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CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is very good at 10.6% per year
Earnings Expectations CINF has met or exceeded earnings expectations in the majority of recent quarters (8/10)
Positive Attractive Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Low Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Net Profit Margin
Positive High Return on Equity
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Strong Operating Performance
Positive Robust Premium Growth
Positive Financial Strength and Flexibility
Positive Capital Management and Dividend Growth
Positive Positive Outlook for Reinsurance Market
Negative Moderate EV/EBITDA Ratio
Negative Operating Profit Margin
Negative Interest Coverage Ratio
Negative Impact of Catastrophic Losses
Negative Potential Pricing Cycle Moderation

Cincinnati Financial Corporation demonstrates strong business quality through excellent operating metrics, robust growth, and financial stability. Future prospects remain positive, though potential challenges from catastrophic losses and pricing cycle moderation need to be monitored closely.

Analysis Date: February 11, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

+174%
+10.6% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NASDAQ
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Sector Financial Services
Market Cap $22.16B
CEO Mr. Stephen Michael Spray

Cincinnati Financial Corporation is a company that helps protect people and businesses from losses by offering different types of insurance. They provide coverage for things like cars, homes, and businesses, so if something bad happens—like an accident or damage—they can help pay for the costs. The company also sells life insurance, which offers financial support to families when a loved one passes away. Additionally, they invest money in various assets to grow their funds and support their insurance products.

Streams of revenue

Commercial Lines Insurance: 55%
Personal Lines Insurance: 33%
Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance: 8%
Life Insurance Product Line: 4%

Geographic Distribution

Other: 100%

Core Products

❤️
Life Insurance Life coverage
🏠
Homeowners Insurance Home protection
🛡️
Workers' Compensation Employee injury cover
🚗
Personal Auto Insurance Car coverage
🏢
Commercial Property Insurance Business property cover

Business Type

B2C Business to Consumer

Competitive Advantages

🔒
Financial Stability Cincinnati Financial's strong balance sheet and consistent profitability enable it to withstand economic downturns and invest in growth opportunities.
📈
Investment Expertise Cincinnati Financial's experience in managing investments allows for effective allocation of capital, leading to favorable returns and overall financial health.
🏅
Strong Brand Reputation Cincinnati Financial has built a strong brand reputation over decades, fostering customer trust and loyalty in the competitive insurance market.
📦
Diversified Product Offerings The company provides a wide range of insurance products across different segments, allowing it to meet diverse customer needs and mitigate risks.
🤝
Agent Network and Relationships A robust network of independent agents helps the company reach a broad customer base, enhancing market presence and customer service.

Key Business Risks

🏆
Competition Intense competition in the insurance market can lead to pricing pressures and reduced margins.
📝
Claims Management Inadequate claims processing can result in customer dissatisfaction and financial losses.
📉
Market Volatility Fluctuations in financial markets can impact investment returns and overall profitability.
🌪️
Natural Disasters Increased frequency and severity of natural disasters can lead to higher claims and losses.
⚖️
Regulatory Changes Changes in insurance regulations can affect operations, compliance costs, and product offerings.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$564.93

Current Market Price: $132.00

IV/P Ratio: 4.28x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

77.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for CINF

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≤ 20 (8.97)
Yes P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (1.48)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (1.16x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.45x)
Yes Margin of safety (77.0%)
No CINF does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 10.672272006490394

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 100.0

Net Profit Margin: 20.216988621328394

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Scroll horizontally to see more

About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

10.67%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

100.00%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

20.22%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Net Profit Margin

20.22
Net Profit Margin

CINF's net profit margin of 20.22% indicates strong profitability after accounting for all expenses, which is above average for the industry.

High Return on Equity

17.24
Return on Equity

With a return on equity of 17.24%, CINF demonstrates effective use of equity financing to generate profits.

Operating Profit Margin

12.05
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin of 12.05% is decent but could be improved to enhance overall profitability.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.06x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.16x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Low Debt Levels

0.06
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

CINF has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, indicating very low reliance on debt for financing, which is a strong point for financial stability.

Strong Liquidity Ratios

1.16
Current Ratio
1.16
Quick Ratio
1.16
Cash Ratio

Current, quick, and cash ratios all at approximately 1.16 show that the company is well-positioned to cover its short-term obligations.

Interest Coverage Ratio

25.77
Interest Coverage Ratio

While the interest coverage ratio is high at 25.77, it is important to maintain this level to ensure ongoing financial health.

Meeting Expectations

8 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-02-10 +65.3%
Missed earnings
2024-10-24 -2.7%
Beat earnings
2024-07-25 +34.2%
Beat earnings
2024-04-25 +1.8%
Beat earnings
2024-02-06 +18.1%
Beat earnings
2023-10-26 +55.1%
Beat earnings
2023-07-27 +68.1%
Beat earnings
2023-04-27 +30.9%
Missed earnings
2023-02-06 -0.8%
Beat earnings
2022-10-31 +2.8%

EPS

1.90
Estimated
3.14
Actual
+65.26%
Difference

Strong Operating Performance

93.4%
Full Year Combined Ratio
24%
Net Income Growth

Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported strong operating performance with a combined ratio of 93.4% for the full year 2024, showcasing improvement in underwriting efficiency. This indicates effective cost management and profitability within the insurance sector.

Robust Premium Growth

17%
Q4 Net Written Premium Growth
23%
New Business Premium Growth

The company experienced significant premium growth, with a 17% increase in net written premiums for Q4 2024. The growth was driven by strong retention rates and new business development, indicating effective underwriting practices.

Financial Strength and Flexibility

$14 billion
Total Shareholders' Equity
<10%
Debt to Total Capital

Cincinnati Financial maintains a strong financial position with total shareholders' equity of nearly $14 billion and a debt-to-capital ratio under 10%, demonstrating financial resilience and capability for future investments.

No weaknesses identified.

Capital Management and Dividend Growth

7%
Dividend Increase
65 years
Years of Dividend Growth

The company has a strong history of returning capital to shareholders with a 7% increase in dividends planned for April 2025, extending their streak to 65 years, which reflects confidence in future performance.

Positive Outlook for Reinsurance Market

85.0%
Cincinnati Re Combined Ratio

Cincinnati Re is expected to remain profitable and capitalize on opportunities in the reinsurance market, indicating a proactive approach to risk management and growth in premium income.

Impact of Catastrophic Losses

$450 to $525 million
Estimated Loss from Wildfires

The recent California wildfires are expected to incur estimated losses of $450 to $525 million, which could impact short-term profitability despite the long-term resilience and planning measures in place.

Potential Pricing Cycle Moderation

Concerns about moderation in pricing cycles, particularly in commercial lines, may affect future premium growth, requiring careful monitoring of underwriting practices.

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