10Y annualized return is
very good
at 10.6% per year
CINF has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
the majority of
recent quarters (8/10)
Attractive Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Low Price-to-Sales Ratio
Strong Net Profit Margin
High Return on Equity
Low Debt Levels
Strong Liquidity Ratios
Strong Operating Performance
Robust Premium Growth
Financial Strength and Flexibility
Capital Management and Dividend Growth
Positive Outlook for Reinsurance Market
Moderate EV/EBITDA Ratio
Operating Profit Margin
Interest Coverage Ratio
Impact of Catastrophic Losses
Potential Pricing Cycle Moderation
Cincinnati Financial Corporation demonstrates strong business quality through excellent operating metrics, robust growth, and financial stability. Future prospects remain positive, though potential challenges from catastrophic losses and pricing cycle moderation need to be monitored closely.
Analysis Date: February 11, 2025 Last Updated: March 11, 2025
+174%
+10.6% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryInsurance - Property & Casualty
SectorFinancial Services
Market Cap$22.16B
CEOMr. Stephen Michael Spray
Cincinnati Financial Corporation is a company that helps protect people and businesses from losses by offering different types of insurance. They provide coverage for things like cars, homes, and businesses, so if something bad happens—like an accident or damage—they can help pay for the costs. The company also sells life insurance, which offers financial support to families when a loved one passes away. Additionally, they invest money in various assets to grow their funds and support their insurance products.
Financial StabilityCincinnati Financial's strong balance sheet and consistent profitability enable it to withstand economic downturns and invest in growth opportunities.
📈
Investment ExpertiseCincinnati Financial's experience in managing investments allows for effective allocation of capital, leading to favorable returns and overall financial health.
🏅
Strong Brand ReputationCincinnati Financial has built a strong brand reputation over decades, fostering customer trust and loyalty in the competitive insurance market.
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Diversified Product OfferingsThe company provides a wide range of insurance products across different segments, allowing it to meet diverse customer needs and mitigate risks.
🤝
Agent Network and RelationshipsA robust network of independent agents helps the company reach a broad customer base, enhancing market presence and customer service.
Key Business Risks
🏆
CompetitionIntense competition in the insurance market can lead to pricing pressures and reduced margins.
📝
Claims ManagementInadequate claims processing can result in customer dissatisfaction and financial losses.
📉
Market VolatilityFluctuations in financial markets can impact investment returns and overall profitability.
🌪️
Natural DisastersIncreased frequency and severity of natural disasters can lead to higher claims and losses.
⚖️
Regulatory ChangesChanges in insurance regulations can affect operations, compliance costs, and product offerings.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$564.93
Current Market Price: $132.00
IV/P Ratio: 4.28x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
77.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CINF
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio ≤ 20 (8.97)
P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (1.48)
Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (1.16x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.45x)
Margin of safety (77.0%)
CINF does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 10.672272006490394
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 100.0
Net Profit Margin: 20.216988621328394
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
10.67%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
100.00%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Low Debt Levels
0.06
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
CINF has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, indicating very low reliance on debt for financing, which is a strong point for financial stability.
Strong Liquidity Ratios
1.16
Current Ratio
1.16
Quick Ratio
1.16
Cash Ratio
Current, quick, and cash ratios all at approximately 1.16 show that the company is well-positioned to cover its short-term obligations.
Weaknesses
Interest Coverage Ratio
25.77
Interest Coverage Ratio
While the interest coverage ratio is high at 25.77, it is important to maintain this level to ensure ongoing financial health.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
8/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-10
+65.3%
2024-10-24
-2.7%
2024-07-25
+34.2%
2024-04-25
+1.8%
2024-02-06
+18.1%
2023-10-26
+55.1%
2023-07-27
+68.1%
2023-04-27
+30.9%
2023-02-06
-0.8%
2022-10-31
+2.8%
Earnings call from February 11, 2025
EPS
1.90
Estimated
3.14
Actual
+65.26%
Difference
Strengths
Strong Operating Performance
93.4%
Full Year Combined Ratio
24%
Net Income Growth
Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported strong operating performance with a combined ratio of 93.4% for the full year 2024, showcasing improvement in underwriting efficiency. This indicates effective cost management and profitability within the insurance sector.
Robust Premium Growth
17%
Q4 Net Written Premium Growth
23%
New Business Premium Growth
The company experienced significant premium growth, with a 17% increase in net written premiums for Q4 2024. The growth was driven by strong retention rates and new business development, indicating effective underwriting practices.
Financial Strength and Flexibility
$14 billion
Total Shareholders' Equity
<10%
Debt to Total Capital
Cincinnati Financial maintains a strong financial position with total shareholders' equity of nearly $14 billion and a debt-to-capital ratio under 10%, demonstrating financial resilience and capability for future investments.
Weaknesses
No weaknesses identified.
Opportunities
Capital Management and Dividend Growth
7%
Dividend Increase
65 years
Years of Dividend Growth
The company has a strong history of returning capital to shareholders with a 7% increase in dividends planned for April 2025, extending their streak to 65 years, which reflects confidence in future performance.
Positive Outlook for Reinsurance Market
85.0%
Cincinnati Re Combined Ratio
Cincinnati Re is expected to remain profitable and capitalize on opportunities in the reinsurance market, indicating a proactive approach to risk management and growth in premium income.
Risks
Impact of Catastrophic Losses
$450 to $525 million
Estimated Loss from Wildfires
The recent California wildfires are expected to incur estimated losses of $450 to $525 million, which could impact short-term profitability despite the long-term resilience and planning measures in place.
Potential Pricing Cycle Moderation
Concerns about moderation in pricing cycles, particularly in commercial lines, may affect future premium growth, requiring careful monitoring of underwriting practices.
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