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ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
Summary
Business
Earnings Call
Valuation
Profitability
Financial Health
Yearly Return 10Y annualized return is very good at 13.1% per year
Earnings Expectations ADP has met or exceeded earnings expectations in all recent quarters (10/10)
Positive Strong Return on Equity
Positive Healthy Gross Profit Margin
Positive Robust Net Profit Margin
Positive Strong Operating Profit Margin
Positive Low Debt Levels
Positive Strong Interest Coverage
Positive Strong Dividend History
Positive High Client Satisfaction
Positive Growth in Employer Services
Positive Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
Positive Innovative Product Developments
Negative High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Negative Elevated Price-to-Sales Ratio
Negative Moderate Liquidity Ratios
Negative Slight Decline in Retention
Negative Potential Slowdown in Revenue Growth

ADP demonstrates strong business quality with solid customer satisfaction and a long-standing commitment to dividends. Future prospects are promising due to strategic partnerships and innovative products, although some short-term challenges may affect growth rates. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the HR technology market.

Analysis Date: January 29, 2025
Last Updated: March 11, 2025

+244%
+13.1% per year

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.

Country US
Exchange NASDAQ
Industry Staffing & Employment Services
Sector Industrials
Market Cap $117.65B
CEO Ms. Maria Black

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) helps businesses manage their employees and HR needs using online tools. They provide services like payroll (paying employees), managing benefits (like health insurance), and helping with hiring and training staff. ADP is especially useful for small and medium-sized companies that want to focus on their business while ADP takes care of important HR tasks. Founded in 1949, ADP is based in Roseland, New Jersey.

Core Products

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HR Management Comprehensive HR solutions
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Payroll Services Automated payroll processing
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Talent Management Optimize workforce talent
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Compliance Services Ensure legal compliance
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Workforce Management Track employee productivity
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Benefits Administration Manage employee benefits
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Recruitment Process Outsourcing Streamline hiring process

Business Type

B2B Business to Business

Competitive Advantages

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Brand Reputation ADP has a long-standing reputation for reliability and quality in payroll and HR services, which builds customer trust and loyalty.
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Economies of Scale As a large provider, ADP benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to offer competitive pricing and invest in product development.
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Regulatory Expertise ADP’s depth of knowledge in compliance and regulatory issues provides significant value to clients by mitigating risks associated with HR management.
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Strong Technology Platform ADP's advanced cloud-based technology enables efficient and scalable services, enhancing user experience and operational efficiency.
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Comprehensive Service Offering ADP provides a wide range of integrated human capital management solutions, making it a one-stop-shop for businesses' HR needs.

Key Business Risks

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Economic Downturn Economic instability may lead to reduced spending on HR services by clients, affecting revenue and growth.
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Market Competition Intense competition from other HR solution providers may affect market share and pricing strategies.
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Regulatory Compliance Challenges in keeping up with evolving labor laws and regulations, which can result in fines and operational disruptions.
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Data Security Breaches The risk of unauthorized access to sensitive employee data, leading to potential legal liabilities and reputational damage.
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Technological Integration Risks associated with integrating new technologies and platforms, which could lead to service disruptions or customer dissatisfaction.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

Graham Value Metrics

Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.

Intrinsic Value

Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula

$322.31

Current Market Price: $285.41

IV/P Ratio: 1.13x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)

Margin of Safety

Gap between intrinsic value and market price

11.0%

Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety

Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value

Graham Criteria Checklist

Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ADP

Yes Positive earnings (5+ years)
Yes Dividend history (5+ years)
No P/E ratio ≀ 20 (29.67)
No P/B ratio ≀ 1.5 (22.98)
No Current ratio β‰₯ 2.0 (1.18x)
No Long-term debt < Net current assets (3.20x)
Yes Margin of safety (11.0%)
No ADP does not meet all Graham criteria

ROE: 80.27549614815571

ROA: None

Gross Profit Margin: 46.98041540641297

Net Profit Margin: 19.763959926444727

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.

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About Profitability Metrics

Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits

80.28%

10% 15%

Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Gross Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold

46.98%

20% 40%

Higher values indicate better efficiency in production

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Net Profit Margin

Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses

19.76%

8% 15%

Higher values indicate better overall profitability

TTM (as of 2025-04-30)

Robust Net Profit Margin

19.76%
Net Profit Margin

With a net profit margin of 19.76%, ADP demonstrates strong profitability after accounting for all expenses.

Strong Operating Profit Margin

19.36%
Operating Profit Margin

The operating profit margin is 19.36%, indicating effective management of operating expenses relative to revenue.

No profitability weaknesses identified.

About Financial Health Metrics

Financial health metrics assess a company's ability to meet its financial obligations and its overall financial stability.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Total debt divided by total equity

0.84x

1.0x 2.0x

Lower values indicate less financial leverage and risk

Less than 1.0 is conservative, 1.0-2.0 is moderate, >2.0 indicates high risk

Q2 2025

Current Ratio

Current assets divided by current liabilities

1.18x

1.0x 2.0x

Higher values indicate better short-term liquidity

Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good

Q2 2025

Low Debt Levels

0.84
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
6.68%
Debt-to-Assets Ratio

ADP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84 and debt-to-assets ratio of 6.68% indicate a conservative capital structure with manageable levels of debt.

Strong Interest Coverage

8.91
Interest Coverage Ratio

An interest coverage ratio of 8.91 indicates that ADP can comfortably cover its interest expenses, reflecting strong earnings relative to interest obligations.

Moderate Liquidity Ratios

1.18
Current Ratio
1.18
Quick Ratio

The current ratio of 1.18 and quick ratio of 1.18 suggest that while ADP can meet its short-term obligations, there is limited excess liquidity.

Meeting Expectations

10 /10

Higher values indicate better execution and credibility

Recent Results

Beat earnings
2025-01-29 +2.2%
Beat earnings
2024-10-30 +5.4%
Beat earnings
2024-07-31 +1.5%
Beat earnings
2024-05-01 +3.2%
Beat earnings
2024-01-31 +1.4%
Beat earnings
2023-10-25 +2.5%
Beat earnings
2023-07-26 +3.3%
Beat earnings
2023-04-26 +2.9%
Beat earnings
2023-01-25 +1.0%
Beat earnings
2022-10-26 +3.3%

EPS

2.30
Estimated
2.35
Actual
+2.17%
Difference

Strong Dividend History

50 years
Consecutive Dividend Increases

ADP has achieved a significant milestone by increasing its quarterly dividend for 50 consecutive years, earning it the title of a 'dividend king'. This reflects the company's financial stability and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

High Client Satisfaction

All-time high
Client Satisfaction Score

The company reported record client satisfaction levels, which indicates strong customer loyalty and retention. This supports ADP's competitive position in the HR technology market.

Growth in Employer Services

8%
Employer Services Revenue Growth

ADP recorded an 8% revenue growth in its Employer Services segment, driven by strong new business bookings and high client retention rates. This is indicative of a robust business model and demand for its services.

Slight Decline in Retention

10-30 basis points
Retention Decline

While client satisfaction is high, there was a slight decline in Employer Services retention compared to the prior year. This could signal potential challenges in retaining clients amid changing market conditions.

Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions

Positive impact on small business solutions
Expected Revenue Growth from Partnerships

The partnership with Fiserv aims to provide integrated solutions for small businesses, enhancing ADP's service offerings. Additionally, the acquisition of WorkForce Software is expected to bolster ADP's capabilities in workforce management, positioning them strongly in the market.

Innovative Product Developments

Increased significantly
New Business Booking Volumes for Lyric

The launch of ADP Lyric, a next-gen HCM platform, is generating strong interest and new business bookings, indicating a positive trajectory for future growth and innovation.

Potential Slowdown in Revenue Growth

Lower than Q4
Projected Q3 Revenue Growth

The company anticipates a deceleration in revenue growth in Q3 due to factors like foreign exchange headwinds and integration costs from acquisitions, which may impact short-term performance.

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