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APA
APA Corporation
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is negative at -13.4% per year
Earnings Expectations APA has met or exceeded earnings expectations in some recent quarters (6/10)
Positive Low Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Positive Attractive Price-to-Sales Ratio
Positive Strong Gross Profit Margin
Positive Good Return on Equity
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive Moderate Debt Levels
Positive Strong Portfolio and Strategic Positioning
Positive Effective Capital Management
Positive Growth in Gas Production
Positive Cost Reduction Initiatives
Negative Low Price-to-Book Ratio
Negative Low Net Profit Margin
Negative Low Liquidity Ratios
Negative Challenges in Share Performance
Negative Concerns About Production Guidance

Overall, APA Corporation demonstrates a strong business quality through its strategic asset positioning and effective capital management. However, challenges in share performance raise concerns about market confidence. Future prospects look promising with growth in gas production and cost reduction initiatives, although there are uncertainties regarding production guidance that could impact investor sentiment.

Analysis Date: February 27, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

-76%
-13.4% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NASDAQ
Industry Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Sector Energy
Market Cap $8.83B
CEO Mr. John J. Christmann IV

APA Corporation is a company that finds and produces oil and gas, which are important sources of energy. They work in several places, including the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, and are also exploring new areas like offshore Suriname. Besides finding oil and gas, they also manage pipelines that transport these resources to where they are needed. Founded in 1954, APA Corporation is based in Houston, Texas, and plays a key role in the energy industry.

Streams of revenue

Oil and Gas: 50%
Oil And Gas, Excluding Purchased: 41%
Oil and Gas, Purchased: 9%

Geographic Distribution

Segment United States: 65%
North Sea: 35%

Core Products

⚑
Energy Trading Energy market sales
πŸ›’οΈ
Oil Exploration Crude oil extraction
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Natural Gas Production Gas extraction

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

🏞️
Strong Asset Base APA Corporation has a diverse portfolio of oil and gas properties, providing stability and resilience in various market conditions.
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Exploration Expertise Strong capabilities in exploration, particularly offshore, enable APA to discover new reserves and maintain production levels.
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Infrastructure Ownership Ownership of key pipelines and processing assets in the Permian Basin and Gulf Coast facilitates efficient transportation and processing of resources.
🌍
Geographic Diversification Operations in multiple countries, including the U.S., Egypt, and the U.K., mitigate geopolitical risks and enhance growth opportunities.
🏒
Established Market Presence A long-standing history and reputation in the industry enhance trust with stakeholders and facilitate partnerships and funding.

Key Business Risks

πŸ”§
Operational Risks Challenges in exploration, drilling, and production can lead to project delays and increased costs.
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Geopolitical Risks Political instability in regions where APA operates can disrupt operations and affect market access.
βš–οΈ
Regulatory Changes Changes in environmental regulations and energy policies may increase operational costs or limit exploration.
🌱
Environmental Liability Potential environmental disasters can lead to significant legal liabilities and reputational damage.
πŸ“‰
Commodity Price Volatility Fluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly impact revenue and profitability.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$83.89

Current Market Price: $14.98

IV/P Ratio: 5.60x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

82.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for APA

No Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
Yes P/E ratio ≀ 20 (6.97)
Yes P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (1.06)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.15x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (13.34x)
Yes Margin of safety (82.0%)
No APA does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 17.455492835432047

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 57.71798295162781

Net Profit Margin: 8.257163397350313

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

17.46%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

57.72%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

8.26%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Strong Gross Profit Margin

57.72
Gross Profit Margin

The gross profit margin of 57.72% indicates a strong ability to manage production costs effectively, leading to healthy profitability at the gross level.

Good Return on Equity

13.6
Return on Equity

Return on equity (ROE) at 13.60% suggests that the company is effective in generating profits from its equity base, which is a positive sign for investors.

Low Net Profit Margin

8.26
Net Profit Margin

The net profit margin of 8.26% indicates limited profitability after expenses, which may concern investors about the overall efficiency of the business.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.97x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q4 2024

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.15x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q4 2024

Strong Interest Coverage

10.0
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 10.0 highlights the company's ability to meet its interest obligations comfortably, indicating sound financial health.

Moderate Debt Levels

0.57
Debt-to-Equity Ratio

A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57 suggests that the company is not excessively leveraged, which can be a positive indicator for financial stability.

Low Liquidity Ratios

0.21
Current Ratio
0.21
Quick Ratio
0.21
Cash Ratio

Current, quick, and cash ratios all at 0.21 indicate potential liquidity concerns, suggesting that the company may struggle to meet short-term obligations.

Meeting Expectations

6 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Missed earnings
2025-02-26 -18.6%
Missed earnings
2024-11-07 -1.0%
Beat earnings
2024-07-31 +24.5%
Missed earnings
2024-05-01 -13.3%
Missed earnings
2024-02-21 -16.7%
Beat earnings
2023-11-01 +22.0%
Beat earnings
2023-08-02 +28.8%
Beat earnings
2023-05-03 +15.5%
Beat earnings
2023-02-22 +14.7%
Beat earnings
2022-11-02 +2.6%

EPS

0.97
Estimated
0.79
Actual
-18.56%
Difference

Strong Portfolio and Strategic Positioning

75%
Adjusted Production from Permian
BBB-
S&P Rating

APA has strategically reshaped its portfolio by focusing on high-quality assets in the Permian Basin and Egypt. The company achieved a BBB- rating from S&P, indicating an investment-grade status, which enhances its credibility and financial stability. The shift towards unconventional production in the Permian, driving over 75% of adjusted production, positions APA competitively in the market.

Effective Capital Management

71%
Free Cash Flow Returned to Shareholders
$420 million
Fourth Quarter Free Cash Flow

The company demonstrated prudent capital allocation by returning 71% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. This reflects a commitment to shareholder value and confidence in its cash flow generation capabilities.

Challenges in Share Performance

57%
Share Price Decline

Despite positive financial metrics, APA's share price performance has been underwhelming, indicating potential issues with market perception or confidence in management's execution of growth plans.

Growth in Gas Production

First time in over a decade
Gas Production Growth Expectation

APA has initiated a gas-focused drilling program in Egypt, with expectations of year-over-year gas production growth for the first time in over a decade. This new gas price agreement aligns gas economics with oil, creating new opportunities for drilling and production.

Cost Reduction Initiatives

$350 million
Targeted Annual Savings
$35 million
Savings Achieved in 2025

The company has set a target for $350 million in annualized savings by 2027, with early results already yielding $35 million in savings. These initiatives are expected to drive free cash flow expansion and enhance overall operational efficiency.

Concerns About Production Guidance

125,000 to 127,000 barrels per day
Production Guidance Range for 2025

There are concerns about the visibility and accuracy of production guidance, particularly as the company transitions to a lower rig count and attempts to maintain production levels. This could impact investor confidence in future growth prospects.

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