10Y annualized return is
positive but below market average
at 7.2% per year
CPAY has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
few
recent quarters (4/10)
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Return on Equity
High Operating Profit Margin
Strong Net Profit Margin
Interest Coverage Ratio
Strong Revenue Growth
Solid Retention Rates
Successful Acquisitions Integration
Guidance for 2025
Expansion Plans in Europe and the Enterprise Segment
Focus on Multi-Currency Account Product
High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
High Price-to-Sales Ratio
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Low Current and Quick Ratios
Macro Headwinds Impacting Revenue
Mixed Performance in Lodging and Vehicle Payments
Uncertainty Due to Macro Environment
Overall, Corpay demonstrates a solid business model with strong revenue growth and effective acquisition integration. However, macroeconomic challenges and mixed performance in certain segments present risks. Future prospects appear positive with strategic expansions and product innovations planned for 2025.
Analysis Date: February 5, 2025 Last Updated: March 11, 2025
+101%
+7.2% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
SectorTechnology
Market Cap$23.87B
CEOMr. Ronald F. Clarke
Corpay, Inc. is a payments company that helps businesses and people manage expenses related to vehicles and travel. They offer services for paying things like fuel, parking, and maintenance for vehicles. Corpay also provides tools for companies to make payments easily, like cards for travel costs and gifts. Founded in 1986 and based in Atlanta, Georgia, Corpay operates in several countries, including the United States and the United Kingdom.
Streams of revenue
Corporate Payments:83%
Other Operating Segments:17%
Geographic Distribution
UNITED STATES:64%
Other Countries:20%
BRAZIL:16%
Core Products
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AP AutomationAutomate payables
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Expense ManagementTrack expenses
π
FX Risk ManagementManage currency risk
π
Cross-Border PaymentsGlobal transactions
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π
Global ReachOperating internationally in multiple regions enables Corpay to serve a broader market and mitigate risks associated with regional economic fluctuations.
π
Strong Brand RecognitionAs a former FLEETCOR Technologies, Corpay benefits from established brand equity and trust, making it a preferred choice among businesses.
π³
Diversified Payment SolutionsCorpay offers a wide range of payment solutions tailored to various industries, which attracts a diverse clientele and enhances customer retention.
β
Regulatory Compliance ExpertiseCorpay's deep understanding of financial regulations across various jurisdictions ensures compliance, reducing operational risks for its clients.
π
Comprehensive Technology IntegrationThe company's advanced technology infrastructure allows seamless integration with other systems, enhancing operational efficiency for clients.
Key Business Risks
π
Market CompetitionIntense competition from other payment solutions providers can lead to pricing pressures and reduced market share.
π
Cybersecurity ThreatsAs a payments company, Corpay is vulnerable to cyberattacks that could compromise customer data and financial transactions.
π
Economic FluctuationsEconomic downturns may result in decreased consumer spending and lower demand for payment solutions.
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Regulatory ComplianceChanges in financial regulations across different countries may impact operations and compliance costs.
π»
Technological ChangesRapid advancements in technology require continuous innovation to meet customer expectations and avoid obsolescence.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$538.94
Current Market Price: $289.82
IV/P Ratio: 1.86x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
46.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CPAY
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (20.11)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (6.46)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.00x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (-227.56x)
Margin of safety (46.0%)
CPAY does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 32.86996190098349
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 80.98261229022674
Net Profit Margin: 25.254082874984057
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
32.87%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
80.98%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
The operating profit margin of 45.42% reflects strong operational efficiency and a solid ability to convert revenue into operating income.
Strong Net Profit Margin
25.25%
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 25.25% indicates that the company retains a significant portion of its revenues as profit after all expenses, demonstrating effective cost management.
Weaknesses
No profitability weaknesses identified.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
2.12x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Interest Coverage Ratio
4.71
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 4.71 indicates that the company can comfortably cover its interest expenses from its earnings, suggesting lower financial risk.
Weaknesses
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
2.14
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
A debt-to-equity ratio of 2.14 indicates that the company is heavily leveraged, which may pose risks if cash flows are insufficient to meet debt obligations.
Low Current and Quick Ratios
0.997
Current Ratio
0.997
Quick Ratio
A current ratio of 0.997 and quick ratio of 0.997 indicate potential liquidity issues, as the company has less than one dollar in current assets for every dollar of current liabilities.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
4/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-05
-0.2%
2024-11-07
+0.6%
2024-08-07
+0.9%
2024-05-08
+0.2%
2024-03-04
-0.9%
2023-11-08
+0.2%
2023-06-29
-23.3%
2023-03-30
-22.2%
2022-12-30
-22.9%
2022-09-29
-21.5%
Earnings call from February 5, 2025
EPS
5.37
Estimated
5.36
Actual
-0.19%
Difference
Strengths
Strong Revenue Growth
10%
Q4 Revenue Growth
26%
Corporate Payments Organic Growth
Corpay reported Q4 revenue of $1,034 million, up 10% year-over-year. The corporate payments line showed impressive organic revenue growth of 26%, indicating strong demand and sales capabilities.
Solid Retention Rates
92%
Retention Rate
The company's retention rate remained steady at 92%, indicating high customer satisfaction and loyalty, which is crucial for sustaining revenue in a competitive market.
Successful Acquisitions Integration
$0.50
EPS Accretion from Acquisitions
The integration of recent acquisitions, such as Paymerang and GPS, is progressing well, with expectations of delivering $0.50 cash EPS accretion from these deals in 2025.
Weaknesses
Macro Headwinds Impacting Revenue
$100 million
Estimated Revenue Compression
The company faced unfavorable macro conditions that compressed print revenue by over $100 million, primarily due to weak international currencies and a higher tax rate.
Mixed Performance in Lodging and Vehicle Payments
5-6%
Vehicle Payments Expected Growth
The Lodging and U.S. Vehicle Payments segments have experienced challenges, with the latter only expected to grow modestly, indicating potential underlying issues that need addressing.
Opportunities
Guidance for 2025
$4.4 billion
2025 Revenue Guidance
$21
2025 Cash EPS Guidance
Corpay has provided optimistic guidance for 2025, targeting $4.4 billion in revenue and $21 cash EPS, both reflecting an 11% increase, showcasing confidence in business fundamentals.
Expansion Plans in Europe and the Enterprise Segment
Europe
New Market Expansion
Enterprise
Target Segment
The company plans to expand its Payables business into the European market and move upmarket to target enterprise clients, opening new avenues for growth.
Focus on Multi-Currency Account Product
Multi-Currency Account
New Product Introduction
The planned expansion of the Multi-Currency Account product aims to simplify cross-border transactions for clients, potentially enhancing competitive positioning against traditional banks.
Risks
Uncertainty Due to Macro Environment
High
Macroeconomic Challenges
Despite strong underlying business fundamentals, the company faces uncertainty from unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, such as FX rates and interest rates, which could affect growth.
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