10Y annualized return is
very good
at 13.1% per year
ADP has met or exceeded earnings expectations in
all
recent quarters (10/10)
Strong Return on Equity
Healthy Gross Profit Margin
Robust Net Profit Margin
Strong Operating Profit Margin
Low Debt Levels
Strong Interest Coverage
Strong Dividend History
High Client Satisfaction
Growth in Employer Services
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
Innovative Product Developments
High Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Elevated Price-to-Sales Ratio
Moderate Liquidity Ratios
Slight Decline in Retention
Potential Slowdown in Revenue Growth
ADP demonstrates strong business quality with solid customer satisfaction and a long-standing commitment to dividends. Future prospects are promising due to strategic partnerships and innovative products, although some short-term challenges may affect growth rates. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the HR technology market.
Analysis Date: January 29, 2025 Last Updated: March 11, 2025
+244%
+13.1% per year
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The data presented is indicative and may not be updated in real-time.
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ
IndustryStaffing & Employment Services
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap$117.65B
CEOMs. Maria Black
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) helps businesses manage their employees and HR needs using online tools. They provide services like payroll (paying employees), managing benefits (like health insurance), and helping with hiring and training staff. ADP is especially useful for small and medium-sized companies that want to focus on their business while ADP takes care of important HR tasks. Founded in 1949, ADP is based in Roseland, New Jersey.
Core Products
π₯
HR ManagementComprehensive HR solutions
π΅
Payroll ServicesAutomated payroll processing
π
Talent ManagementOptimize workforce talent
β
Compliance ServicesEnsure legal compliance
ποΈ
Workforce ManagementTrack employee productivity
π‘οΈ
Benefits AdministrationManage employee benefits
π
Recruitment Process OutsourcingStreamline hiring process
Business Type
Business to Business
Competitive Advantages
π
Brand ReputationADP has a long-standing reputation for reliability and quality in payroll and HR services, which builds customer trust and loyalty.
π
Economies of ScaleAs a large provider, ADP benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to offer competitive pricing and invest in product development.
βοΈ
Regulatory ExpertiseADPβs depth of knowledge in compliance and regulatory issues provides significant value to clients by mitigating risks associated with HR management.
βοΈ
Strong Technology PlatformADP's advanced cloud-based technology enables efficient and scalable services, enhancing user experience and operational efficiency.
π§
Comprehensive Service OfferingADP provides a wide range of integrated human capital management solutions, making it a one-stop-shop for businesses' HR needs.
Key Business Risks
π
Economic DownturnEconomic instability may lead to reduced spending on HR services by clients, affecting revenue and growth.
π
Market CompetitionIntense competition from other HR solution providers may affect market share and pricing strategies.
βοΈ
Regulatory ComplianceChallenges in keeping up with evolving labor laws and regulations, which can result in fines and operational disruptions.
π
Data Security BreachesThe risk of unauthorized access to sensitive employee data, leading to potential legal liabilities and reputational damage.
π»
Technological IntegrationRisks associated with integrating new technologies and platforms, which could lead to service disruptions or customer dissatisfaction.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Graham Value Metrics
Benjamin Graham's value investing approach focuses on finding stocks with a significant margin of safety between their intrinsic value and market price.
Intrinsic Value
Estimated fair value based on Graham's formula
$322.31
Current Market Price: $285.41
IV/P Ratio: 1.13x (>1.0 indicates undervalued)
Margin of Safety
Gap between intrinsic value and market price
11.0%
Graham recommended a minimum of 20-30% margin of safety
Higher values indicate a greater potential discount to fair value
Graham Criteria Checklist
Benjamin Graham's value investing checklist for ADP
Positive earnings (5+ years)
Dividend history (5+ years)
P/E ratio β€ 20 (29.67)
P/B ratio β€ 1.5 (22.98)
Current ratio β₯ 2.0 (1.18x)
Long-term debt < Net current assets (3.20x)
Margin of safety (11.0%)
ADP does not meet all Graham criteria
ROE: 80.27549614815571
ROA: None
Gross Profit Margin: 46.98041540641297
Net Profit Margin: 19.763959926444727
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) values provide a view of the company's performance over the last year.
Income Statement Flow
Scroll horizontally to see more
About Profitability Metrics
Profitability metrics measure a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, operating costs, and other relevant metrics. Higher values generally indicate better performance.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Measures how efficiently a company uses its equity to generate profits
80.28%
10%15%
Higher values indicate better returns for shareholders
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Gross Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for cost of goods sold
46.98%
20%40%
Higher values indicate better efficiency in production
TTM (as of 2025-04-30)
Net Profit Margin
Percentage of revenue retained after accounting for all expenses
Less than 1.0 is concerning, 1.0-2.0 is adequate, greater than 2.0 is good
Q2 2025
Financial Health Analysis
Strengths
Low Debt Levels
0.84
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
6.68%
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
ADP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84 and debt-to-assets ratio of 6.68% indicate a conservative capital structure with manageable levels of debt.
Strong Interest Coverage
8.91
Interest Coverage Ratio
An interest coverage ratio of 8.91 indicates that ADP can comfortably cover its interest expenses, reflecting strong earnings relative to interest obligations.
Weaknesses
Moderate Liquidity Ratios
1.18
Current Ratio
1.18
Quick Ratio
The current ratio of 1.18 and quick ratio of 1.18 suggest that while ADP can meet its short-term obligations, there is limited excess liquidity.
Historical Earnings Results
Meeting Expectations
10/10
Higher values indicate better execution and credibility
Recent Results
2025-01-29
+2.2%
2024-10-30
+5.4%
2024-07-31
+1.5%
2024-05-01
+3.2%
2024-01-31
+1.4%
2023-10-25
+2.5%
2023-07-26
+3.3%
2023-04-26
+2.9%
2023-01-25
+1.0%
2022-10-26
+3.3%
Earnings call from January 29, 2025
EPS
2.30
Estimated
2.35
Actual
+2.17%
Difference
Strengths
Strong Dividend History
50 years
Consecutive Dividend Increases
ADP has achieved a significant milestone by increasing its quarterly dividend for 50 consecutive years, earning it the title of a 'dividend king'. This reflects the company's financial stability and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
High Client Satisfaction
All-time high
Client Satisfaction Score
The company reported record client satisfaction levels, which indicates strong customer loyalty and retention. This supports ADP's competitive position in the HR technology market.
Growth in Employer Services
8%
Employer Services Revenue Growth
ADP recorded an 8% revenue growth in its Employer Services segment, driven by strong new business bookings and high client retention rates. This is indicative of a robust business model and demand for its services.
Weaknesses
Slight Decline in Retention
10-30 basis points
Retention Decline
While client satisfaction is high, there was a slight decline in Employer Services retention compared to the prior year. This could signal potential challenges in retaining clients amid changing market conditions.
Opportunities
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
Positive impact on small business solutions
Expected Revenue Growth from Partnerships
The partnership with Fiserv aims to provide integrated solutions for small businesses, enhancing ADP's service offerings. Additionally, the acquisition of WorkForce Software is expected to bolster ADP's capabilities in workforce management, positioning them strongly in the market.
Innovative Product Developments
Increased significantly
New Business Booking Volumes for Lyric
The launch of ADP Lyric, a next-gen HCM platform, is generating strong interest and new business bookings, indicating a positive trajectory for future growth and innovation.
Risks
Potential Slowdown in Revenue Growth
Lower than Q4
Projected Q3 Revenue Growth
The company anticipates a deceleration in revenue growth in Q3 due to factors like foreign exchange headwinds and integration costs from acquisitions, which may impact short-term performance.
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