10Y annualized return is
negative
at -13.4% per year
APA has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
some
recent quarters (6/10)
Low Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Attractive Price-to-Sales Ratio
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Good Return on Equity
Strong Interest Coverage
Moderate Debt Levels
Strong Portfolio and Strategic Positioning
Effective Capital Management
Growth in Gas Production
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Low Price-to-Book Ratio
Low Net Profit Margin
Low Liquidity Ratios
Challenges in Share Performance
Concerns About Production Guidance
Overall, APA Corporation demonstrates a strong business quality through its strategic asset positioning and effective capital management. However, challenges in share performance raise concerns about market confidence. Future prospects look promising with growth in gas production and cost reduction initiatives, although there are uncertainties regarding production guidance that could impact investor sentiment.
Analysis Date: February 27, 2025 Last Updated: March 11, 2025
-76%
-13.4% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
SectorEnergy
Market Cap$8.83B
CEOMr. John J. Christmann IV
APA Corporation is a company that finds and produces oil and gas, which are important sources of energy. They work in several places, including the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, and are also exploring new areas like offshore Suriname. Besides finding oil and gas, they also manage pipelines that transport these resources to where they are needed. Founded in 1954, APA Corporation is based in Houston, Texas, and plays a key role in the energy industry.
Streams of revenue
Oil and Gas:50%
Oil And Gas, Excluding Purchased:41%
Oil and Gas, Purchased:9%
Geographic Distribution
Segment United States:65%
North Sea:35%
Core Products
β‘
Energy TradingEnergy market sales
π’οΈ
Oil ExplorationCrude oil extraction
π₯
Natural Gas ProductionGas extraction
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
ποΈ
Strong Asset BaseAPA Corporation has a diverse portfolio of oil and gas properties, providing stability and resilience in various market conditions.
π
Exploration ExpertiseStrong capabilities in exploration, particularly offshore, enable APA to discover new reserves and maintain production levels.
ποΈ
Infrastructure OwnershipOwnership of key pipelines and processing assets in the Permian Basin and Gulf Coast facilitates efficient transportation and processing of resources.
π
Geographic DiversificationOperations in multiple countries, including the U.S., Egypt, and the U.K., mitigate geopolitical risks and enhance growth opportunities.
π’
Established Market PresenceA long-standing history and reputation in the industry enhance trust with stakeholders and facilitate partnerships and funding.
Key Business Risks
π§
Operational RisksChallenges in exploration, drilling, and production can lead to project delays and increased costs.
π
Geopolitical RisksPolitical instability in regions where APA operates can disrupt operations and affect market access.
βοΈ
Regulatory ChangesChanges in environmental regulations and energy policies may increase operational costs or limit exploration.
π±
Environmental LiabilityPotential environmental disasters can lead to significant legal liabilities and reputational damage.
π
Commodity Price VolatilityFluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly impact revenue and profitability.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$83.89
Current Market Price: $14.98
IV/P Ratio: 5.60x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
82.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for APA
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (6.97)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (1.06)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.15x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (13.34x)
Margin of safety (82.0%)
APA does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 17.455492835432047
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 57.71798295162781
Net Profit Margin: 8.257163397350313
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
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About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
17.46%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
57.72%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
The gross profit margin of 57.72% indicates a strong ability to manage production costs effectively, leading to healthy profitability at the gross level.
Good Return on Equity
13.6
Return on Equity
Return on equity (ROE) at 13.60% suggests that the company is effective in generating profits from its equity base, which is a positive sign for investors.
Weaknesses
Low Net Profit Margin
8.26
Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin of 8.26% indicates limited profitability after expenses, which may concern investors about the overall efficiency of the business.
About Financial Health Metrics
Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total debt divided by total equity
0.97x
1.0x2.0x
Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk
Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Interest Coverage
10.0
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 10.0 highlights the company's ability to meet its interest obligations comfortably, indicating sound financial health.
Moderate Debt Levels
0.57
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57 suggests that the company is not excessively leveraged, which can be a positive indicator for financial stability.
Weaknesses
Low Liquidity Ratios
0.21
Current Ratio
0.21
Quick Ratio
0.21
Cash Ratio
Current, quick, and cash ratios all at 0.21 indicate potential liquidity concerns, suggesting that the company may struggle to meet short-term obligations.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
6/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-26
-18.6%
2024-11-07
-1.0%
2024-07-31
+24.5%
2024-05-01
-13.3%
2024-02-21
-16.7%
2023-11-01
+22.0%
2023-08-02
+28.8%
2023-05-03
+15.5%
2023-02-22
+14.7%
2022-11-02
+2.6%
Earnings call from February 27, 2025
EPS
0.97
Estimated
0.79
Actual
-18.56%
Difference
Strengths
Strong Portfolio and Strategic Positioning
75%
Adjusted Production from Permian
BBB-
S&P Rating
APA has strategically reshaped its portfolio by focusing on high-quality assets in the Permian Basin and Egypt. The company achieved a BBB- rating from S&P, indicating an investment-grade status, which enhances its credibility and financial stability. The shift towards unconventional production in the Permian, driving over 75% of adjusted production, positions APA competitively in the market.
Effective Capital Management
71%
Free Cash Flow Returned to Shareholders
$420 million
Fourth Quarter Free Cash Flow
The company demonstrated prudent capital allocation by returning 71% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. This reflects a commitment to shareholder value and confidence in its cash flow generation capabilities.
Weaknesses
Challenges in Share Performance
57%
Share Price Decline
Despite positive financial metrics, APA's share price performance has been underwhelming, indicating potential issues with market perception or confidence in management's execution of growth plans.
Opportunities
Growth in Gas Production
First time in over a decade
Gas Production Growth Expectation
APA has initiated a gas-focused drilling program in Egypt, with expectations of year-over-year gas production growth for the first time in over a decade. This new gas price agreement aligns gas economics with oil, creating new opportunities for drilling and production.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
$350 million
Targeted Annual Savings
$35 million
Savings Achieved in 2025
The company has set a target for $350 million in annualized savings by 2027, with early results already yielding $35 million in savings. These initiatives are expected to drive free cash flow expansion and enhance overall operational efficiency.
Risks
Concerns About Production Guidance
125,000 to 127,000 barrels per day
Production Guidance Range for 2025
There are concerns about the visibility and accuracy of production guidance, particularly as the company transitions to a lower rig count and attempts to maintain production levels. This could impact investor confidence in future growth prospects.
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