10Y annualized return is
very good
at 11.6% per year
ALGN has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
the majority of
recent quarters (8/10)
Strong Gross Profit Margin
Low Debt Levels
Strong Operating and Net Profit Margins
Good Return on Equity
Strong Interest Coverage
Adequate Liquidity Ratios
Strong Revenue Growth
Market Leadership and Innovation
Healthy Financial Metrics
Innovative Product Launches
Growth in Emerging Markets
Positive Adoption Trends
High P/E Ratio
Elevated Price-to-Sales Ratio
Low Cash Ratio
Pressure on ASPs
Operating Margin Decline
Macro Economic Challenges
Foreign Exchange Risks
Overall, Align Technology shows strong business quality with significant revenue growth and a solid market position, but faces challenges with ASP pressure and operating margins. The future looks promising with innovative products and potential growth in emerging markets, although macroeconomic uncertainties and foreign exchange risks pose challenges.
Analysis Date: February 5, 2025 Last Updated: March 11, 2025
+198%
+11.6% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryMedical - Devices
SectorHealthcare
Market Cap$16.50B
CEOMr. Joseph M. Hogan
Align Technology, Inc. is a company that makes dental products to help people straighten their teeth. Their most famous product is Invisalign, which are clear aligners that can replace traditional metal braces. They also create iTero scanners, which dentists use to take digital images of patients' mouths. These tools help orthodontists and dentists provide better care and make it easier for patients to achieve a healthy smile.
Brand RecognitionAlign Technology has established a strong brand reputation for its Invisalign product line, making it a household name in orthodontics.
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Regulatory ExpertiseThe company possesses significant knowledge of regulatory requirements, enabling it to navigate the complex medical device landscape successfully.
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Innovative TechnologyThe company leverages advanced technology, including the iTero scanner and software solutions, to enhance treatment precision and patient experience.
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Strong Customer RelationshipsAlign Technology fosters strong relationships with dental professionals through training and support, ensuring customer loyalty and retention.
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Extensive Distribution NetworkAlign Technology has a wide-reaching distribution network that allows it to serve a global customer base effectively.
Key Business Risks
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Economic DownturnsEconomic hardships can reduce consumer spending on elective dental treatments, impacting sales and revenue growth.
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Market CompetitionIncreasing competition from other orthodontic solutions and emerging technologies can affect market share and pricing strategies.
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Regulatory ComplianceAlign Technology must adhere to stringent medical device regulations, which can impact product approval and market access.
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Supply Chain DisruptionsDependence on a global supply chain for materials and manufacturing could lead to operational delays and increased costs.
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Technological ObsolescenceRapid advancements in dental technology require continuous innovation to avoid losing relevance in the market.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$70.78
Current Market Price: $151.02
IV/P Ratio: 0.47x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
-112.99999999999999%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ALGN
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (27.11)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (2.97)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.22x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (0.19x)
Margin of safety (-112.99999999999999%)
ALGN does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 11.005852316429552
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 70.27030676577114
Net Profit Margin: 10.536652553180636
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
Scroll horizontally to see more
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
11.01%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
70.27%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q4 2024
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Strong Interest Coverage
150.26
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 150.26 indicates that ALGN can easily cover its interest obligations, showcasing strong financial health.
Adequate Liquidity Ratios
1.22
Current Ratio
1.10
Quick Ratio
Current and quick ratios of approximately 1.22 and 1.10 respectively suggest that ALGN has sufficient short-term assets to cover its liabilities.
Weaknesses
Low Cash Ratio
0.51
Cash Ratio
The cash ratio of 0.51 indicates that while ALGN is liquid, it does not have as much cash on hand relative to its current liabilities compared to its peers.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
8/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-02-05
+0.4%
2024-10-23
+1.7%
2024-07-24
+3.0%
2024-04-24
+8.6%
2024-01-31
+11.0%
2023-10-25
-5.3%
2023-07-26
+9.9%
2023-04-26
+7.7%
2023-02-01
+13.8%
2022-10-26
-38.5%
Earnings call from February 5, 2025
EPS
2.43
Estimated
2.44
Actual
+0.41%
Difference
Strengths
Strong Revenue Growth
$995 million
Q4 Total Revenues
6.1%
Q4 Clear Aligner Volume Growth
14.9%
Q4 Systems and Services Revenue Growth
ALGN reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 4% in Q4 2024, with significant contributions from both Systems and Services, which grew by 14.9%, and Clear Aligner volumes up 6.1%. This indicates a solid demand for ALGN's products.
Market Leadership and Innovation
272,000
Active Invisalign Practitioners
19.5 million
Total Invisalign Patients
The company has a strong market position with 272,000 active Invisalign trained practitioners and over 19.5 million Invisalign patients. Their focus on innovation, such as the iTero Lumina scanner and the Invisalign Palatal Expander, enhances their competitive edge.
Healthy Financial Metrics
$1.044 billion
Cash and Cash Equivalents
$353 million
Stock Repurchased
ALGN ended the year with a solid cash position of over $1 billion and no debt, allowing flexibility for investments and shareholder returns.
Weaknesses
Pressure on ASPs
$55 year-over-year
Q4 Clear Aligner ASP Decrease
The average selling price (ASP) for Clear Aligners decreased due to unfavorable foreign exchange impacts and product mix shifts, which could affect profitability.
Operating Margin Decline
14.5%
Q4 Operating Margin
Despite overall growth, the operating margin decreased year-over-year, indicating pressure on profitability amidst rising operational costs.
Opportunities
Innovative Product Launches
iTero Lumina with restorative capabilities
New Product Launch
The introduction of new products like the iTero Lumina with restorative capabilities and the commercialization of the Invisalign Palatal Expander are expected to drive future growth.
Growth in Emerging Markets
Strong growth noted
Q4 Growth in Latin America
ALGN's growth in regions like Latin America and APAC, particularly in emerging markets, suggests substantial future revenue potential.
Positive Adoption Trends
868,000
Teen and Kids Cases Shipped
The continued increase in the number of doctors submitting cases and the record number of teen and kids starting treatment with Invisalign indicate a growing market demand.
Risks
Macro Economic Challenges
Low single-digits
2025 Revenue Growth Expectation
The overall orthodontic market has been flat, and ALGN expects low single-digit revenue growth in 2025, reflecting potential challenges in a muted macro environment.
Foreign Exchange Risks
2 points on revenue
FX Headwind Impact
The company faces a 2-point headwind from unfavorable foreign exchange rates, which could pressure future revenue and margins.
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