10Y annualized return is
negative
at -2.2% per year
CPB has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
most
recent quarters (9/10)
Reasonable Price-to-Sales Ratio
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Decent Operating Profit Margin
Interest Coverage Ratio
Strong Leadership Brands
Successful Sovos Integration
Solid Financial Management
Positive Consumer Trends
Innovation and Marketing Investments
Strategic Focus on Premium Segments
High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Low Net Profit Margin
Average Return on Equity
High Debt Levels
Liquidity Concerns
Organic Sales Challenges
Competitive Pressure in Snacks
Uncertain Market Conditions
Potential Margin Compression
Overall, Campbell's Company demonstrates a solid business model supported by strong leadership brands and effective integration of acquisitions. However, challenges in organic sales and competitive pressure in certain segments pose risks to future growth. The company is well-positioned for potential recovery, but must navigate a dynamic market environment and maintain discipline in pricing and promotional strategies.
Analysis Date: December 4, 2024 Last Updated: March 11, 2025
-20%
-2.2% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustryPackaged Foods
SectorConsumer Defensive
Market Cap$12.07B
CEOMr. Mark A. Clouse
Campbell Soup Company makes and sells a variety of food and drink products. They are best known for their soups, like the classic Campbell's condensed soup, as well as broths, pasta sauces, and juices. They also produce snacks, including popular items like Goldfish crackers and Pepperidge Farm cookies. The company sells these products in grocery stores, online, and many other places, making it easy for people to find and enjoy their food.
Streams of revenue
Baked Snacks:41%
Soups:31%
Beverages:29%
Geographic Distribution
Americas Simple Meals and Beverages:100%
Core Products
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Prego SaucesPasta sauces
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V8 BeveragesVegetable juices
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Pepperidge FarmCookies & snacks
π₯£
Campbell's SoupsCanned soups
π
Goldfish CrackersCheese crackers
Business Type
Business to Consumer
Competitive Advantages
π
Brand RecognitionCampbell's long-standing reputation and iconic products foster customer loyalty and trust.
π
Economies of ScaleLarge-scale operations allow for cost efficiencies in production and distribution, improving profit margins.
π
Distribution NetworkExtensive distribution channels enhance accessibility and ensure product availability across diverse retail settings.
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Product DiversificationA wide range of offerings across meals, snacks, and beverages reduces risk and captures various market segments.
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Innovation in Product DevelopmentContinuous investment in new product development keeps the brand relevant and meets changing consumer preferences.
Key Business Risks
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Intense CompetitionThe packaged foods industry is highly competitive, with pressure from both established brands and emerging startups.
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Regulatory ComplianceChanges in food safety regulations can lead to increased costs and potential legal liabilities.
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Supply Chain DisruptionsDelays or interruptions in the supply chain can affect production schedules and product availability.
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Commodity Price FluctuationsVolatility in the prices of raw materials can impact profit margins and overall financial performance.
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Changing Consumer PreferencesShifts towards healthier eating habits may reduce demand for traditional canned and processed foods.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$36.63
Current Market Price: $38.81
IV/P Ratio: 0.94x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-6.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CPB
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (22.19)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (2.96)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (0.93x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (-28.00x)
Margin of safety (-6.0%)
CPB does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 13.480820234167798
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 30.28955430378496
Net Profit Margin: 3.4448067990908195
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
13.48%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-29)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
30.29%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-29)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
With a gross profit margin of 30.29%, CPB exhibits strong profitability at the gross level, indicating effective cost management relative to sales.
Decent Operating Profit Margin
0.1036
Operating Profit Margin
The operating profit margin of 10.36% reflects a reasonable ability to generate profit from operations, which is favorable for investors.
Weaknesses
Low Net Profit Margin
0.0344
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 3.44% is relatively low, indicating that a smaller proportion of revenue is converted into actual profit, which could concern investors about earnings quality.
Average Return on Equity
0.0902
Return on Equity
A return on equity of 9.02% suggests that the company is generating modest returns for shareholders, which may not be sufficient to attract growth-focused investors.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
1.96x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q2 2025
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Interest Coverage Ratio
4.3306
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 4.33 indicates that the company can comfortably meet its interest obligations, reflecting good financial stability.
Weaknesses
High Debt Levels
1.9629
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
0.4824
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.96 and a debt-to-assets ratio of 48.24%, CPB is highly leveraged, which poses risks in times of economic downturns.
Liquidity Concerns
0.932
Current Ratio
0.5546
Quick Ratio
Current and quick ratios below 1 (0.93 and 0.55 respectively) indicate potential liquidity issues, suggesting the company may struggle to meet short-term obligations.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
9/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-03-05
+1.4%
2024-12-03
+1.1%
2024-08-29
+1.6%
2024-06-05
+5.8%
2024-03-06
+3.9%
2023-12-06
+3.4%
2023-08-31
0.0%
2023-06-07
+6.3%
2023-03-08
+8.1%
2022-12-07
+15.9%
Earnings call from December 4, 2024
EPS
0.73
Estimated
0.74
Actual
+1.37%
Difference
Strengths
Strong Leadership Brands
2% dollar consumption growth
Leadership Brands Growth
Top 1 or 2 in almost all categories
Market Position
Campbell's has successfully established 16 Leadership Brands that dominate their respective categories, showing dollar consumption growth and positive share performance. This provides a robust portfolio that drives overall company performance.
Successful Sovos Integration
12 percentage points
Sovos Contribution to Net Sales Growth
>10% for fiscal '25
Pro Forma Growth Expectation for Rao's
The integration of Sovos Brands, particularly the Rao's brand, has exceeded expectations, contributing significantly to net sales and enhancing the Meals & Beverages division's performance.
Solid Financial Management
$250 million over three years
Cost Savings Program
5% increase announced
Dividend Increase
Campbell's has demonstrated strong financial discipline, with plans for cost savings and a commitment to returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Weaknesses
Organic Sales Challenges
-1%
Organic Net Sales Change
Organic net sales were down 1%, indicating struggles in certain segments due to inventory movements and a dynamic consumer environment, which could affect long-term growth.
Competitive Pressure in Snacks
-2%
Snacks Organic Net Sales Change
13.3%
Snacks Operating Margin
The Snacks division has experienced declining organic net sales and margin pressure, particularly from new entrants and private label products, which could threaten profitability.
Opportunities
Positive Consumer Trends
Continuous recovery expected throughout fiscal '25
Projected Consumer Recovery
There is an anticipated recovery in consumer confidence and food volumes, which may support future growth for Campbell's, particularly in their Leadership Brands.
Innovation and Marketing Investments
13% year-over-year increase
Marketing Expense Increase
Planned increases in marketing and innovation efforts, especially during the crucial holiday season, are expected to drive sales and market share growth.
Strategic Focus on Premium Segments
Surging at more than double the category's pace
Millennial Household Adoption of Rao's
Campbell's is focusing on premium products like Rao's that are gaining traction among younger demographics, indicating potential for future market expansion.
Risks
Uncertain Market Conditions
Below-algorithm expectations for next calendar year
Market Growth Projection
The broader food industry is experiencing pressures that could impact Campbell's growth trajectory, with some analysts projecting below-algorithm growth for the next year.
Potential Margin Compression
Potential pressure in the Snacks division
Expected Margin Compression
Continued pressure on margins due to inflation and competitive pricing in the Snacks segment may hinder profitability if not managed effectively.
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