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CVX
Chevron Corporation
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is positive but below market average at 2.3% per year
Earnings Expectations CVX has met or exceeded earnings expectations in some recent quarters (6/10)
Positive Attractive PE Ratio
Positive Low Price to Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Gross Profit Margin
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive High Interest Coverage Ratio
Positive Strong Financial Performance
Positive Capital Efficiency and Discipline
Positive Diversified Energy Portfolio
Positive Industry-Leading Free Cash Flow Growth
Positive Strong Growth Pipeline in Multiple Regions
Negative Higher PFCF Ratio
Negative Moderate Net Profit Margin
Negative Liquidity Ratios Indicate Concerns
Negative Market Conditions Affecting Downstream

Overall, Chevron demonstrates strong business quality with solid financial performance and a disciplined approach to capital allocation. Its diversified portfolio, including new energy ventures, positions it well for future growth. However, it faces challenges in the downstream segment due to market pressures.

Analysis Date: January 31, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

+26%
+2.3% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Sector Energy
Market Cap $264.64B
CEO Mr. Michael K. Wirth

Chevron Corporation is a big company that works in the energy industry. It finds and produces oil and natural gas, which are important fuels we use every day. Chevron also refines crude oil into products like gasoline and diesel, and sells these fuels to gas stations and other customers. In addition to oil and gas, Chevron is involved in making renewable fuels and chemicals that are used in various products.

Streams of revenue

Downstream: 64%
Upstream: 36%

Geographic Distribution

International: 100%
UNITED STATES: 0%

Core Products

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Crude Oil Raw petroleum
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Natural Gas Energy source
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Petrochemicals Chemical products
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Refined Products Fuel and lubricants
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Renewable Energy Sustainable power

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

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Economies of Scale Chevron's large-scale operations allow it to reduce costs per unit, enhancing profitability and competitive pricing.
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Diversified Operations Engagement in both upstream and downstream activities minimizes risk and stabilizes revenue streams against market volatility.
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Strategic Partnerships Collaborations with other energy companies and governments enhance access to resources and markets, bolstering operational capabilities.
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Strong Brand Recognition Chevron's established global brand fosters customer loyalty and trust, which is critical in the competitive energy market.
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Technological Innovation Investment in advanced technologies improves efficiency in exploration and production, giving Chevron a competitive edge.

Key Business Risks

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Geopolitical Risks Political instability in oil-producing regions can disrupt supply chains and affect market access.
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Regulatory Changes Changes in environmental regulations and energy policies can affect operations and increase compliance costs.
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Environmental Liability Potential liabilities and costs associated with environmental disasters and climate change initiatives.
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Technological Disruptions Advancements in renewable energy technologies may reduce demand for fossil fuels and impact long-term viability.
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Commodity Price Volatility Fluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly impact revenue and profitability.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$384.08

Current Market Price: $142.49

IV/P Ratio: 2.70x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

63.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CVX

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (14.36)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.67)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0
No Long-term debt < Net current assets
Yes Margin of safety (63.0%)
No CVX does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 11.24227773728552

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 30.824202000952834

Net Profit Margin: 8.951070925364663

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

11.24%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

30.82%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

8.95%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Return on Equity

11.24
Return on Equity

CVX's return on equity stands at 11.24%, which is a strong indicator of the company's ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity.

Healthy Gross Profit Margin

30.82
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 30.82% reflects efficient production and pricing strategies, contributing positively to the overall profitability.

Moderate Net Profit Margin

8.95
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 8.95% is decent but suggests there may be room for improvement in cost management to enhance profitability.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.16x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

CVX: No data available

Low Debt Levels

0.16
Debt to Equity
0.1
Debt to Assets

CVX's debt to equity ratio of 0.16 and debt to assets ratio of 0.10 are indicative of a strong balance sheet with minimal leverage, reducing financial risk.

High Interest Coverage Ratio

37.98
Interest Coverage

An interest coverage ratio of 37.98 indicates that CVX comfortably meets its interest obligations, showcasing financial stability.

Liquidity Ratios Indicate Concerns

0.0
Current Ratio
0.0
Quick Ratio
0.0
Cash Ratio

With current, quick, and cash ratios all at 0.0, there are significant liquidity concerns that could impact the company's ability to meet short-term obligations.

Meeting Expectations

6 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Missed earnings
2025-01-31 -14.9%
Beat earnings
2024-11-01 +3.7%
Missed earnings
2024-08-02 -13.0%
Beat earnings
2024-04-26 +2.1%
Beat earnings
2024-02-02 +4.9%
Missed earnings
2023-10-27 -18.7%
Beat earnings
2023-07-28 +3.7%
Beat earnings
2023-04-28 +4.1%
Missed earnings
2023-01-27 -6.6%
Beat earnings
2022-10-28 +15.6%

EPS

2.42
Estimated
2.06
Actual
-14.88%
Difference

Strong Financial Performance

$27 billion
Record Cash Returned to Shareholders
18%
Production Growth in Permian

Chevron reported record production both globally and in the U.S., with nearly 18% growth in the Permian. The company generated substantial cash flow, returning a record $27 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, indicating strong financial health.

Capital Efficiency and Discipline

$2 billion to $3 billion
Targeted Structural Cost Reductions
10.5%
Adjusted ROCE

Chevron has maintained capital discipline, with a commitment to fund only the most competitive projects. The company is focused on reducing costs with a target of $2 billion to $3 billion in structural cost reductions by 2026.

Diversified Energy Portfolio

20 million barrels
Bio-based Diesel Sold
700 thousand tons of CO2 abated annually
Carbon Capture Projects

Chevron has expanded into New Energies, selling over 20 million barrels of bio-based diesel and advancing projects in carbon capture and renewable fuels, enhancing its competitive advantage in the energy transition.

No weaknesses identified.

Industry-Leading Free Cash Flow Growth

$10 billion
Expected Annual Free Cash Flow Growth

Chevron expects to add $10 billion in annual free cash flow by 2026, driven by growth in advantaged upstream assets and improved operational efficiency. The company is optimistic about achieving full production rates from key projects.

Strong Growth Pipeline in Multiple Regions

6% annually
Expected Production Growth Rate

Chevron has numerous projects in the pipeline, including growth in the Gulf of America and ongoing opportunities in West Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean. The company anticipates a production growth rate of around 6% annually through 2026.

Market Conditions Affecting Downstream

The downstream segment faced challenges with lower margins and operational pressures, indicating potential vulnerabilities in that part of the business amid fluctuating market conditions.

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