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ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is very good at 11.4% per year
Earnings Expectations ATO has met or exceeded earnings expectations in the majority of recent quarters (8/10)
Positive Attractive Price-to-Book Ratio
Positive Reasonable PE Ratio
Positive Strong Net Profit Margin
Positive Healthy Gross and Operating Profit Margins
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Liquidity Ratios
Positive Strong Financial Performance
Positive Customer Growth
Positive High Customer Satisfaction
Positive Significant Capital Investments
Positive Regulatory Support for Future Income
Positive Long-term Growth Strategy
Positive Diverse Customer Base
Negative High Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Negative Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
Negative Return on Equity Below Industry Standards
Negative Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative Increased Operational Expenses
Negative Market Uncertainty

Atmos Energy demonstrates robust business quality through strong financial results, customer growth, and high satisfaction ratings. However, rising operational expenses may pose challenges. Looking ahead, the company shows promising future prospects supported by regulatory measures and a significant capital investment strategy, although market uncertainties remain a potential risk.

Analysis Date: February 5, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

+196%
+11.4% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NYSE
Industry Regulated Gas
Sector Utilities
Market Cap $21.34B
CEO Mr. John Kevin Akers

Atmos Energy Corporation is a company that provides natural gas to homes and businesses in the United States. They have a large network of underground pipes that help deliver gas to about three million customers. In addition to distributing gas, they also manage pipelines that transport gas for other companies and store gas underground. Essentially, Atmos Energy makes sure that people have the natural gas they need for heating, cooking, and other uses.

Streams of revenue

Distribution Segment: 69%
Pipeline and Storage Segment: 31%

Geographic Distribution

Region1: 0%
Region2: 0%

Estimations for reference only

Core Products

Energy Services Energy solutions
🔥
Natural Gas Distribution Gas supply to homes

Business Type

B2C Business to Consumer

Competitive Advantages

📄
Long-Term Contracts The company engages in long-term contracts for pipeline and storage services, providing predictable cash flow and enhancing customer retention.
🏢
Diverse Customer Base With approximately three million customers across various sectors, Atmos Energy benefits from a diversified revenue stream, reducing dependency on any single customer segment.
🛡️
Regulatory Protection Atmos Energy operates in a regulated industry, which provides a barrier to entry for competitors and ensures stable revenue through rate-setting by regulatory bodies.
🏗️
Extensive Infrastructure The company owns a vast network of over 71,000 miles of distribution and transmission mains, creating significant logistical advantages and high replacement costs for potential entrants.
Established Brand Reputation Having been in operation since 1906, Atmos Energy has built a strong brand reputation and trust among customers, which is crucial in the utility sector.

Key Business Risks

📉
Market Volatility Fluctuations in natural gas prices can impact revenue and profitability, affecting financial stability.
🏗️
Infrastructure Aging Aging pipelines and distribution infrastructure may lead to leaks or failures, posing safety risks and costly repairs.
🛡️
Cybersecurity Threats As a utility provider, Atmos Energy is vulnerable to cyberattacks that could disrupt operations and compromise customer data.
⚖️
Regulatory Compliance Failure to comply with stringent regulations can result in fines, legal challenges, and operational restrictions.
🌍
Environmental Concerns Increased scrutiny and regulations regarding greenhouse gas emissions can lead to higher operational costs and investments in cleaner technologies.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$180.15

Current Market Price: $150.11

IV/P Ratio: 1.20x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

17.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ATO

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≤ 20 (21.32)
Yes P/B ratio ≤ 1.5 (0.91)
No Current ratio ≥ 2.0 (1.56x)
Yes Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.00x)
Yes Margin of safety (17.0%)
No ATO does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 7.055417217840103

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 51.691184609819594

Net Profit Margin: 25.903270097752202

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

7.06%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

51.69%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

25.90%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Net Profit Margin

0.259
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 25.90% indicates a strong ability to convert revenue into profit, reflecting efficient cost management.

Healthy Gross and Operating Profit Margins

0.517
Gross Profit Margin
0.338
Operating Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 51.69% and operating profit margin of 33.85% are significantly above average, indicating effective pricing strategies and cost control.

Return on Equity Below Industry Standards

0.071
Return on Equity

The return on equity (ROE) of 7.06% may be lower than industry benchmarks, indicating less efficient use of equity to generate profits.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.00x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q1 2025

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.56x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q1 2025

Low Debt Levels

0.00046
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00046 indicates a very low level of debt compared to equity, suggesting strong financial stability and lower risk.

Strong Liquidity Ratios

1.556
Current Ratio
1.556
Quick Ratio

With a current ratio of 1.56 and a quick ratio of 1.56, the company has sufficient short-term assets to cover its liabilities, indicating good liquidity health.

Negative Free Cash Flow

-8.242
Free Cash Flow per Share

The free cash flow per share of -8.24 points to negative cash generation, which could pose risks to future operations and investment.

Meeting Expectations

8 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-02-04 +1.4%
Beat earnings
2024-11-06 +7.5%
Beat earnings
2024-08-07 +2.9%
Beat earnings
2024-05-08 +9.2%
Beat earnings
2024-02-06 +1.5%
Beat earnings
2023-11-08 +11.1%
Missed earnings
2023-08-02 -5.1%
Beat earnings
2023-05-03 +0.8%
Missed earnings
2023-02-07 -1.0%
Beat earnings
2022-11-09 +18.6%

EPS

2.20
Estimated
2.23
Actual
+1.36%
Difference

Strong Financial Performance

$352 million
Net Income
$2.23
Earnings per Share

Atmos Energy reported a first-quarter net income of $352 million, translating to $2.23 per diluted share, marking a 7.2% increase over the prior year. This indicates solid financial stability and profitability.

Customer Growth

59,000
New Customers Added
284,000
Job Growth in Texas

The company added over 59,000 new customers in the last year, showcasing strong demand for its services. This growth is further supported by favorable economic conditions in Texas, which added nearly 284,000 jobs, a 2% annual growth rate.

High Customer Satisfaction

1st among mid-sized gas utilities
JD Power Rank

Atmos Energy was ranked number one in customer satisfaction among mid-sized gas utilities in the Midwest for the third consecutive year by JD Power, indicating strong customer loyalty and service quality.

Significant Capital Investments

$891 million
Capital Spending

The company invested $891 million in capital spending during the first fiscal quarter to support system modernization and growth, indicating a commitment to improving infrastructure.

Increased Operational Expenses

$41 million
Increase in O&M Expenses

Atmos Energy experienced a $41 million increase in consolidated operating and maintenance expenses, with significant drivers being employee-related costs and compliance spending, which could impact profitability in the near term.

Regulatory Support for Future Income

$126 million
Annualized Operating Income Increases Filed

The company has filed for approximately $126 million in annualized operating income increases, indicating proactive steps to maintain and enhance revenue through regulatory mechanisms.

Long-term Growth Strategy

$3.7 billion
Capital Spending Plan

Atmos Energy's capital spending plan of $3.7 billion shows a strategic commitment to expanding its infrastructure and service capabilities, which will support future growth.

Diverse Customer Base

11
New Industrial Customers

The company continues to attract a variety of industrial customers, which diversifies its revenue streams and reduces reliance on any single customer segment.

Market Uncertainty

The company acknowledges potential uncertainties in market conditions and tariffs that may affect costs and operations, which could hinder growth if not managed effectively.

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