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CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Intel
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is negative at -2.8% per year
Earnings Expectations CTRA has met or exceeded earnings expectations in the majority of recent quarters (7/10)
Positive Attractive Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Reasonable Price-to-Book Ratio
Positive Strong Profit Margins
Positive Healthy Return on Equity
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Financial Performance
Positive Flexibility in Capital Allocation
Positive Successful Acquisitions
Positive Robust Growth Outlook
Positive Innovations in Operational Efficiency
Positive Strong Market Positioning
Negative High Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Elevated EV/EBITDA
Negative Moderate Operating Profit Margin
Negative Moderate Interest Coverage
Negative Caution in Gas Market

Coterra Energy demonstrates a strong business quality with effective financial management, operational flexibility, and successful integration of recent acquisitions. Future prospects appear promising with expected growth, operational innovations, and strategic positioning in the gas market, though caution remains regarding market fluctuations.

Analysis Date: February 25, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

-25%
-2.8% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Sector Energy
Market Cap $19.32B
CEO Mr. Thomas E. Jorden

Coterra Energy Inc. is a company that finds and produces oil and natural gas in the United States. They mainly work in areas called the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania and the Permian Basin in Texas. Coterra sells the oil and gas they produce to different customers, including factories and power plants. In simple terms, they help provide energy that powers our homes and businesses.

Streams of revenue

Oil and Condensate: 100%

Geographic Distribution

United States: 76%
Canada: 15%
Other: 9%

Estimations for reference only

Core Products

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Oil Crude oil supply
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NGLs Natural gas liquids
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Natural Gas Energy resource

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

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Proven Reserves Coterra's significant proved reserves of oil and natural gas provide a reliable source of revenue and lower risk in exploration.
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Long-Term Contracts Entering into long-term contracts with customers ensures a stable revenue stream and reduces exposure to volatile market prices.
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Operational Efficiency Coterra's advanced drilling techniques and established infrastructure enhance production efficiency and cost management.
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Strategic Infrastructure Ownership of gathering systems and disposal facilities provides Coterra with logistical advantages and cost savings in transporting resources.
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Geographic Diversification The company's operations across multiple prolific basins (Marcellus, Permian, and Anadarko) mitigate risks associated with regional market fluctuations.

Key Business Risks

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Operational Risks Challenges in drilling, production, and equipment failures can disrupt operations and lead to financial losses.
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Geopolitical Risks Political instability in oil-producing regions can affect supply chains and market dynamics.
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Market Competition Intense competition from other energy producers may affect market share and pricing power.
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Regulatory Changes Changes in environmental regulations and energy policies may increase operational costs or limit exploration.
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Commodity Price Volatility Fluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly impact revenue and profitability.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$58.64

Current Market Price: $26.08

IV/P Ratio: 2.25x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

56.00000000000001%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CTRA

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (16.49)
Yes P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.37)
Yes Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (2.92x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (1.68x)
Yes Margin of safety (56.00000000000001%)
No CTRA does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 8.516942713873272

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 35.27344607950801

Net Profit Margin: 24.62112892598287

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

8.52%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

35.27%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

24.62%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Profit Margins

24.62%
Net Profit Margin

CTRA boasts a net profit margin of 24.62%, indicating effective cost control and a strong ability to convert sales into actual profit.

Healthy Return on Equity

8.52%
Return on Equity

A return on equity (ROE) of 8.52% demonstrates that the company efficiently uses shareholder equity to generate profits.

Moderate Operating Profit Margin

29.63%
Operating Profit Margin

While the operating profit margin is robust at 29.63%, it is not exceptionally high compared to industry leaders, suggesting room for improvement.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.28x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

2.92x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Liquidity Ratios

2.92
Current Ratio
2.88
Quick Ratio

CTRA has a current ratio of 2.92 and a quick ratio of 2.88, indicating excellent short-term liquidity and the ability to cover liabilities.

Low Debt Levels

0.28
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, CTRA maintains a conservative approach to leverage, minimizing financial risk.

Moderate Interest Coverage

11.73
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 11.73, while healthy, suggests that the company could face challenges if earnings decline significantly.

Meeting Expectations

7 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-02-24 +13.2%
Missed earnings
2024-10-31 -5.9%
Missed earnings
2024-08-01 -5.1%
Beat earnings
2024-05-02 +24.4%
Missed earnings
2024-02-22 -5.5%
Beat earnings
2023-11-06 +13.6%
Beat earnings
2023-08-07 +8.3%
Beat earnings
2023-05-04 +24.3%
Beat earnings
2023-02-22 +5.5%
Beat earnings
2022-11-03 +3.6%

EPS

0.42
Estimated
0.49
Actual
+13.19%
Difference

Revenue

$1409337848
Estimated
$1395000000
Actual
%
Difference

Strong Financial Performance

61%
Q4 Free Cash Flow Return
89%
Full Year Free Cash Flow Return

Coterra Energy achieved production levels above the high end of guidance, with a free cash flow return of 61% in Q4 2024 and 89% for the full year. This indicates strong capital efficiency and effective cash management.

Flexibility in Capital Allocation

Coterra maintains flexibility to pivot and reallocate capital based on market conditions, which allows for a responsive approach to changes in oil and gas prices.

Successful Acquisitions

The integration of Franklin Mountain and Avant acquisitions is expected to optimize capital and operational efficiency, enhancing the company's asset base.

No weaknesses identified.

Robust Growth Outlook

5%+
Projected Oil Volume Growth (2025-2027)

Coterra anticipates 5% or greater oil volume growth from 2025 to 2027 and is prepared to increase Marcellus activity if gas market conditions continue to improve.

Innovations in Operational Efficiency

The company has achieved significant reductions in capital costs through longer lateral drilling and improved frac designs, allowing for more efficient use of capital.

Strong Market Positioning

Coterra is well-positioned to take advantage of improving natural gas market dynamics, with a focus on maximizing gas sales and exploring new markets.

Caution in Gas Market

Despite the positive outlook, management emphasizes a cautious approach to ramping up activity in the gas market, indicating uncertainty remains.

Insider trading data shows purchase and sale activities by company executives and board members.

Insider Sentiment Analysis

Insider trading patterns can provide insights into how company executives and board members view the stock's future prospects.

Neutral Insider buying and selling are relatively balanced (ratio: 0.99x)

Total Bought

Total value of insider purchases in recent quarters

$3171478

Higher values indicate stronger insider confidence

Total Sold

Total value of insider sales in recent quarters

$3197781

Lower values relative to buying indicate possible undervaluation

Active Insiders

Number of insiders trading in recent quarters

24

High insider activity

Recent Trend

Change in insider trading pattern

CTRA: No trend data available

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