moderately leveraged, which could pose risks if cash flows decline.
Low Cash Ratio
0.2053
Cash Ratio
The cash ratio of 0.21 suggests limited cash reserves relative to current liabilities, which could impact liquidity in times of financial stress.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
9/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-23
+1.1%
2024-10-17
-13.4%
2024-07-17
+1.1%
2024-04-18
+1.0%
2024-01-24
+1.3%
2023-10-18
+6.4%
2023-07-19
+2.7%
2023-04-19
+2.2%
2023-01-25
+0.6%
2022-10-19
+5.3%
Earnings call from January 23, 2025
EPS
3.80
Estimated
3.84
Actual
+1.05%
Difference
Strengths
π Strong Member Engagement
1.5 million hours
Member Engagement Savings
Elevance Health demonstrated a commitment to member well-being with initiatives like the Sydney app, which saved members an estimated 1.5 million hours in 2024 by streamlining their healthcare journey.
π‘ Value-Based Care Model
β 66%
Percentage of Value-Based Care
35% (up from <20% in 3 years)
Downside Risk Care Providers
The company has shifted to value-based partnerships, accounting for nearly two-thirds of care today, which has resulted in better health outcomes and reduced inefficiencies.
π Solid Financial Performance
$3.84
Q4 Adjusted EPS
$33.04
Full Year Adjusted EPS
Reported fourth quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $3.84 and full year adjusted diluted EPS of $33.04, indicating strong financial discipline even amid elevated costs.
Weaknesses
β οΈ Elevated Medicaid Cost Trends
Higher than typical
Medicaid Cost Trend
The Medicaid business continues to face elevated cost trends that are impacting margins, with rates currently insufficient to cover these trends.
Opportunities
π Projected Membership Growth
7% to 9%
Projected MA Membership Growth
Elevance anticipates Medicare Advantage membership growth of 7% to 9% for 2025, supported by strong retention and group membership growth.
π Expansion of Carelon Services
>30%
Carelon Service Growth Rate
The acquisition of CareBridge and ongoing investment in Carelon are expected to drive significant revenue growth, with Carelon services anticipated to grow above long-term targets.
Risks
π Regulatory Uncertainty
Ongoing discussions regarding Medicare and Medicaid regulations could introduce volatility and impact future performance.
π Margin Pressures
89.1% (approx. +60 bps)
Expected MLR Increase for 2025
The company is navigating pressures on margins due to a mix of business changes and expected elevated costs in Medicaid and Medicare.
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